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Community Forums => Betting Tips and Sport Discussion => Topic started by: The Camel on July 20, 2012, 08:23:44 PM



Title: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: The Camel on July 20, 2012, 08:23:44 PM
Team GB should be about a Million to win football gold.

That's all I've got atm.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: redarmi on July 20, 2012, 08:36:03 PM
I have priced a few markets already.  Most of the prices have gone already but made a few athletes shorter than available.  Keston Bledman @ 80/1 ew in the 100m seemed fair.  16/1 top three is fine too.  Also like LJ Van Zyl @ 40/1 in the 400m hurdles.  He led the world last year in times.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: The Camel on July 20, 2012, 09:03:40 PM
I have priced a few markets already.  Most of the prices have gone already but made a few athletes shorter than available.  Keston Bledman @ 80/1 ew in the 100m seemed fair.  16/1 top three is fine too.  Also like LJ Van Zyl @ 40/1 in the 400m hurdles.  He led the world last year in times.

Someone else put up Bledman at a huge price, will have get gt involved.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: The Camel on July 20, 2012, 09:07:14 PM
The gulf in class between these two teams is frightening huge.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: FUN4FRASER on July 20, 2012, 09:25:40 PM
The gulf in class between these two teams is frightening huge.

Agree

It just confirms what a great bet Uruguay to win the group at 5-4 is

http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/football/mens/group-a/winner


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: marcro on July 20, 2012, 09:32:10 PM
The gulf in class between these two teams is frightening huge.

Agree

It just confirms what a great bet Uruguay to win the group at 5-4 is

http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/football/mens/group-a/winner

GB is weak and I think this will be the last time we see Pearce at the international stage.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Graham C on July 20, 2012, 10:05:06 PM
Any danger of Senegal holding GB? Wondering if Uruguay / Senegal in the forecast is worth a look. They've some pretty handy players


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: FUN4FRASER on July 20, 2012, 10:14:26 PM
Any danger of Senegal holding GB? Wondering if Uruguay / Senegal in the forecast is worth a look. They've some pretty handy players

Had similar thoughts but am leaning more to a main bet on Uruguay with a saver on Senegal...    or the other option of course is just laying England not to win the group


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: horseplayer on July 20, 2012, 10:20:37 PM
are there any quotes on england total goals?

very hard to see were the goals are going to come from


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: FUN4FRASER on July 20, 2012, 10:27:43 PM
are there any quotes on england total goals?

very hard to see were the goals are going to come from

Just looked...I cant see any fixed odds...but I presume there will be quotes with the spread firms


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: marcro on July 20, 2012, 10:31:44 PM
are there any quotes on england total goals?

very hard to see were the goals are going to come from

Just looked...I cant see any fixed odds...but I presume there will be quotes with the spread firms

Maybe you can't find this because England are not competing?


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: horseplayer on July 20, 2012, 10:43:42 PM
sorry england + giggs and a crippled winger come sub


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: redarmi on July 21, 2012, 11:56:50 AM
As bad as GB might be there is very little chance they don't beat UAE or, probably, Senegal so not sure a bet on goals would be value assuming you are looking for the 0 or 1 option.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Robert HM on July 25, 2012, 07:52:36 PM
Right just loaded my Betfair account. Bring on the tips Keith...... *waiting* ;)


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: The Camel on July 25, 2012, 07:55:25 PM
Right just loaded my Betfair account. Bring on the tips Keith...... *waiting* ;)

One tip for now.

It's a marathon not a sprint. We'll get 'em, but need to pick our spots carefully!


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TightEnd on July 25, 2012, 07:56:45 PM
I have heard a rumour that Beckham kicks a flaming ball to light the Olympic torch, later Friday evening

Any markets on who lights the torch?


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Graham C on July 25, 2012, 07:59:27 PM
PP  have one up

http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/specials/olympic-specials/to-light-olympic-flame

Surely Redgrave would be above Beckham in the pecking order, he's an Olympian to start with.  Would have thought we'd go for our greatest ever Olympian personally.

Traditionally it's an Olympian anyway http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_who_have_lit_the_Olympic_Cauldron That said, he wouldn't be the first non-Olympian to do it.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TightEnd on July 25, 2012, 08:20:02 PM
Opening ceremony rehearsal tonight.

Allegedly involves lots of animals

(http://mypict.me.s3.amazonaws.com/upload/images4/upload/0/343/276/343276622-500x500.jpg)


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TightEnd on July 25, 2012, 08:22:04 PM
North Korea football currently at Hampden

Refusing to start game as the stadium is displaying the S Korea flag as theirs!

lol


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: The Camel on July 25, 2012, 08:35:02 PM
PP  have one up

http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/specials/olympic-specials/to-light-olympic-flame

Surely Redgrave would be above Beckham in the pecking order, he's an Olympian to start with.  Would have thought we'd go for our greatest ever Olympian personally.

Traditionally it's an Olympian anyway http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_who_have_lit_the_Olympic_Cauldron That said, he wouldn't be the first non-Olympian to do it.

True, but England is the home of football.

Becks doing a Diana Ross wouldn't surprise me.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Graham C on July 25, 2012, 08:51:50 PM
North Korea football currently at Hampden

Refusing to start game as the stadium is displaying the S Korea flag as theirs!

lol


Is it on tele?  I may have a punt on Korea, they're quite well ranked and Columbia aren't.  Not a skilled pick, just a random punt at 1/2


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Graham C on July 25, 2012, 08:52:29 PM
PP  have one up

http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/specials/olympic-specials/to-light-olympic-flame

Surely Redgrave would be above Beckham in the pecking order, he's an Olympian to start with.  Would have thought we'd go for our greatest ever Olympian personally.

Traditionally it's an Olympian anyway http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_who_have_lit_the_Olympic_Cauldron That said, he wouldn't be the first non-Olympian to do it.

True, but England is the home of football.

Becks doing a Diana Ross wouldn't surprise me.

Let's hope he scores though :D


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Tonji on July 25, 2012, 08:55:18 PM
Opening ceremony rehearsal tonight.

Allegedly involves lots of animals

(http://mypict.me.s3.amazonaws.com/upload/images4/upload/0/343/276/343276622-500x500.jpg)

Surreal image of a trained sheep lighting the Olympic flame! I'm so expecting Danny Boyle to throw in some eccentric & bizarre stuff into the opening ceremony.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: henrik777 on July 26, 2012, 02:47:20 PM
North Korea football currently at Hampden

Refusing to start game as the stadium is displaying the S Korea flag as theirs!

lol


They really are a shower of halfwits at Hampden.

(https://p.twimg.com/Ayu7KQ_CAAEd84h.jpg:large)

Sandy


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Ironside on July 26, 2012, 03:06:17 PM
Lay the favourites in the marathons I don't think a favourite has ever won the Olympic marathon,


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: kinboshi on July 26, 2012, 03:14:42 PM
Lay the favourites in the marathons I don't think a favourite has ever won the Olympic marathon,

Back Paula @ more than 25/1 to win.  There's doubt as to whether she'll actually run or not - which is why she's at such long odds.  If she does run, she's definitely one of those in with a shout. Worth a little sweat I'd have thought.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TheChipPrince on July 26, 2012, 03:30:29 PM
Lay the favourites in the marathons I don't think a favourite has ever won the Olympic marathon,

Back Paula @ more than 25/1 to win.  There's doubt as to whether she'll actually run or not - which is why she's at such long odds.  If she does run, she's definitely one of those in with a shout. Worth a little sweat I'd have thought.

No runner no bet on these possibly?


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: kinboshi on July 26, 2012, 03:52:53 PM
Lay the favourites in the marathons I don't think a favourite has ever won the Olympic marathon,

Back Paula @ more than 25/1 to win.  There's doubt as to whether she'll actually run or not - which is why she's at such long odds.  If she does run, she's definitely one of those in with a shout. Worth a little sweat I'd have thought.

No runner no bet on these possibly?

Would make it even more value.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Graham C on July 26, 2012, 05:24:58 PM
Lol UAE lead Uruguay


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Graham C on July 26, 2012, 07:21:30 PM
Great Britain on the drift in the footy. Thought the team news was ok


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Robert HM on July 26, 2012, 08:17:48 PM
PP  have one up

http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/specials/olympic-specials/to-light-olympic-flame

Surely Redgrave would be above Beckham in the pecking order, he's an Olympian to start with.  Would have thought we'd go for our greatest ever Olympian personally.

Traditionally it's an Olympian anyway http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_who_have_lit_the_Olympic_Cauldron That said, he wouldn't be the first non-Olympian to do it.

True, but England is the home of football.

Becks doing a Diana Ross wouldn't surprise me.

The was a bit of sour grapes from Daley Thompson the other day who felt he and Regrave would be the ones in the running, he was saying that Rowing wasn't a proper sport etc., that attitude should rule him out on it's own. He was then used last night to light the cauldron at Alexandra Palace last night making me think Redgrave has bagged this. However it is accepted now that Beckham will have a role to play tomorrow but he is not saying what it is. Coin toss perhaps.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Bertpup on July 26, 2012, 08:26:02 PM
I think Becks in the past few months has come out and said that he won't be the person to actual light the Flame that it deserves to be an Olympian. I can't imagine the selection committee giving it to Becks and I can't imagine Becks doing it even if asked as it would be a PR nightmare.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Tal on July 26, 2012, 08:34:14 PM
PP  have one up

http://www.oddschecker.com/olympics/specials/olympic-specials/to-light-olympic-flame

Surely Redgrave would be above Beckham in the pecking order, he's an Olympian to start with.  Would have thought we'd go for our greatest ever Olympian personally.

Traditionally it's an Olympian anyway http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_who_have_lit_the_Olympic_Cauldron That said, he wouldn't be the first non-Olympian to do it.

True, but England is the home of football.

Becks doing a Diana Ross wouldn't surprise me.

The was a bit of sour grapes from Daley Thompson the other day who felt he and Regrave would be the ones in the running, he was saying that Rowing wasn't a proper sport etc., that attitude should rule him out on it's own. He was then used last night to light the cauldron at Alexandra Palace last night making me think Redgrave has bagged this. However it is accepted now that Beckham will have a role to play tomorrow but he is not saying what it is. Coin toss perhaps.

If there is a coin toss, I hope they do it on stage


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TightEnd on July 27, 2012, 10:35:38 AM
Brilliant

(https://p.twimg.com/AyyyqVMCYAAHC5W.jpg)


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Tonji on July 27, 2012, 10:39:55 AM
The cheap seats!

(https://p.twimg.com/Ayyzs4qCMAA11t-.jpg:large)


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Jon MW on July 27, 2012, 01:11:20 PM
The cheap seats!

(https://p.twimg.com/Ayyzs4qCMAA11t-.jpg:large)

I went to the British Swimming Championships at the Aquatics centre, for that I had front row and in line with the start/finish - but it did mean that I got to see just how far back the cheapest seats were.

I'm glad I had that because I have seen Olympic swimming tickets come up for sale, but they're not worth me looking at because I know that any seats that are good enough to be worthwhile buying are going to be too expensive for me to be able to afford.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: The Camel on August 04, 2012, 10:34:42 AM
Sharapova seems huge at 4/1+ to beat Serena?

Anyone put me off this?


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: tikay on August 04, 2012, 10:36:51 AM
Sharapova seems huge at 4/1+ to beat Serena?

Anyone put me off this?

Ask Mere, Keith, he is very well up on Ladies Tennis.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: kinboshi on August 04, 2012, 11:28:06 AM
Sharapova seems huge at 4/1+ to beat Serena?

Anyone put me off this?


Go for it.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: AndrewT on August 04, 2012, 11:44:19 AM
Pretty difficult for anyone to appear huge next to Serena.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: MereNovice on August 04, 2012, 12:29:43 PM
Sharapova seems huge at 4/1+ to beat Serena?

Anyone put me off this?

Ask Mere, Keith, he is very well up on Ladies Tennis.

It is a big price but probably reflects the reality.
Serena has looked awesome and has not dropped more than 3 games in any set yet.
She has also beaten Sharapova the last 7 times they have played including 6-1 6-3 both of the last two times.
If there is any wind, Sharapova's serve is prone to go AWOL. Serena's game is much more robust.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: The Camel on August 04, 2012, 03:19:03 PM
20/1 Mo Farah for SPOTY?

Has to be value.

Relying on double gold obv.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TightEnd on August 04, 2012, 03:36:35 PM
each way terms?

20-1 e/w..he'll be top three if he wins two golds..Wiggins/Ennis/Farah. in whatever order


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: mondatoo on August 04, 2012, 03:37:43 PM
Murray could win two Gold's  ;whistle;


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TightEnd on August 04, 2012, 03:40:49 PM
Yup, not sure Tennis in the Olympics has the cachet of Track and field double gold though



Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: AndrewT on August 04, 2012, 03:43:40 PM
each way terms?

20-1 e/w..he'll be top three if he wins two golds..Wiggins/Ennis/Farah. in whatever order

Murray gold plus Wimbledon final is top 3 possibility.

So would be two gold then retiring Pendleton.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TightEnd on August 04, 2012, 03:44:52 PM
each way terms?

20-1 e/w..he'll be top three if he wins two golds..Wiggins/Ennis/Farah. in whatever order

Murray gold plus Wimbledon final is top 3 possibility.

So would be two gold then retiring Pendleton.

A vintage year, really, if it turns out like that


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: AndrewT on August 04, 2012, 03:46:49 PM
Also Murray may yet win US Open.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: mondatoo on August 04, 2012, 03:50:37 PM
Also Murray may yet win US Open.

Most likely major for him to win imo.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: The Camel on August 04, 2012, 03:51:24 PM
I'm voting Pendleton for anything she's up for.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: BrumBilly on August 04, 2012, 04:03:49 PM
Farah could scrape a Gold if EVERYTHING goes right for him tactics-wise but can't see him doing the double. Two medals of any colour would be a stellar performance given the strength of opposition.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Jamier-Host on August 04, 2012, 07:11:36 PM
each way terms?

20-1 e/w..he'll be top three if he wins two golds..Wiggins/Ennis/Farah. in whatever order

Tweddle if she nails gold on Monday?  Everyone loves gymnastics - especially the female voters.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TightEnd on August 04, 2012, 07:14:11 PM
Its a tough tough year though

A TourDeF winner and various Olympic Champs across rowing/cycling/track(hopefully) and maybe Murray depending on tomorrow too



Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Jamier-Host on August 04, 2012, 07:40:39 PM
Yeah it's really competitive so I still think having a 1/4 shot in there is pretty crazy.  A bit more food for thought on the gymnast front:

  • GB have never won a gold medal in gymnastics
  • Tweddle has won everything going except an Olympic medal (so ticks the recent "lifetime achievement" box)
  • British public generally loves gymnastics - not got stats to back that up, but would imagine TV figures are up there

Shame the bookies have got a bit tight with their e/w terms really.  I actually did her each way a few years back when she got 3rd in SPOTY before, but was a much weaker year.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: BrumBilly on August 05, 2012, 07:19:04 PM
Have a combination of forecasts in the 100m.Bolt/other@7/1:  Blake/other@10/1 : other/Bolt@14/1 and other/Blake@16/1.   Also had Gay @12/1 last wk though he's bigger now.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Micko on August 05, 2012, 09:10:22 PM
Would anyone be able to price the tri cast of bolt Gatlin and blake?


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Tal on August 05, 2012, 09:16:13 PM
Would anyone be able to price the tri cast of bolt Gatlin and blake?

Betfair are doing a market


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Micko on August 05, 2012, 09:23:03 PM
Don't seem to have Gatlin included.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Tal on August 05, 2012, 09:25:53 PM
Don't seem to have Gatlin included.

Well that's just silly. They have a market with Powell the perennial choker but not Gatlin?


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: AndrewT on August 05, 2012, 09:31:42 PM
With this being the first Olympics under the 'one false start and you're out' rule the world record not being broken must be a huge bet at 1.49.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Karabiner on August 05, 2012, 09:34:29 PM
Woe is me, laid Bolt @ 1.8  :'(


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: MereNovice on August 05, 2012, 09:38:59 PM
Woe is me, laid Bolt @ 1.8  :'(

Sucker. I laid him at 1.77


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: kinboshi on August 05, 2012, 09:40:51 PM
Can you get odds on Gatlin getting a medal and then being stripped of it when he tests positive for drugs?


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: TightEnd on August 05, 2012, 09:42:38 PM
Too cold for a WR imo

Watch the 9.45 come in now.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: BrumBilly on August 05, 2012, 09:44:19 PM
With this being the first Olympics under the 'one false start and you're out' rule the world record not being broken must be a huge bet at 1.49.

Corals were going 2/7 about this around 3wks ago and was gonna play then but waited. Tonight Hills opened up @ 8/15 so had to get on tho track looks ultra quick so could be a close run thing. Just hoping he sits in the blocks and doesn't dip!


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Bertpup on August 05, 2012, 09:45:38 PM
Yeah it's really competitive so I still think having a 1/4 shot in there is pretty crazy.  A bit more food for thought on the gymnast front:

  • GB have never won a gold medal in gymnastics
  • Tweddle has won everything going except an Olympic medal (so ticks the recent "lifetime achievement" box)
  • British public generally loves gymnastics - not got stats to back that up, but would imagine TV figures are up there

Shame the bookies have got a bit tight with their e/w terms really.  I actually did her each way a few years back when she got 3rd in SPOTY before, but was a much weaker year.

Louis Smith lost Gold on a tie-break plus a team medal. I think the more GB golds the more chance he has of being a surprise nomination. Unless Tweddle wins a gold that is.  


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: kinboshi on August 05, 2012, 09:49:03 PM
Too cold for a WR imo

Watch the 9.45 come in now.

Think the weather's almost perfect - especially if they manage to get a 1.5m/s wind behind them as well.

Sub 9.5 s on the cards imo...


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: kinboshi on August 05, 2012, 09:56:01 PM
9.64s.

Blake in a good second, and a cheat in 3rd.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: stribling on August 06, 2012, 12:25:41 PM
Can't find Pendletons qualifying results. Is she on course to win the Track Sprint?


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: edgascoigne on August 06, 2012, 12:30:56 PM
Too cold for a WR imo

Watch the 9.45 come in now.

Think the weather's almost perfect - especially if they manage to get a 1.5m/s wind behind them as well.

Sub 9.5 s on the cards imo...

My take on things is that the record is unlikely to go anytime soon because... (and this could well be nonsense as I know v little about athletics!) ....any false starts leads to instant DisQ. Bolt has experienced this once (World Champs - came after he set WR?) and has had impressed upon him the fact that he can start slow and still win. Don't think others have the pace. Bolt could break it at a minor meet where pressure is off re: start but he's less likely to be in tip-top shape at these.

Thoughts?


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: Jon MW on August 06, 2012, 12:33:17 PM
Can't find Pendletons qualifying results. Is she on course to win the Track Sprint?

Olympic record to get into the quarters - so looking good


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: stribling on August 06, 2012, 12:37:38 PM
Can't find Pendletons qualifying results. Is she on course to win the Track Sprint?

Olympic record to get into the quarters - so looking good

haha, oh well... Max Bet 1.37 on bf. Good luck Vicky! No Chinese speed demon please.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: stribling on August 07, 2012, 05:55:01 PM
Sigh, just sigh.


Title: Re: Olympics Betting Thread
Post by: kinboshi on August 07, 2012, 07:15:07 PM
Can't find Pendletons qualifying results. Is she on course to win the Track Sprint?

Olympic record to get into the quarters - so looking good

She still looks good.