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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13486313 times)
horseplayer
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Posts: 10601
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109410 on:
November 27, 2015, 12:52:39 PM »
Not sure if fred can still bet with sportsbook but if they can
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/international/hong-kong-cup/winner
Nuovo Record £20 win at 10/1 sportsbook
365 7/2 is very short but Ryan Moore has been confirmed to ride expect the price nearer the day to be more 5/6/1.
Not an each way heat so just a small win only bet if you can
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109411 on:
November 27, 2015, 12:54:27 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on November 27, 2015, 12:52:39 PM
Not sure if fred can still bet with sportsbook but if they can
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/international/hong-kong-cup/winner
Nuovo Record £20 win at 10/1 sportsbook
365 7/2 is very short but Ryan Moore has been confirmed to ride expect the price nearer the day to be more 5/6/1.
Not an each way heat so just a small win only bet if you can
not at the moment, sorry. a bad run has nuked the account until reloaded
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Graham C
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Moo
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109412 on:
November 27, 2015, 01:05:39 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on November 27, 2015, 12:35:26 PM
Quote from: Pete2504 on November 27, 2015, 10:51:26 AM
Jamie Vardy to score anytime, boosted from 6/4 to 4/1! For anyone who can with slybet.
Can't find that price?
Expired, was part of their Black Friday "sale"
This hours offer is Saphir Du Rheu at 6/1 for Hennessy
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My Photos
Peter-27
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109413 on:
November 27, 2015, 01:41:33 PM »
FP1 in Abu Dhabi is one of the worst sessions of the year in terms of the relevance to the actual pecking order. Due to being held at a different time of day, and with teams focussing on 2016 development - it basically has NO validity at all. Therefore my bets below are based on my own thoughts and any value spots:
Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez
both at 15/8 with hills. I would expect at least one of them to manage this. Suggest £20 per driver.
Points Finish - Romain Grosjean
at 5/4 with brokes
& Carlos Sainz
at 13/8 with caddyflower. Prices just too high basically, suggest £20 on both.
Ahh, thought I had posted this already but forgot to actually hit post ..
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109414 on:
November 27, 2015, 01:58:53 PM »
this is a touch speculative, as i think ultimately labour will squeak home but anyway
from national journos on the ground in Oldham west and royton today (there on a labour orgainsed trip to oldham, orginally scheduled to be with Corbyn)
"In Oldham West, despite Corbyn no-show. Labour councillors admit backlash on doorstep to military/monarchy comments."
"Labour source just told me OldhamWest canvas returns are dreadful. A minimum of 50% of Labour voters in May will not vote Labour next week."
"Another Labour source in OldhamWest I've spoken to says that non-voters are telling party representatives they will vote UKIP/Conservative."
"OldhamWest source tells me that Labour expect to retain the vote by 100 votes at best, original majority was 14,738."
you can currently just about get 11/4 UKIP
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/oldham-west-and-royton/winning-party
In May labour polled 23,500 votes, UKIP 8,892 votes on a 60% turnout
if we take 50% off the labour vote and put it in the region of 11,700-11,800 then the question is how many of their lost votes don't vote or go UKIP, as you would expect turnout to be lower. As it stands around 25% of the loss would have to switch to ukip, only, for them to have a real chance
This is a big working class area where immigration plays a big role
this article gives a lot of the background
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34919236
obviously on monday we have a labour party decision on the syria vote. corbyn has cancelled his trip to the constituency today
on monday corbyn might whip labour to vote against. this would trigger shadow cabinet resignations
he could opt for a free vote, this would highlight up to 12 of the 16 shadow cabinet members voting against their leader
there isn't a great option for PR with the leader and Parliamentary labour party so opposed
the news flow for labour ahead of the by-election next thursday will get worse
i think ukip will go off on the day shorter than 11/4, possibly a lot shorter
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By the way,I made it through the day
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109415 on:
November 27, 2015, 02:02:33 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on November 27, 2015, 01:41:33 PM
FP1 in Abu Dhabi is one of the worst sessions of the year in terms of the relevance to the actual pecking order. Due to being held at a different time of day, and with teams focussing on 2016 development - it basically has NO validity at all. Therefore my bets below are based on my own thoughts and any value spots:
Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez
both at 15/8 with hills. I would expect at least one of them to manage this. Suggest £20 per driver.
Points Finish - Romain Grosjean
at 5/4 with brokes
& Carlos Sainz
at 13/8 with caddyflower. Prices just too high basically, suggest £20 on both.
Ahh, thought I had posted this already but forgot to actually hit post ..
Will have to wait til after FP2
http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/abu-dhabi-grand-prix/top-6-finish
for my use
we can't do ladbrokes at the moment, or paddy power at all, so will be doing the top six finish bets only as it stands
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Doobs
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Posts: 16579
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109416 on:
November 27, 2015, 02:18:15 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 27, 2015, 01:58:53 PM
this is a touch speculative, as i think ultimately labour will squeak home but anyway
from national journos on the ground in Oldham west and royton today (there on a labour orgainsed trip to oldham, orginally scheduled to be with Corbyn)
"In Oldham West, despite Corbyn no-show. Labour councillors admit backlash on doorstep to military/monarchy comments."
"Labour source just told me OldhamWest canvas returns are dreadful. A minimum of 50% of Labour voters in May will not vote Labour next week."
"Another Labour source in OldhamWest I've spoken to says that non-voters are telling party representatives they will vote UKIP/Conservative."
"OldhamWest source tells me that Labour expect to retain the vote by 100 votes at best, original majority was 14,738."
you can currently just about get 11/4 UKIP
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/oldham-west-and-royton/winning-party
In May labour polled 23,500 votes, UKIP 8,892 votes on a 60% turnout
if we take 50% off the labour vote and put it in the region of 11,700-11,800 then the question is how many of their lost votes don't vote or go UKIP, as you would expect turnout to be lower. As it stands around 25% of the loss would have to switch to ukip, only, for them to have a real chance
This is a big working class area where immigration plays a big role
this article gives a lot of the background
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34919236
obviously on monday we have a labour party decision on the syria vote. corbyn has cancelled his trip to the constituency today
on monday corbyn might whip labour to vote against. this would trigger shadow cabinet resignations
he could opt for a free vote, this would highlight up to 12 of the 16 shadow cabinet members voting against their leader
there isn't a great option for PR with the leader and Parliamentary labour party so opposed
the news flow for labour ahead of the by-election next thursday will get worse
i think ukip will go off on the day shorter than 11/4, possibly a lot shorter
These early by elections are always hard to win for the party of
Government
opposition. Really is a shambles. At least we can be happy a few thousand people got to feel happy about themselves for a few weeks.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109417 on:
November 27, 2015, 02:32:46 PM »
only just seen this
"
‘Labour have huge problems with their working class vote from what I have seen. These results were essentially reflected across the board by the 100 other campaigners over the last 2 weeks. Ukip is more popular than Farage though very few actively dislike him. But Corbyn has completely turned off his vote.
‘Ukip are still going to struggle because near 30% (south east Asian electorate) actively dislike Ukip and are certain to vote Labour if they come out to vote. Ukip will win comfortably in Royton South…the question really is, whether the south east Asian vote turns out. If they do and Ukip fail to turn 30-40% of the Tories, Ukip won’t gain more than 35% and will lose.
‘It all depends on the turnout, but in my honest opinion, at 3/1 it represents a ridiculous value for money as I’d put them both at evens. Ukip can win here, they are getting a very warm welcome and Corbyn is destroying his core vote.’
which is in this
http://blogs.new.spectator.co.uk/2015/11/will-labours-civil-war-over-bombing-syria-cause-problems-in-oldham-west/
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
horseplayer
Hero Member
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Posts: 10601
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109418 on:
November 27, 2015, 02:37:03 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on November 27, 2015, 12:54:27 PM
Quote from: horseplayer on November 27, 2015, 12:52:39 PM
Not sure if fred can still bet with sportsbook but if they can
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/international/hong-kong-cup/winner
Nuovo Record £20 win at 10/1 sportsbook
365 7/2 is very short but Ryan Moore has been confirmed to ride expect the price nearer the day to be more 5/6/1.
Not an each way heat so just a small win only bet if you can
not at the moment, sorry. a bad run has nuked the account until reloaded
Np
Worth a small bet if anyway can
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Peter-27
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Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109419 on:
November 27, 2015, 03:33:36 PM »
Perez 3rd, Hulkenberg 8th in FP2.
Very encouraging for our Force India season points bet
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109420 on:
November 27, 2015, 03:41:43 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on November 27, 2015, 03:33:36 PM
Perez 3rd, Hulkenberg 8th in FP2.
Very encouraging for our Force India season points bet
Minimum price you will take on each for the top six please?
recommended at 15/8, early prices going up are 11/8 and 13/8
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109421 on:
November 27, 2015, 03:42:27 PM »
7/4 lab under 2000 ladbrokes is interesting for oldham too if you expect them to cling on
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
exstream
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Posts: 2511
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109422 on:
November 27, 2015, 03:50:45 PM »
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/lma-manager-of-the-year-14-15
Ranieri, surely all Leicester have to do is finish top 6 for him to win it. It doesn't often go to the winner of the league, I guess Wenger will get it if Arsenal win the title though.
Pochettino surely big too.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109423 on:
November 27, 2015, 04:15:37 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on November 27, 2015, 01:41:33 PM
FP1 in Abu Dhabi is one of the worst sessions of the year in terms of the relevance to the actual pecking order. Due to being held at a different time of day, and with teams focussing on 2016 development - it basically has NO validity at all. Therefore my bets below are based on my own thoughts and any value spots:
Top Six Finish - Nico Hulkenberg & Sergio Perez
both at 15/8 with hills. I would expect at least one of them to manage this. Suggest £20 per driver.
Points Finish - Romain Grosjean
at 5/4 with brokes
& Carlos Sainz
at 13/8 with caddyflower. Prices just too high basically, suggest £20 on both.
Ahh, thought I had posted this already but forgot to actually hit post ..
HILLS 11/8 Hulk and Perez
please advise
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
BigAdz
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Posts: 8152
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #109424 on:
November 27, 2015, 04:48:31 PM »
If anyone can get the 8-1 on Aloomomo in the 1.15 @ news tomorrow, take it.
Much improved for stable switch and probably still on improve for stable in form. Probably more a 4-1 shot later.
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