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Poll
Question: How will you vote on December 12th 2019
Conservative - 19 (33.9%)
Labour - 12 (21.4%)
SNP - 2 (3.6%)
Lib Dem - 8 (14.3%)
Brexit - 1 (1.8%)
Green - 6 (10.7%)
Other - 2 (3.6%)
Spoil - 0 (0%)
Not voting - 6 (10.7%)
Total Voters: 55

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Author Topic: The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged  (Read 2204342 times)
arbboy
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« Reply #3180 on: June 24, 2016, 02:29:28 AM »

If Betfair is right I must be jolly for arbboy's pony!

You will probably do the right thing and back a 200/1 poke in the final at bet365 prices which is 50/1 on bf and it will win!  Hoping a casual wins and backs a 4/7 shot with it!  I quite fancy my guess tbh!  I think i am the current jolly to win my own bet back.
« Last Edit: June 24, 2016, 02:32:03 AM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #3181 on: June 24, 2016, 02:31:29 AM »

275% spike on Google.com/trends for the question "what happens if we leave the EU?" in the last two hours. But late to be asking that?!
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« Reply #3182 on: June 24, 2016, 02:32:39 AM »

Amazing how many people don't vote in something like this.  Low 70%'s is pretty low right for something this important? 
it's huge. Only Blair/1997 election has had over 70 since 1979.
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« Reply #3183 on: June 24, 2016, 02:34:39 AM »

Amazing how many people don't vote in something like this.  Low 70%'s is pretty low right for something this important? 

I imagine its such a complex issue that there were a lot of undecided people.

So much to balance: political ideology, immigration, economic effects etc. Each sub-issue will have its own remain / brexit leaning, and I imagine a lot of people struggled  to resolve those conflicts to a point were they were strongly or confidently in favour of one side of the argument.
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arbboy
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« Reply #3184 on: June 24, 2016, 02:35:42 AM »

Amazing how many people don't vote in something like this.  Low 70%'s is pretty low right for something this important? 
it's huge. Only Blair/1997 election has had over 70 since 1979.

Every vote counts in this though.  Voting in the vast majority of areas in a GE is pointless.  I never vote in a GE where i live because it makes no difference in the slightest with a 20k majority.  I was expecting this to be way into the high 70%'s turnover wise.
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« Reply #3185 on: June 24, 2016, 02:38:11 AM »

Amazing how many people don't vote in something like this.  Low 70%'s is pretty low right for something this important? 

I imagine its such a complex issue that there were a lot of undecided people.

So much to balance: political ideology, immigration, economic effects etc. Each sub-issue will have its own remain / brexit leaning, and I imagine a lot of people struggled  to resolve those conflicts to a point were they were strongly or confidently in favour of one side of the argument.

My mother postal voted a couple of weeks ago.

Has changed her mind about 6 times as to whether she voted the right way or not!
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« Reply #3186 on: June 24, 2016, 02:38:36 AM »

Amazing how many people don't vote in something like this.  Low 70%'s is pretty low right for something this important?  
it's huge. Only Blair/1997 election has had over 70 since 1979.

Every vote counts in this though.  Voting in the vast majority of areas in a GE is pointless.  I never vote in a GE where i live because it makes no difference in the slightest with a 20k majority.  I was expecting this to be way into the high 70%'s turnover wise.

But one vote is never going to be the difference is it so why bother?

Or just team up with a person of the opposite stance and agree to both not vote Cheesy
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« Reply #3187 on: June 24, 2016, 02:40:02 AM »

Add a game of prisoner's dilemma to make it easier Cheesy
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« Reply #3188 on: June 24, 2016, 02:40:30 AM »

Turnout is 67% as I type this.

I nearly didn't vote, since I became so conflicted on the issues, and annoyed by the poverty of the case made by either side. In the end I got to the polling station in the belief my vote wouldn't count anyway but determined to exercise my democratic right.

Radio 5 Live reporter mentioned that he met a lot of ppl who decided against voting as they felt unqualified to make the right decision - or that they were simply too confused to know which box to mark with an X. I suspect that there's a great deal of truth about this - with an added measure of weather.

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« Reply #3189 on: June 24, 2016, 02:44:05 AM »

What price a draw?  10000/1?
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« Reply #3190 on: June 24, 2016, 02:45:27 AM »

2 of the three staunchest remain areas at the bottom of turnout. This has to be tighter than leave 2/1 on netfair
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« Reply #3191 on: June 24, 2016, 02:46:06 AM »

got to add 2 more zeros to that surely? 33million votes in play.
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« Reply #3192 on: June 24, 2016, 02:46:47 AM »

What price a draw?  10000/1?

Add a nought, probably two noughts.
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« Reply #3193 on: June 24, 2016, 02:47:19 AM »

Labour says the snp hasn't done enough
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arbboy
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« Reply #3194 on: June 24, 2016, 02:48:36 AM »

What price a draw?  10000/1?

Add a nought, probably two noughts.

It is only 50/50 to be impossible to be a draw if the total turnout is an odd number!!!  That was my point!
« Last Edit: June 24, 2016, 02:50:10 AM by arbboy » Logged
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