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Author Topic: Swimming Against the Tide  (Read 86795 times)
The Camel
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« Reply #180 on: February 07, 2009, 05:22:50 PM »

2.1 Liverpool now.

It's mortgage time imo.

Team news put some them off i imagine

Team news is the most over rated factor in predicting football results.

Yes, Torres and Gerrard missing means Liverpool are slightly less likely to win, but nowhere near as much as 1.66 to 2.12 suggests.

Didnt realise they'd jumped that much, thought you meant from 1.92...

I backed them at 1.92 earlier.. when news of Torres starting on the bench came out they jumped to 2.12. although the price has stabilised at 2.02 now.
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The Camel
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« Reply #181 on: February 07, 2009, 09:56:49 PM »

Updating is easy after a day like that!

Running total +389

West Brom LOSE -200
Wolves WIN +190 (the second bet on them didn't get matched unfortunately)
Southampton LOSE -100
Liverpool WIN +437
Wigan WIN +475
West Brom WIN +285
Brum LOSE -200

Running Total +1276 (Or +12.76 if you think it's poncy)
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
The Camel
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« Reply #182 on: February 08, 2009, 12:12:19 PM »

I couldn't put off anyone backing Tottenham at 3.55 today, but I am waiting for a little better.. I have put up 100pts @ 3.7, I'll let you know if it gets matched.

However, one bet for sure:

200pts Tottenham/Spurs UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.98

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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
TheChipPrince
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« Reply #183 on: February 08, 2009, 12:15:28 PM »

I couldn't put off anyone backing Tottenham at 3.55 today, but I am waiting for a little better.. I have put up 100pts @ 3.7, I'll let you know if it gets matched.

However, one bet for sure:

200pts Tottenham/Spurs UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.98


Should that read Tottenham/Arsenal or is Spurs to score 2 or less?
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The Camel
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« Reply #184 on: February 08, 2009, 12:34:43 PM »

I couldn't put off anyone backing Tottenham at 3.55 today, but I am waiting for a little better.. I have put up 100pts @ 3.7, I'll let you know if it gets matched.

However, one bet for sure:

200pts Tottenham/Spurs UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.98


Should that read Tottenham/Arsenal or is Spurs to score 2 or less?

It's the game total to be 2 or less goals..
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Colchester Kev
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« Reply #185 on: February 08, 2009, 12:38:32 PM »

@rse cant score goals, Spurs cant score at home ...


6-5 to Spurs then Smiley
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The Camel
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« Reply #186 on: February 08, 2009, 12:38:50 PM »

Actually just looking around.. if anyone has a BET365 account, you are better off backing under 2.5 on their Asian Handicap Goal Line at 1.975.
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The Camel
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« Reply #187 on: February 08, 2009, 12:54:40 PM »

The Spurs bet has been matched now..

100pts Tottenham @ 3.7
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« Reply #188 on: February 08, 2009, 12:57:13 PM »

The Spurs bet has been matched now..

100pts Tottenham @ 3.7

I would really love it if that bet comes in ... REALLY LOVE IT !!


GL GL GL GL GL
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« Reply #189 on: February 08, 2009, 02:14:37 PM »

The Spurs bet has been matched now..

100pts Tottenham @ 3.7

3.7 is massive compared to sporting bets 9/5, huge difference, even by Betfair standards...  What would the commission be on that Camel?  (I know it 'depends' but roughly)
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The Camel
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« Reply #190 on: February 08, 2009, 02:19:39 PM »

The Spurs bet has been matched now..

100pts Tottenham @ 3.7

3.7 is massive compared to sporting bets 9/5, huge difference, even by Betfair standards...  What would the commission be on that Camel?  (I know it 'depends' but roughly)

The more you bet, the less commission you pay. I pay 3.2% at the moment. The starting point is 5% and that's what I use for calculating the running total.
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« Reply #191 on: February 08, 2009, 07:37:20 PM »

Thread tidied up .... Guys, its Sunday, you are bored and I am grumpy.

Keep the personal insults off the forum.

Thanks

PS. Its not up for debate, and the next one that decides to go for it will get a 7 day ban.
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« Reply #192 on: February 09, 2009, 04:14:34 AM »

keith, are you gonna be using this thread for football only? 12.5pt start is very impressive due to the number of selections you make each week. How many points would you expect to make per year sticking to this system of swimming against the tide?
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The Camel
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« Reply #193 on: February 09, 2009, 11:24:31 AM »

Thread tidied up .... Guys, its Sunday, you are bored and I am grumpy.

Keep the personal insults off the forum.

Thanks

PS. Its not up for debate, and the next one that decides to go for it will get a 7 day ban.

Damn, what did I miss? Never had a post like this on one of my threads before!!!!
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
TheChipPrince
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« Reply #194 on: February 09, 2009, 11:34:07 AM »

Do you look as far down as the conference Camel?

Burton at home to Rushden tonight @ 1.6ish, lost 4-0 at Stevenage last week in the FA trophy, worth laying?
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