as per comments on the koeman is a saints thread I am going to put this here
I think it will be rejected and everyone know I am a nit when it comes to money
as per the original recommend and your comments in the bet
I would seriously think about laying £16.50 off on the befair exchange
it would mean tying up £100ish for rest of season but will give us a freeroll on the bets
I do think saints have played the market well and getting koeman in
and keeping a few of the players that was linked away means IMHO the 7.2 available for the lay is worth it
well I am a mug punter so I would be laying it before the price goes up with a good fixture list
potty looks very likely to be going to spurs now, he is talking to levy. with him going its going to be likely the squad is going to get broken up
with lallana and shaw already likely to go add into that lovern schneiderlin and ward-prowse
with intrest also going to be in chambers clyne rodrigeous and rameriez
the saints could easy be losing 6+ of the squad that got them up the table last year
and its going to be hard to attract players of a quailty to a "selling club"
the 2.25 for finishing in bottom half looks a good bet
as does the 15.0 for relegation even 10.0 looks value to me
maybe i am just being a pessimist but i would recommend £10 on both
Betfred would not lay me a penny at 14-1, I was going to put the £25 freebet on
totesport on the other hand
Bet receipt
Your selections
Event: Premier League 2014-2015 - Relegation
Time: 05-05-2015 15:00
BS_MARKET: Relegation
Selection: Southampton @ 14/1
Your Bets
Win
Single:
Southampton
1 line at £15.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £15.00
Potential Return: £225.00
No: O/0849138/0000013
Total stake:£15.00
Free bets/vouchers:£0.00
Total cost:£15.00
i'd rather not do 2-1 bottom half with the bet to run for 15 months, and have the bit extra on relegation bet ironside if thats ok
I know a lot of money left the club when Cortese left, and some of the £ from the players will be re-invested but we have
a) new manager risk
b) getting new players in of sufficient quality risk
so i reckon 14-1 should shorten as it plays out