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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13496479 times)
arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94410 on:
January 27, 2015, 02:12:49 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on January 27, 2015, 01:57:41 PM
Quote from: arbboy on January 27, 2015, 01:06:04 PM
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=37799.2220
both at 33/1 are decent bets. People are asking for much less than 25/1 on betfair for both teams to go down. ty for marking my card and forcing me to have a look at this market. I don't expect many people to follow me in on here but 33/1 on your mob to go down is worth a bet.
You are right though Everton are a better team than Newcastle and should be priced as such to go down.
Just posted this on Geordies thread in reply to someone asking me a question. Think Newcastle are worthy of a decent bet at 33/1 to go down. People are asking for under 25/1 for decent money on bf (last price matched was 19/1). Suggest £50 at 33/1.
Everton are similarly over priced at 33/1 but not the value Newcastle are (sporting index have Everton in for 1 more point over the season than Newcastle) but 33/1 is still value. People asking for 26/1 on bf for decent moneey and 24/1 last price matched on bf. Recommened £25 on Everton at 33/1
Either bet is obviously a great use of a free bet token should you have any currently to use with the firms in question.
Newcastle only need about 6 points to be safe, Everton 10ish. Surely there is more than enough Everton are a better team in that? Maybe they are both value? I would like to see the correlation between Pardew Out and those people asking for 26/1 for sure.
Does 33-35 points keep you up nowadays in the EPL?
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94411 on:
January 27, 2015, 02:35:28 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on January 27, 2015, 02:12:49 PM
Quote from: Doobs on January 27, 2015, 01:57:41 PM
Quote from: arbboy on January 27, 2015, 01:06:04 PM
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=37799.2220
both at 33/1 are decent bets. People are asking for much less than 25/1 on betfair for both teams to go down. ty for marking my card and forcing me to have a look at this market. I don't expect many people to follow me in on here but 33/1 on your mob to go down is worth a bet.
You are right though Everton are a better team than Newcastle and should be priced as such to go down.
Just posted this on Geordies thread in reply to someone asking me a question. Think Newcastle are worthy of a decent bet at 33/1 to go down. People are asking for under 25/1 for decent money on bf (last price matched was 19/1). Suggest £50 at 33/1.
Everton are similarly over priced at 33/1 but not the value Newcastle are (sporting index have Everton in for 1 more point over the season than Newcastle) but 33/1 is still value. People asking for 26/1 on bf for decent moneey and 24/1 last price matched on bf. Recommened £25 on Everton at 33/1
Either bet is obviously a great use of a free bet token should you have any currently to use with the firms in question.
Newcastle only need about 6 points to be safe, Everton 10ish. Surely there is more than enough Everton are a better team in that? Maybe they are both value? I would like to see the correlation between Pardew Out and those people asking for 26/1 for sure.
Does 33-35 points keep you up nowadays in the EPL?
Guess so, the bottom 3 are 3 off a point a game right now, so I'd expect the final position to be slightly worse. Assuming teams averaging a point a game are going to continue at that is as good a projection as any. Of course, shit happens and Hull could take off like Palace have done this year and last. But if that happens somebody is likely to run bad too. All a guess, but am reasonably sure it should be better than looking at previous points to be relegated.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94412 on:
January 27, 2015, 04:58:09 PM »
Quote from: superwomble on January 27, 2015, 12:05:52 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 26, 2015, 05:24:59 PM
Crystal Palace are 11/4 to finish above Newcastle United in the Premier League following John Carver's appointment
This is b365 so may not be for the thread, but
Carver has W0 D1 L3
Pardew P2 W2 in the league
Palace are 4 points behind with 16 games to go
they have to play each other at palace on 11 Feb
What do you think of the 11/4?
Have they still got this? Only match bet I can see is Newcastle v Sunderland.
sorry for the delay, have been travelling south for the night
i checked with bet 365
" Steve Freeth @stevefreeth
@tighty Afternoon Rich - that one is available over the phone - 08000 322365, still 11/4 at mo"
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By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94413 on:
January 27, 2015, 05:03:44 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on January 27, 2015, 04:58:09 PM
Quote from: superwomble on January 27, 2015, 12:05:52 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 26, 2015, 05:24:59 PM
Crystal Palace are 11/4 to finish above Newcastle United in the Premier League following John Carver's appointment
This is b365 so may not be for the thread, but
Carver has W0 D1 L3
Pardew P2 W2 in the league
Palace are 4 points behind with 16 games to go
they have to play each other at palace on 11 Feb
What do you think of the 11/4?
Have they still got this? Only match bet I can see is Newcastle v Sunderland.
sorry for the delay, have been travelling south for the night
i checked with bet 365
" Steve Freeth @stevefreeth
@tighty Afternoon Rich - that one is available over the phone - 08000 322365, still 11/4 at mo"
I like that bet Rich, think we should try & get a bit on.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94414 on:
January 27, 2015, 05:06:45 PM »
Quote from: tikay on January 27, 2015, 05:03:44 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 27, 2015, 04:58:09 PM
Quote from: superwomble on January 27, 2015, 12:05:52 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 26, 2015, 05:24:59 PM
Crystal Palace are 11/4 to finish above Newcastle United in the Premier League following John Carver's appointment
This is b365 so may not be for the thread, but
Carver has W0 D1 L3
Pardew P2 W2 in the league
Palace are 4 points behind with 16 games to go
they have to play each other at palace on 11 Feb
What do you think of the 11/4?
Have they still got this? Only match bet I can see is Newcastle v Sunderland.
sorry for the delay, have been travelling south for the night
i checked with bet 365
" Steve Freeth @stevefreeth
@tighty Afternoon Rich - that one is available over the phone - 08000 322365, still 11/4 at mo"
I like that bet Rich, think we should try & get a bit on.
if you want to you need to phone up. they might not lay you much on a 1% account though
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94415 on:
January 27, 2015, 05:07:33 PM »
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-2928355/Stoke-City-forward-Bojan-Krkic-facing-six-months-suffering-cruciate-knee-injury.html
Not helpful for the Stoke top 10 bet.
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bobby1
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Posts: 9588
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94416 on:
January 27, 2015, 05:10:10 PM »
If you get knocked back on the bet I will lay you the rest Tony. I've no idea if it's value or not btw.
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superwomble
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Posts: 2728
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94417 on:
January 27, 2015, 05:11:43 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on January 27, 2015, 04:58:09 PM
Quote from: superwomble on January 27, 2015, 12:05:52 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on January 26, 2015, 05:24:59 PM
Crystal Palace are 11/4 to finish above Newcastle United in the Premier League following John Carver's appointment
This is b365 so may not be for the thread, but
Carver has W0 D1 L3
Pardew P2 W2 in the league
Palace are 4 points behind with 16 games to go
they have to play each other at palace on 11 Feb
What do you think of the 11/4?
Have they still got this? Only match bet I can see is Newcastle v Sunderland.
sorry for the delay, have been travelling south for the night
i checked with bet 365
" Steve Freeth @stevefreeth
@tighty Afternoon Rich - that one is available over the phone - 08000 322365, still 11/4 at mo"
Thanks Tighty
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arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94418 on:
January 27, 2015, 05:14:10 PM »
pretty sure a 1% account at bet365 will get told to gtfo if you try and place a bet on the phone. Think you take what is offered online and that's it.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94419 on:
January 27, 2015, 05:16:08 PM »
for the record, i didn't know what to think of 11/4, hence i asked. It wasn't a leading question looking to get a bet on
probably a bit recency-led, momentumy, ice-creamy but its not 11/4 if Palace beat newcastle at home, i was tempted to think
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
sonour
Hero Member
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Posts: 1665
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94420 on:
January 27, 2015, 06:10:33 PM »
Tikay, it would be very useful to know if you can get more on a 1% account at 476 by ringing up.
Thanks
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94421 on:
January 27, 2015, 06:17:24 PM »
Quote from: sonour on January 27, 2015, 06:10:33 PM
Tikay, it would be very useful to know if you can get more on a 1% account at 476 by ringing up.
Thanks
Am working tonight Lisa, but will reply in the morning.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
exstream
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Posts: 2511
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94422 on:
January 27, 2015, 08:13:18 PM »
Someone who I discuss tennis with says the following:
Since you're into value, you should be well into Berdych odds to win the open
Into the semis now, 2.3 vs Murray and would be no worse than 2.8 vs djokovic in final
That's a double well under 6.5, but his odds are 10.5
And there's still a chance Novak loses in the QF or SF, which would slash his odds and make Berdych favourite in the final
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arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94423 on:
January 27, 2015, 08:29:41 PM »
Quote from: exstream on January 27, 2015, 08:13:18 PM
Someone who I discuss tennis with says the following:
Since you're into value, you should be well into Berdych odds to win the open
Into the semis now, 2.3 vs Murray and would be no worse than 2.8 vs djokovic in final
That's a double well under 6.5, but his odds are 10.5
And there's still a chance Novak loses in the QF or SF, which would slash his odds and make Berdych favourite in the final
The problem here is 2.3 is a redic short price for him to beat murray. I have had a max bet at 8/11 on muzza to beat Berd fwiw. If you put the 'correct' price in for berd for the semis then the 10.5 looks 'right'.
I would also happily lay him at 15/8 to beat djork should they make the final.
«
Last Edit: January 27, 2015, 08:31:48 PM by arbboy
»
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nirvana
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Posts: 7804
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #94424 on:
January 27, 2015, 09:57:39 PM »
Djok..save a keystroke like
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sola virtus nobilitat
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