blonde poker forum

Under 4 weeks to go, so might as well get one going.

I've not had much time to watch much racing live this year, nevermind sifting through replays, with work being so busy.

So my A/P portfolio is pretty light, and will have to do more starchasing on the day this year :)

Anyone gotten involved much so far?

Will chuck the bits I do have up, and all the dead stuff, too.

Day 1

Supreme

1pt @ 20/1 Fiddlerontheroof
0.5pts @ 50/1 Asterion Forlonge (Chanelle/Sup special)



Arkle

2pts @ 25/1 Notebook
1pt @ 33/1 Rouge Vif
1pt @ 33/1 Annamix



Ultima H'Cap Chase

0.5pts @ 50/1 Vintage Clouds



Champion Hurdle

2pts @ 14/1 Honeysucklle (Irish/English CH special)
1pt  @ 40/1 Epatante (Xmas/CH special)
1.5pts @ 33/1 Sharjah
0.5pts @ 60/1 Darvers Star (Freebet)



Mares Hurdle




Northern Trust Novice H'Cap Chase

2pts @ 16/1 Hold The Note
1.5pts @ 20/1 Imperial Aura
1.5pts @ 20/1 Galvin



National Hunt Chase

1pt @ 40/1 Ronald Pump   
1pt @ 33/1 Redzor      
1pt @ 33/1 Faugheen

Dead Day 1 (So Far)

Supreme

2pts @ 20/1 Blue Sari (NRNB)
1pt @ 50/1 Nickolson
1pt @ 50/1 Mister Coffee



Arkle

0.5pts @ 50/1 Nube Negra
2pts @ 16/1 Melon



Champion Hurdle

1pt @ 33/1 City Island



National Hunt Chase

1.5pts @ 33/1 Early Doors

Day 2

Ballymore Novices Hurdle


RSA Chase   

1pt @ 18/1 Champ (AJ pts DBL)   
1pt @ 33/1 Easy Game         
2pts @ 20/1 Sam Brown (NRNB)



Coral Cup

2pts @ 25/1 Protektorat      
1pt  @ 33/1 Sutton Place (NRNB)



QM Champion Chase

1p @ 25/1 A Plus Tard (99% dead)



Cross Country Chase   

0.5pts @ 50/1 Chic Name



Boodles Juvenile H'Cap Hdle

3pts @ 20/1 Tronador      
2ps @ 14/1 Aramax   



Champion Bumper

2pts @ 14/1 Appreciate It
1.5pts @ 25/1 Ferny Hollow   
2pts @ 20/1 Power of Pause (NRNB)

Day 2 Dead

Ballymore Novices Hurdle

1.5pts @ 20/1 Unexcepted


RSA Chase   

Coral Cup

QM Champion Chase

Cross Country Chase

Boodles Juvenile H'Cap Hdle

Champion Bumper

1pt @ 33/1 Hamundarson      
1pt @ 33/1 Ramillies      
1pt @ 50/1 Energumene (entered over hurdles)      

So how did that work out Marky?

I haven't got a single ante post bet up this year, though I have a bit of interest through the ten to follow comp.  I definitely need to get some videos watched, as I have been pretty slack on keeping up this year.  I bought the timeform chasers and hurdlers this year too, and that has been barely read so far.

I have booked the betting emporium meal in London again this time, so need to get studying or I am going to come across as such a noob.  Is anyone else going ths time?

Day 3

Marsh Novices Chase

2pts @ 16/1 Allaho (NRNB)



Pertemps Final

1pt @ 33/1 The Storyteller         
1.5pts @  @ 33/1 Kilbricken Storm



Ryanair Chase

1pt @ 33/1 Monalee   
1pt @ 16/1 A Plus Tard



Stayers Hurdle



Brown Advisory Plate

3pts @ 14/1 Simply The Betts (NRNB)



Mares Novice Hurdle

1.5pts @ 20/1 Colreevy
3pts @  8/1 Lamarckise   
   

      
Kim Muir Challenge Cup
  
1.5pts @ 33/1 Fitzhenry      
1pt @ 25/1 Fitzhenry      

Not really evaluated it as of yet, but know I've got some good spots, and some dead ones. It's just happened by default, rather than me planning to bet less. Work so busy I've not had time, so just been watching what I can, and trying to nick prices here and there.

Think I've been lucky not to have done much, as this year looks really tough. Reckon I'd have done some dough if I had gotten properly involved, and may well still do some money, just can't do my conkers.

I'd like to do it one year, but to/from london is such a pita for me. Have to stick with Facebook/Youtube livestreams of the preview evenings.

Day 3 Dead

Marsh Novices Chase

1pt @ 40/1 Vision D'Honneur


Pertemps Final


Ryanair Chase

1.5pts @ 20/1 Kalashnikov



Stayers Hurdle

Brown Advisory Plate

Mares Novice Hurdle
      
Kim Muir Challenge Cup
 

Day 4

Triumph Hurdle

1.5pts @ 25/1 Mick Pastor (NRNB)
1pt @ 33/1 Battle of Wills   
0.5pts  @ 50/1 Echoes in the Rain
   
   
      
County Hurdle

1pt @ 50/1 Mohaayed   



Albert Bartlett

2pts @ 14/1 Thyme Hill      
0.5pts  @ 66/1 Latest Exhibition



Cheltenham Gold Cup

4pts @ 18/1 Lostintranslation
3.5pts @ 20/1 Delta Work



Foxhunter Chase

4pts @  7/1 Hazel Hill



Grand Annual

1.5pts @ 33/1 Brelan D'as



Cond H'cap Hurdle

1pt @ 25/1 Conflated
1pt @ 33/1 Conflated   
0.5pts  @ 33/1 Column of Fire   
2pts @ 10/1 Column of Fire(NRNB)

Blimey, if that's light I don't know what the f*** I've been doing with my time.

So far got interests in :

Champion Hurdle       Darver Star
RSA                          Minella Indo
Gold Cup                   Al Boum Photo

All within the last few weeks so not at fancy prices.

I think the Champion Chase is fascinating this year with a really strong top end, the Gold Cup will be the toughest for a few years & the Champion Hurdle is really interesting as you can make a case against any of the the top of the market.

Day 4 Dead

Triumph Hurdle
      
County Hurdle

Albert Bartlett

Cheltenham Gold Cup

Foxhunter Chase

Grand Annual

Cond H'cap Hurdle


I'm sure something will be dead before next month.

Gotta love Marky's "bit light this year".

GL mate, hope you get the lot.

Sadly, not me, the timing could not have been worse, I'd loved to have been there but I'm going to have to miss it again.

Maybe I'll just follow Marky in...

I've not totted it up this year, as I've just treated it as more of a point and punt. I'm guessing I should have totted, as it might not be quite as small a book as I thought :D

I backed LiT & DW after the festival last year, and was going to lay LiT when he went shorter than Al Boum for the GC, as that was crazy. I didn't, and just decided to take the sweat with everything. Apart from Envoi in the Supreme, where I backed him @ 20/1 with Padraig, and laid him at 5/1 on the machine.

I've got Chacun a/r with Tikay's mob that I managed to snipe after he beat DDS last year, bu the only cover I have on that race is Defi in a JP trixie.

Might have a freebet treble on your three, just for japes :)

CH looks super weak, and very open. CC should be the race of the festival, now they've confirmed Defi.

They'll be on their way to Tescos, if your cash is weighing them down as well!

Any Race
   
6pts @ 10/1 Chacun Pour Soi         Sky
4pts @ 12/1 Sire Du Berlais                 WH
2.5pts @ 12/1 Battleoverdoyen         WH
2.5pts @ 25/1 Off You Go            365
2pts @ 25/1 Champagne Classic         WH
2pts @ 16/1 Ok Corral            WH
1.5pts @ 20/1 Summerville Boy         WH
1.5pts @ 25/1 Art Mauresque         WH
1pt @ 33/1 The Big Getaway         WH
1pt @ 25/1 Shattered Love         WH
1p @ 25/1 Sempo            WH
1pt @ 25/1 Column of Fire         WH
1.5pts @ 20/1 Saint Roi            WH



Specials

0.5pts @ 55/1 Cham Class/Envoi Allen/H'Suckle A/R      
1pt @ 40/1 Epatante to win Xmas & Champ      
2pts @ 16/1 Envoi/Tiger/Paisley   
0.25pts  @ 100/1 Notebook/Honeysuckle/Champ Classic

Multiples


Carefully Selected
Defi De Seuil
Min

0.5pts TREBLE (NRNB)



Abacadabras (Supreme)
Envoi Allen (Ballymore)

1pt DBL



Envoi Allen (Ballymore)
Allmankind  (Triumph)

2pts DBL



Minella Indo (RSA)
Al Boum Photo(GC)

1pt DBL



Altior
Easysland
Fakir D'Oudairies

0.5pts TRB



Hazel Hill    (F'Hunters)
Al Boum Photo   (Gold Cup)

1pt DBL



Hazel Hill
Saldier

£10DBL - WH



Cash Back
Itchy Feet

0.5PT DBL (NRNB)



Fakir Doudairies   Arkle
Champ          RSA
Defi Du Seuil      CC

0.25pts TRX



Thyme Hill (AB)
Al Boum      (GC)
Ilikedway  (MP)

0.5pts TRB @ 250/1



Envoi Allen    (Bally)
DD Seuil   (CC)
Tiger Roll   (X-C)
Appreciate It   (Bumper)

0.5pts ACC @ 66/1

Dead Multiples


Abacadabras (Supreme)
Andy Dufresne(Ballymore)

1pt DBL



Malone Road (Supreme)
Envoi Allen (Ballymore)

1pt DBL



Saldier
Dolcita

1pt DBL

I don't get why Honeysuckle is getting aimed at the Mares.  Benie Des Dieux is better than Epatante and Honeysuckle could easily be better than both.  In a normal year I can see why the mares might appeal, but this isn't a normal year.

Marky is your issue getting out from London or getting into Cheltenham racecourse?  I am an hour North of London on the train, but have an estate and the back seats go down.  Sure I can help you with the important stuff when there like betting and beers.   Guess we are both nightowls so getting up really early in the morning might be an issue.

The place is pretty rammed but there is a lot of concrete and lifts about and away from Gold Cup day I guess the chair can still get about.  I went on Tuesday last year, which wasn't too painful, it is probably the best day anyway.  

Still think it's undecided, and would imagine they'll end up going for the Champion, as I don't think they're going to run Benie over 2 miles at the Festival.

I meant Neil's do. It's just the 3hr drive to London parking, wheelchair etc. Appreciate the offer, though. Very kind.

I haven't got a scooter this side of the pond, though might get one soon :D

We were gonna get a villa in Tenerife again, but one of the lads is getting married in June, and then going to Vegas as well, so we scrapped it again. I've always been tempted to go back to Cheltenham now I actually like racing, but I'm not too fond of crowds, especially when they're as big as the ones down there!

Neil's do is sold out now, so it is probably too late, but if you want to go next year give me a shout.  It is on a Saturday and near Farringdon station.   Sure I can shove you up the hill if needed, and it is easy for me to get there early if needed.  I will have a recce this year to see how accessible it is.  I think there may be cobbles outside and it is downstairs in a basement, but just read on their site that it is wheelchair accessible.  Guess there must be a lift that I missed.

It is really very good though.  I got way more back through betting than I paid for the event last year.  It is just a really useful evening for crystalising your thoughts and pickimg up on stuff you have missed.  Half the audience seem really knowledgeable too, so you can really pick a lot of stuff up.  There is very little chaff to sift through, though you do get the odd loudmouth who doesn't realise they aren't offering much (possinbly me?).  I wouldn't pay £100 for that meal, but it is likely a £50 meal once you include the free wine, so you are only paying £50 for the info. 

Book me in for next year, then. I'll drive up to Twickenham or something, and get a hotel. I can grab a cab into town for the meal. If they can drop me at the front door of the pub, I'll fall down the stairs easily enough, lol.

I've not listened to one Final Furlong Pod this year, and I used to listen religiously. I try to listen to the RP cheltenham vlogs when I get the chance, and I've probably read the Weekender 2/3 times since I got back from Vegas in the summer. By the time the previews come around, I've normally done 90% of my betting, so watching those is good for clarity on stuff you've done, and to maybe pick up something you may have missed. You only need one or two bits and it pays for itself, as you say.

Maybe I can guilt Russ Wiseman into reopening my SB account, if I really lay it on thick ;D

Russ Wiseman does reopen SB acounts if you speak to him.  So long as you reasonable volume and don't do shady stuff I think you'll be ok.  He has made the offer each time I have gone.

I will try and remember to give you a nudge when the invite comes round next year 

I never had the account long enough to do anything shady :D

I did whack the casino for a few quid back along on slots, but that's never going to flag a sports account.

We'll have to get Tikay on the red wine!

Quick tally, and it's not too bad.

Day 1 - 19pts live / 9pts dead
Day 2 - 19pts live / 4.5pts dead
Day 3 - 16.5pts live / 2.5pts dead
Day 4 - 23 pts live / 0pts dead

Any Race / Specials - 31.25pts live

Multiples - 8.25pts live / 3pts dead

Overall - 117 pts live / 19pts dead

Blimey! I thought you said you hadn't had many bets this year.

Good luck with that little lot mate.

I haven't, lol.

This is last year

Kemboy @10/1
Asterion Forlonge @8/1
Cash Back @14/1
Verdana Blue @33/1

Blast from the past!

Should get a decent sweat off that lucky 15 :)

I would be worried about Verdana on the first day in the ground, though.

Good luck, mate.

Thanks Marky, backed it EW just in case it comes up good to firm in March :D

I see you had Asterion Forlonge at summit daft like 50's - I really like this one, should've backed it before it's last outing at bigger price than my 8's, also Notebook at some daft price too, can't be anything but impressed with it, beat my pick Cash Back LTO good luck with your picks. I'm only here for Longys Cheltenham comp, I got him on email, so got signed up here.

On Good to Firm I'd fancy it to win, nevermind place. All the welfare issues nowadays means that we'll never get anything the wrong side of good again, I wouldn't have thought.

Cheers, I've managed to snag a couple. When you fire enough darts, some stay in the board ;D

I've got about 20 points dead, and no doubt a few more going in the bin before March.

My portfolio is about 70% down on last year, thanks to work. Looking at how open this year is, I think that I'm glad that has been the case, as it looks even more of a minefield than usual.

I guessed you were here for Longy's comp, as it's always a blinder. Bolstered by Mr Kendall's dead money, too  8)

Who loves it more than Marky Mark, love it! Good luck mate.

Tiger Roll out for a run today...

Should be interesting

It seems ridiculous that despite winning the last two Grand Nationals Tiger Roll needs this run to be eligible to go for the hat-trick.

Didn't need this run, needs to run at Cheltenham to be eligible.

Today was just to blow off the cobwebs. Good run, too. Travelled through the race great, and just looked to get tired at the death.

Cheers, Raymondo!!

Loved it more when I could watch a lot more racing :D

I have a feeling that x-country didn't count as a qualifier - I'm sure that's what I heard.

Pretty sure it has to run over fences, in order to run in the National.

Which meant if he didn't make it to Chelts, there was no attempt at the treble.

From 'Horse & Hound', lol.

Tiger Roll has not yet qualified for the 2020 Grand National. He is entered to run in the Boyne Hurdle at Navan in Ireland on Sunday (16 February), but he has to run in a chase to qualify for Aintree. He is expected to head to the Cheltenham Festival for the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase

I knew I'd heard that something didn't count - I obviously defer to the horse&hound subscriber ;)

Marky reads Horse & Hound?

World's gone mad.

Marky clicks the first link that looks kosher when he does a search ;D

Handicap entries out today https://myemail.constantcontact.com/Entries-revealed-for-the-10-handicaps-at-The-Festival-presented-by-Magners.html?soid=1110108263682&aid=mrNKv_E8Zfo

Only 2 weeks to go, so I guess I better start getting my body clock set for the only week of the year I get up at 9am every day ;D

Is it possible the Coronavirus outbreak could continue to snowball and cause a postponement of this years festival?  Everything cancelled/closed in Italy now/

Doubt it.

I saw someone on Twitter speculating that as a ~7/1 shot earlier today.

Where did they pull that from?

I generally only use Twitter for memes.

https://files.constantcontact.com/205db977201/f948d16d-3aa3-4e1e-a56d-c0e9f499e49c.pdf

Handicap weights.

Think you should do a special ladies day write up in a week or so😊

Added Thyme Hill @9/2 and Allmankind also @9/2 singles and a double (NRNB) not great value especially just silly excitement after watching some replays  :D

I'll leave that to Ralph or Tikay.

Speaking of ladies... Anyone heard from Adz?

Think there is a snowflake forecast for the next 24 hours.  Surely he can't miss Cheltenham?

Nope, sadly I've not heard from him. I'll drop him a note to see f he is OK.

Tell him I'm still waiting for my guard of honour :)

I forgot to add Concertista in the Mares novice hurdle to my boutique portfolio 1pt ew @33/1.

:D :D

Looks like Epatante has caught the coronavirus...

Marvellous.

Good column from Richard Forristral in the RP

A year on from the equine flu outbreak that shut down racing in Britain for a week, some have speculated that next month's Cheltenham Festival might yet face a more legitimate threat due to the spread of the coronavirus.

When the details emerged in the middle of February 2019 about a limited number of confirmed equine flu cases, this column argued the BHA's unilateral response smacked of a knee-jerk overreaction that illustrated a lamentable misunderstanding of a virus that is endemic in the horse community in this part of the world.

The Irish Equine Centre, the Irish Horseracing Regulatory Board, the French authorities and Peter Ramzan of Rossdales veterinary practice in Newmarket were among those who relayed a far more judicious and informed message in sync with those who were accustomed to handling equine flu outbreaks on the ground.

Taking my cue from those – and other – sources, my interpretation of the BHA's management of the issue was that it had caused unnecessary disruption and panic.

The coronavirus poses an altogether different hazard to human life so it would be impossible to be quite so strident if it gets to the point that the BHA is advised that having in excess of a quarter of a million people converge on Prestbury Park over a four-day period represents an unnecessary risk.

Clearly, Covid-19 is still spreading, and its arrival at our back door in Europe inevitably makes it feel a more urgent and concerning issue. A decline in diagnoses in China suggests the virus has peaked there and hopefully the Olympics will be able to go ahead in Tokyo this summer.

On top of 2,715 reported coronavirus-related fatalities in China, there have been deaths in France and Italy. Ireland's Six Nations clash with Italy that is fixed for Dublin on March 7 has been postponed after the minister for health Simon Harris met with the Irish Rugby Football Union.

There is a perceptible logic to that decision, just as there is to the postponements of some Serie A games and Inter Milan's Europa League clash with Ludogorets being played behind closed doors.

Once central government intervenes, sporting bodies must toe the line, and when the foot-and-mouth crisis struck in 2001 the postponement of the Six Nations preceded the eventual cancellation of the Cheltenham Festival.

The BHA is taking a watching brief and will be advised by parliament in Westminster and, for all that our sport's four days in March mean everything to us, in the greater scheme of things they are an irrelevance.

It seems there is growing concern that a further escalation in the outbreak could leave the fixture in peril, but that feels extremely  premature to me and it's worth providing a bit of context.

For starters, the vast majority of racegoers who will descend on Cheltenham will travel from Britain and Ireland. So far, there have been a grand total of 13 cases diagnosed in Britain and still none in Ireland.

Scaremongering is par for the course when these outbreaks occur, and the lack of a suitable Covid-19 vaccine obviously differentiates the virus from regular influenza. Moreover, it should be stressed that, in contrast to having had some first-hand experience of dealing with equine flu in the past and having access to well-placed sources last year, this is a topic on which I have zero authority. Research and rationality are my only instruments.

First off, reliable online sources suggest the Covid-19 fatality rate is between one and two per cent at worst, so it is roughly as virulent as common flu, which, it should be noted, causes around half a million deaths globally every year. Over 80 per cent of those diagnosed with the Covid-19 strain suffer only mild symptoms.

Perhaps crucially, the World Health Organisation appears some way off labelling the coronavirus outbreak a pandemic, which is what the H1N1 strain, or swine flu as it is better-known, was categorised as in 2009. Swine flu was reported to have claimed hundreds of thousands of lives worldwide in the first 12 months of it becoming the planet's first flu pandemic in 40 years. It struck Britain after Cheltenham and Aintree's spring festivals but never threatened racing's major summer events.

Sars is another strain of coronavirus that also originated in China and still circulates to this day. It had a far more lethal fatality rate of ten per cent when it became endemic in 2003 but, again, racing carried on.

With that all in mind, it is difficult to make a cogent case for the Cheltenham Festival being in grave danger of not getting under way as scheduled on March 10, and the suggestion it might even take place behind closed doors hardly merits broaching. That would be a hollow and empty experience completely at odds with the festival's very essence.

In this day and age social media, for all its benefits during a crisis, also serves to heighten the extent of a threat like this and provokes a degree of panic. That is not to suggest this isn't an extremely serious issue, but you would like to think we are a long way from Cheltenham being in any real danger.

Apart from the 20 Premier League fixtures scheduled in the meantime, surely the round-of-16 Champions League fixtures that also begin on March 10 and will lure players and fans from so many European countries all around the continent represent a more pressing risk of contagion.

Likewise, a couple of million people ride the tube in London each day, so as long as cosmopolitan transport networks like that can function in major urban areas Prestbury Park's more agrarian gathering can stand its ground.

Around one million passengers travel through British airports on a daily basis, and Dr Jennifer Rohn, a senior biologist at University College, London, said this week: "In this day and age, all you need is one person at an airport, and you can infect the whole world."

"it is roughly as virulent as common flu,"

Lol

No cheltenham currently 2.74 on betfair, presumably he it laying it.

LOL

I'd imagine he is, if there are people willing to bet at a bad price.

Joined the betting emporium cheltenham package for this years festival, anyone joined this in previous years? Tried finding previous results but don't seem to be on the site..... Maybe that's a clue😊

https://www.bettingemporium.com/pages/view/results-section (https://www.bettingemporium.com/pages/view/results-section)

They are 6% up on horse racing and even when they don't win, Neil gives you so much useful infotmation in his commentaries.

Cheers👍

The ground at Cheltenham has improved to Soft/Good to Soft in places despite the wet weather.

Does anyone reckon Claisse will be tempted to water on Monday night?

Think we're getting some water on Sunday night anyway.

Will be watering by Thursday, if no rain Tues/Weds.

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i596M4wsHkQ

Good watch.

FYI William Hill paying 7 places in the Supreme on Tuesday, and Sky doing money back as cash upto £10.

Happy punting all, glglgl.

Nice one, Ray!

Tikay better dust off the Billy's account, and get his boots on ;D

#PagingDubai

Other than some degenerate bets thrown about in the NH chase, it hasn't gone too badly for day 1.

Watched this earlier in the week and almost put it up, I thought it was pretty interesting, but a bit niche.  I have been to Cheltenham, but haven't really taken in the difference in the courses. 

Very interesting stuff, but not for everyone, agree.

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MCtRqjWqR-w

Bit of Alistair, too.

Antepost runners at confirmations and will likely throw some starchasers in on Tuesday morning...


Day 1

Supreme

1pt @ 20/1 Fiddlerontheroof
0.5pts @ 50/1 Asterion Forlonge (Chanelle/Sup special)



Arkle

2pts @ 25/1 Notebook
1pt @ 33/1 Rouge Vif



Ultima H'Cap Chase

0.5pts @ 50/1 Vintage Clouds
3pts  16/1 Mister Malarkey



Champion Hurdle

1pt  @ 40/1 Epatante (Xmas/CH special)
1.5pts @ 33/1 Sharjah
0.5pts @ 60/1 Darvers Star (Freebet)



Mares Hurdle



Northern Trust Novice H'Cap Chase

2pts @ 16/1 Hold The Note
1.5pts @ 20/1 Imperial Aura
1.5pts @ 20/1 Galvin



National Hunt Chase

3pts @ 12/1 Ravenhill
0.5pts @ 50/1 The Hollow Ginge (Free)

Dead a/p

Day 1

13:30 - Supreme Novices Hurdle   2m 1/2f    G1   

3pts @ 15/1 Envoi Allen laid @ 6.0 backed 22.0
2pts @ 20/1 Blue Sari (NRNB)
1pt  @ 50/1 Nickolson            
1pt  @ 50/1 Mister Coffey         
1pt @ 60/1 Sir Psycho (NRNB)
1pt @ 18/1 Sporting John(NRNB)

-9pts (7nrnb/laid) - 2pts net



14:10 - Arkle Trophy       2m       G1

0.5pts  @ 50/1 Nube Negra         
0.5pts @ 66/1 Greaneteen         
2pts @ 16/1 Melon         
1pt @ 33/1 Annamix         

-4pts net



15:30 - Champion Hurdle    2m 1/2f      G1

2pts @ 14/1 Honeysuckle (Irish/CH DBL)   
1pt  @ 33/1 City Island            


-3pts net


17:30 - National Hunt chase   4m      Listed

1.5pts @ 33/1 Early Doors         
1pt  @ 40/1 Ronald Pump            
1pt  @ 33/1 Redzor            
1pt  @ 33/1 Faugheen            
2pts @ 20/1 Copperhead         

-6.5pts net


Total dead = 15.5pts

Redzor is declared and thought he would be taken out. Running well already, even though likely no hope anyway :D

You seem to have got a few live ones in there Marky at some great prices!

Yeah, not being able to get involved might work out alright.

Less time I've spent studying and thinking, the better it looks :D

I must admit to having had an envious glance at some of those monster prices.

Let's get Epatante over the line and we'll both be semi-freerolling.

One interesting booking I noticed is Robbie Power choosing to ride Slate House rather than the same stable's Copperhead.#mightbeclutchingatstraws

Had some bloke on a gambling forum trying to pick it apart saying I beat SP on 90% of my runners, so I was either lying or the best tipster ever. Said it looks a lot better until you see the list of about 50 horses I've backed that haven't made it. Dilutes it somewhat. If something I've bet makes the race, it will be shorter. The ones that don't aren't live. They're dead :D

I had all the horses and dead best posted as well, so was quite confusing how he couldn't get his head around it.

I've got plenty dead this year as well, but nowhere near as many. All relative, as my book is about 1/3 of the size it usually is.

Think it was Dave Jennings earlier today said he flew over with Robbie last night, and Robbie told him Slate House schooled well the other day, or something to that effect.

Well it ran an absolute flat stinker lto when it was pu - Tizzard looked both gutted and perplexed in his post-race interview.

Let's hope that was a one-off-day as the stable clearly seem to rate him.

Yeah, that'll probably be the one I use with any offers on the day.

Only Corona this week, will have Lime in it!

Lets go  ;applause;

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ESvRVH9XgAAF6zh?format=jpg&name=900x900)

They caught me ;D

Altior out. What a shame, as that was the race of the festival.

Don't forget to make your way to Hills before the Supreme for their fifth 7 places in the supreme.

You can probably bet all the top 8 e/w and make a profit, but right now I like

Shiskin at 9/2 (complete 180 here due to the price drift (I know one Blonde thinks he pulls too hard, but it is a price thing)
Fiddlerontheroof at 9/2, looks very solid for the place
Elixir D'Ainy at 16/1 (betfair has near evens the place, Hills 3/1+)
Edwardstone at 20/1 (betfair has 6/4 the place, Hills 4/1)

You lose 25% or so the win on all, but the place terms are fantastic.

You can do the e/w double with Roksana in the Mares if in a Hills shop.  Obv be very careful with an online account, I wouldn't go crazy in a shop either. 

My Hills account is about as safe as me if I get the COV :D

Just call me Mark

Supreme

Shiskin
Fiddlerontheroof
Chantry House
Elixir Dainy
Edwardstone
mainly Hills e/w

Arkle
Fakir Doudairies. win

Ultima
Mister Malarky e/w

Champion
Pentland Hills 12.5 on betfair (price thing)
Cornerstone Lad e/w 4 places

Mares
Roksana e/w thievery
Honeysuckle just gone over 3/1 on betfair so couldn't resist

16.50
trainwreck e/w
think I backed Beakstown too, but not sure as I remember not liking the price.

long novices

Lord Du Mensil e/w

good luck all

good luck and enjoy everyone.   

Can't believe it is going ahead

GL lads.

Doobs off to a flyer, nice one.

Fun race to watch, that, except for that nasty do 4 (?) out caused by Asterion jumping to the right.

Shiskin drifted to 10 on befair and went 20 odd -1 in running.

Brilliant.   Guaranteed winning day.  backed him at Hills, 365 (bad prices) and again just before the off on betfair.  Couldn't believe the price

Lovely!

Nice one, Doobs.

This Notebook is a right nutter

Yeah, Rachel did well to keep him within reasonable distance of the start.

Disappointing run, but Henry still scoops.


Hills promo specials got me out in Ultima, but shame they only let me have a tenner.

Always nice when you've got 1-2-3 as you come over the last :D

That'll do nicely even though I seem to have missed the 40/1  ;woohoo;

Sharjah won me a bit more, but great run considering he wants better ground.

Absolutely brilliant race-riding from Rachael Blackmore there going for that gap.

Yeah, sluiced right up the inside.

Great horse, and nice to see them not bottling out of a head to head with Benie.

Coddfather rounds the day off nicely. Prob struggling to lose on the week now, thanks to a bit of good fortune there.

20.5pts live
14.5pts dead
10  pts bet on day

45pts   out   

41pts   back - Epatante
31.5pts back - Imperial Aura
39pts   back - Ravenhill
19pts   back - Put the Kettle On
26pts   back - Cond/Big River

156.5pts back

Day 2

28.5pts live
22pts   dead (14.5pts NRNB) 7.5 net
10pts   bet on day

46pts   out

13:30 - Ballymore Novices Hurdle   2m 5f       G1

4pts @  10/1 Sporting John         


14:10 - RSA Chase      3m 1/2f    G1

1pt @ 18/1 Champ (AJ DBL)      
1pt @ 33/1 Easy Game         
3pts @ 14/1 Copperhead            


14:50 - Coral Cup      2m 5f       G3

1.5pts @ 25/1 Birchdale            
2pts @ 25/1 Protektorat            


15:30 - QM Champion Chase   2m       G1

6pts @ 10/1 Chacun Pour Soi (Laid 3.0)


16:10 - Cross Country Chase   3m 7f       Ungraded

0.5pts  @ 50/1 Chic Name            


16:50 - Boodles Juvenile H'Cap Hdle   2m 1/2f    G3

3pts @ 20/1 Tronador            
2pts @ 14/1 Aramax                    
1pt  @ 40/1 Theatre of War         


17:30 - Champion Bumper      2m 1/2f    G1

2pts @ 14/1 Appreciate It      
1.5pts @ 25/1 Ferny Hollow   

Any Race
   
4pts @ 12/1 Sire Du Berlais         
2.5pts @ 12/1 Battleoverdoyen         
1.5pts @ 20/1 Summerville Boy         
1.5pts @ 25/1 Art Mauresque         
1pt @ 33/1 The Big Getaway         
1.25pts @ 25/1 Shattered Love         
1.25pts @ 25/1 Sempo            
1.25pts @ 25/1 Column of Fire         
1.5pts @ 20/1 Saint Roi            
1.5pts @ 20/1 Im A Game Changer      

They're live as well, or might not be. Will sort at the weekend as I can't be bothered going through all entries for rest of week :D

Had some random punts today...

14:10 - 1pt @ 16/1 Slate House
14:50 - 1pt @ 25/1 Top Moon
16:50 - 1pt @ 22/1 Saint DOroux
17:30 - 1pt @ 25/1 The Glancing Queen

Couple Yankees & Trixies as well -


Minella Indo 7/2
Alfa Mix 10/1
Repetitio 14/1
Panic Attack 10/1

Yankee


Envoi Allen
Allaho
Dame De Compagnie
Defi Du Seuil

Acca

Got 3 of yours at much worse prices.

1.30 Sporting John
2.10 Easy Game
2.50 Alfa Mix. Burrows Edge
3.30 Chacun Pour Soi
4.10 Frenchies
4.50 Palladium
5.30 Third Time Lucki/Panic Attack

FWIW I was going to give the last 3 a miss, but it is Cheltenham.

Chacun out of the QM, not the most exciting feature race now.

noooo. 

Damn it! That was one of my best a/p bets.

Gone from race of the week, to worst of the week.

Was 67th in the ten to follow and had Altior and Chacun Pour Soi in the top list.   Was thinking it would be better to just have one queen mother horse...

hoping for something crappy to win that not many have picked now.

Urghhh!

Dollars hopefully.

That Palladium been backed lately as well, hasn't it?

I've just thrown a few tenners about today.

I had covered my stake on Chacun, but looks like justice refunds with betfair, so not sure how that will work with exchange.

I'll just write it off as a 6pt loss, and see what happens.

Marky

Just so you know, no response required, but in my head I always happily imagine that you are a £1k a point kinda a guy!

No need to correct me if I am wrong, it would spoil my strange vision, just thought I would share.

 :D

 :D

Drop the 'k', and you're a lot closer :D

I don't think anyone can do £1k a point if they wanted to nowadays, lol.

Think Sky have refunded a/p bets on Chacun, but I was on him any race, and it has been settled as a loser.

Have a word, Tikay :D

Lad elsewhere got 50/1 and 33/1 about Chacun, and he laid Defi, too.

Don't feel quite so annoyed now.

I've been hoisted by my own petard I think after nicking a bit of 9/4 Chacun after hearing about Altior.

Nothing appearing yet on my BF statement.

On the plus side I do think Sceau Royal is now a decent ew thieves' bet @~12/1.

Like the horse, but don't like it in this ground.

Envoi some machine. Had him in the Bumper, but missed decent prices for this year.

Hope they get him straight over a fence, will win the GC in 2022.

What a finish.   Lost ground at every fence.

Got Champ in that list too.   Definitely need that result in the Queen Mother now!

A Plus Tard and Delta Work need to do their work too.

Bet Henry wishing he left APT in the CC now.

Some race, that.

Just had to google what year witcha lineman was after watchiing that go 700/1 in running and getting up.  11 years ago.   Amazing.

Fakir Doudairies   8/1
Champ 7/2
Defi Du Seuil 10/1

Had that in a 2 quid trixie, so antirailing Defi now, or Fakir cost me ~£1200 :D

ahad Fakir in the TTF too.  Might have cost me more.  feck Defi

Well done Marky & Doobs (& any others) on Champ. Looked a hopeless case when they jumped the last. Amazing stuff.

Yeah, some race!


:D

Up to 12th for less than an hour...

CONTROVERSIAL

carried out on stretchers about to be mentioned with the next two short ones about to go in.   Tiger roll could go off very very short.

I miss something?

Matt Chapman just mentioned it.  They covered it in one of the previews (maybe oddschecker).  They appealed a 2 pound rise in the weights then insisted that somebody was removed from the appeal panel.

AP McCoy takes the impartial observer role and sees nothing wrong...

Yeah, the horse got raised 2lbs but it was removed on appeal.

Found it - http://media.britishhorseracing.com/bha/handicapping/appeals/Dame_De_Compagnie_Appeal.pdf

OiOi

Love Politologue.  not a penny on him this time.

How far would Altior or even Chacun won by.

(https://data.whicdn.com/images/277399969/original.jpg)

Day 2 going well, Stu?

:D

Well its not going terribly

But enjoy watching Tiger Roll get beat, love that horse!

They were a bit behind with him this year after picking up an injury, so that's not a bad run.

Young improving horse beat him, and he doesn't like that gluey ground.

I've doubled him for National, with the donald :D

Another monster of a horse. Think I might reinvest a bit on him for the supreme next year.

Day 2

28.5pts live
22pts   dead (14.5pts NRNB) 7.5 net
10pts   bet on day

46pts   out


19pts back - Champ
30pts back - Aramax
39pts back - Ferny Hollow

88pts back

Day 3

13:30 - Marsh Novices Chase     2m 4f       G2

1.5pts  @ 25/1 Midnight Shadow      
0.5pts  @ 66/1 Saint Sonnet


14:10 - Pertemps Final       3m       Listed

1pt  @ 33/1 The Storyteller         
2pts @ 33/1 Kilbricken Storm         
0.5pts  @ 70/1 Rocket Lad         


14:50 - Ryanair Chase       2m 5f       G1

1pt @ 16/1 A Plus Tard   


15:30 - Stayers Hurdle       3m       G1

1pt @ 16/1 Emitom (EW W/O Paisley Park)      
1.5pts @ 25/1 Apples Jade   


16:10 - Brown Advisory Plate   2m 5f       G3

3pts @ 14/1 Simply The Betts      
1pt @ 28/1 La Bague Au Roi   


16:50 - Mares Novice Hurdle   2m      G2

1.5pts @ 20/1 Colreevy   
   
      
17:30 - Kim Muir Challenge Cup    3m 1 1/2f    Ungraded
  
2pts @ 25/1 Plan of Attack   
1.25pts @ 33/1 Fitzhenry            
1.25pts @ 25/1 Fitzhenry         
0.5pts @ 40/1 Fingerontheswitch         

Day 3 Dead

13:30 - Marsh Novices Chase     2m 4f       G2

2pts @ 16/1 Allaho   (NRNB)
1pt  @ 40/1 Vision D'Honneur      


14:10 - Pertemps Final       3m       Listed


14:50 - Ryanair Chase       2m 5f       G1

1pt @ 33/1 Monalee         
1.5pts @ 20/1 Kalashnikov         


15:30 - Stayers Hurdle       3m       G1


16:10 - Brown Advisory Plate   2m 5f       G3

1.5pts  @ 33/1 Brelan D'As   (NRNB)
2pts @ 22/1 Trainwreck   (NRNB)


16:50 - Mares Novice Hurdle   2m      G2

3pts @  8/1 Lamarckise         


17:30 - Kim Muir Challenge Cup    3m 1 1/2f    Ungraded
 
4pts @ 14/1 Ravenhill   (NRNB)

Day 3

20.5pts live
16pts  dead (9.5 NRNB) 6.5 Net
10pts bet on day

37 pts out

Anyone else think Aso looks a cracking 25/1 ew poke?

My ew dabble on Concertista @33/1 is tomorrow's main interest.

Settled as a loser despite the bet being placed just before the AP market came down :(

I lie it, and am backing Aso each way tomorrow; and likely backing A Plus Tard to win.

FWIW I put Aso in a huge chunk of my ten to follow lists when the subs were made a few days ago.  I thought it was the best big priced horse in the bonus races at Cheltenham that I hadn't covered well, so made sense for lists that were quite a long way behind. 

The ground has firmed up a bit to soft,with good to soft in parts.  It was said to be heavy ny some on day 1.

I'll probably back Aso, too. Should think the ground will still be quite soft, but nice fresh ground today.

Was raining last night, but no idea how much/long.

In Glos this morning and very heavy rain passed over at about 8am but blue sky now

Nice one, thanks.

Looks like Soft-GtS in places, and nice fresh ground.

Hoepfully nice and clear for the last couple days.

What a great race!

Fabulous.

Delighted for Mr O'Leary, too, as I'm sure we all are.

;D

That might just about cover my scattergunned approach in this market, lol.

Ha, you knew. WP mate.

Broken clocks, lol. I knew they had it lined up for another go, but wasn't sure about the weight.

Had Storyteller at 33/1 as well, so was nice seeing them both swinging as they came over the last :D

 ;woohoo;

Lovely!

Nice one, Ralph  ;applause;

Didn't that just go whooosh!

Yeah, she got pinged last year by one of the Sullivan horses didn't she.

Mullins said he thought that Colreevy would be the one, and the money looked like it would be one of the two.

Day 3

20.5pts live
16pts  dead (9.5 NRNB) 6.5 Net
10pts bet on day

37 pts out


6pts  back Ronald Pump
45pts back Simply The Betts


StB saving the day.

Triumph

1.5pts @ 25/1 Solo (WH special)


County

3pts @ 15/1 Aramon
1pt @ 50/1 Mohaayed


Albert Bartlett

2pts @ 14/1 Thyme Hill
0.5pts @ 66/1 Latest Exhibition
1.5ts @ 16/1 Ramses De Teillee


Gold Cup

4pts @ 18/1 Lost in Translation
3.5pts @ 20/1 Delta Work


Foxhunter's Chase

4pts @ 7/1 Hazel Hill
1.5pts @ 25/1 Staker Wallace


Grand Annual

1.5pts @ 33/1 Us and Them


Martin Pipe Conditionals Hurdle

0.5pts @ 33/1 Column of Fire
2pts @ 10/1 Column of Fire
3ps @ 12/1 Pileon

Dead Day 4

Triumph
1pt @ 40/1 Mind the Crack (NRNB)
1pt @ 33/1 Battle of Wills
1.5pts @ 25/1 Mick Pastor (NRNB)

County Hurdle
1.5pts @ 33/1 Quick Grabim (NRNB)

Albert Bartlett
0.5pts @ 50/1 Echoes in the Rain
0.25pts @ 250/1 Colreevy

Gold Cup & Foxhunters
N/A

Grand Annual
2.5pts @ 20/1 I'm A Game Changer (NRNB)
1pt @ 33/1 Brelan D'As

Martin Pipe Conditionals
1.5pts @ 25/1 Conflated
1pt @ 16/1 Conflated (NRNB)

Day 4

29.5pts Live
11 pts Dead (7.5NRNB) 3.5 Net
20pts bet on day

53pts out

Rounded it up 0.25pts to make it simple.

Will throw 20pts in trying to win it all tomorrow :)

Any Race

1.5pts @ 25/1 Art Mauresque      
1.25pts @ 25/1 Sempo            
1.25pts @ 25/1 Column of Fire         
1.5pts @ 20/1 Saint Roi            
1.5pts @ 20/1 Im A Game Changer      

Those are alive, but got to check all of them are running.

Multiples

Envoi Allen (Ballymore)
Allmankind  (Triumph)

2ptsDBL - WH


Hazel Hill    (F'Hunters)
Al Boum Photo   (Gold Cup)

1pt DBL - WH


Thyme Hill (AB)
Al Boum      (GC)
Ilikedway  (MP)

£4 @ 250/1 PP


Only multiples I've got a chance of a payout from, or it's brickadelphia for all of them :D

0.5pts Goshen biggest winning distance of festival @ 50/1, too.

I'll be shouting for allmankind with you Marky, I had envoi allen with allmankind and thyme hill and the latter two in a double on their own.

Got kemboy as the last of my AP bets, they all turned to shyte  ;D

Hills are fifth first 5 in the first which is pretty damn good.

For those that can, Aspire Tower is 7/1 in the first looks pretty decent, is top price, about 7/1 on betfair and should be closwer to evens the place. 

Can't do the shops as got a coughing child with me today.  Guess they'll chop it pretty soon, so get your skates on.

Gone now, 13/2 is probably still ok with the 5 places. 

Going out with a coughing child likely to get you lynched, too.

Aspire Tower the only one I don't want winning :D


Haha, good luck us!

I did think that. 

I'd have to leave her outside the bookies too.  Shopuld just tell her to let off a cough if approached by a stranger.   Should be useful for clearing the queues in Tesco*. 

* went in there yesterday and managed to resist the urge to buy extra bogroll.  Was felling quite proud of myself until the missus got home and mentioned she'd picked up 27 rolls.  So if anyone needs a good shit, you know where there is some spare.

Haha! Think the old man always picks up those big packs whenever he goes, so we've always got some in storage.

Might chuck some on e-bay :D

Unlucky with your Goshen bet Marky as it looked a bigger margin than Concertista.

Mine was a mere 4pts win @3/1  :'(

Gutted for Jamie, and just hope he didn't get shoed too badly from the horse. Looked like he got a kicking after he came off.

Struck my first bet for 2021 after that, though :D

5pts @ 16/1 for the CH.

They just showed the replay in slow motion, his near rear hoof stood on his near front hoof.

Really unlucky.

His old man just said he took a kicking as well. Double painful for him.

Some horse, and very exciting for next year.

Jeez, what a great race that was.

Stewards Inquiry?

I'd have liked one, being on Latest Exhibition @ 66/1 lol.

Another terrific race.

Superb, and LiT gave me a great run.

Good to see the Tizzard horse run so well after a rough week.

That thing was 224.95 bettySP

Pulled up in a P2P lto, so no shock really :D

One falls at the last, but I was on the other one, and he gets chinned. Just glad he got up.

What a way to end the week :D

Won a load day 1, lost a load the other 3 days.  Not sure if I made anything. 

Day 4

53pts out
0pts back


Multis/Any Race / Specials

23.5pts out any race
20pts out multis
6pts dead specials

49.5pts total out
83.5pts back


52pts back Sire Du Berlais
31.5pts back Saint Roi

Managed to win all four days although today was minimal due to Goshen's mis-step.

Only 365 more sleeps..

Results

Day 1

45pts out
156.5pts back

111.5pts profit


Day2

46pts out
88pts back


Day 3

37pts out
51pts back


Day 4

53pts out
0pts back


Any Race

23.5 pts out
83.5pts back


Multiples

20pts out
0pts back


Specials

6pts out
0pts back

Total out - 230.5pts

Total ret - 379pts

Would have been >450 if Column stood up, I think.

Cost a few lads 5figure payouts on multiples, too.

Bageled up today, thanks to Columns fall and Pileon not holding on.

What a great game, and thankfully not too many casualties this year. Hopefully the welfare people will be too busy to worry about racing for the forseeable, anyway.

Yes. MLT on Twitter had a massive lucky15 going after two decent priced(9/2 and 7/2) winners on the opening day.

Goshen was the third leg and Santini the fourth.

Not sure I know who that is.

Sickener for them, too.

My Little Tip - he has a very impressive record and has at least 10K telegraph followers who get the selections early.

Nice little coup that Twitter tipping.

+ 33.5pts non runners that weren't NRNB = 264pts

264 out
379 back

One less curry profit :(