poker news
blondepedia
card room
tournament schedule
uk results
galleries
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
May 21, 2024, 02:09:08 PM
1 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
1 Month
Forever
Login with username, password and session length
Search:
Advanced search
Order through Amazon and help blonde Poker
2272713
Posts in
66756
Topics by
16723
Members
Latest Member:
callpri
blonde poker forum
Community Forums
Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
« previous
next »
Pages:
1
2
[
3
]
4
5
6
7
...
22
Author
Topic: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread (Read 48434 times)
bergeroo
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2193
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #30 on:
May 19, 2014, 02:40:41 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on May 19, 2014, 01:43:04 PM
Lukaku 5/2 a good thing? or you'd rather have Hazard at 6-1?
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/belgium/top-goalscorer
Just looked at the squad and none of them have more than 9 international goals. Hazard takes the pens though I think, so....
Logged
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #31 on:
May 19, 2014, 02:42:13 PM »
Got ten specials i like the look of. can explain where necessary
in no particular order
- Greece lowest scoring team 16-1
- Top Dutch scorer Memphis Depay 20-1
- Highest scoring group F 7-1
- Argentina to make at least semis 11/10 Yes.. (no is 8/13)
- Ivica Olic top Croatia scorer 8-1
- Milner to start first Eng game 6/4
- Hazard top belgian 6-1 as above
- 5 (of 6) S American teams to get through the groups 19/10 (if you assume Braz, Arg, Chile, Colom should make it, Ecuador unlikely you effectively get 19/10 Uruguay to qualify, they are 1/2 in the qualification market)
- Dzeko now 7/4 top Bosnian scorer
- Algeria 6-1 to get out of Group H
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #32 on:
May 19, 2014, 02:45:33 PM »
Quote from: bergeroo on May 19, 2014, 02:40:41 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on May 19, 2014, 01:43:04 PM
Lukaku 5/2 a good thing? or you'd rather have Hazard at 6-1?
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/belgium/top-goalscorer
Just looked at the squad and none of them have more than 9 international goals. Hazard takes the pens though I think, so....
its an interesting market
5/2 lukaku, 6/1 hazard 8/1 bar
side typically plays 4-2-3-1 so Lukaku up with Hazard central in behind probably
http://us.soccerway.com/matches/2014/03/05/world/friendlies/belgium/cote-divoire/1617993/
Hazard on pens, you would think
not too easy to see a springer at a price (mirrllas, mertens etc) getting more than the top two in the market so looks a very solid bet i think
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
bergeroo
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2193
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #33 on:
May 19, 2014, 02:49:02 PM »
Quote from: aaron1867 on May 19, 2014, 02:33:19 PM
I like England's group to be the lowest scoring at 7-1.
England & Italy are hardly the most attacking units & in everyone of the games between the top 3 it will likely to be games where each team will want to hold for 1-0, because the group is so tight.
Not sure on Costa Rica but I can't see them being that bad that they are getting over 3 knocked pat them every game.
I would agree and I have no idea how group C is the hot favourite for this. Because of Greece? Surely Cote D'Ivoire and Columbia will play at least somewhat open?
Logged
millidonk
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 9140
I'm supposed to wear a shell.. I don't - SLUG LIFE
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #34 on:
May 19, 2014, 02:50:06 PM »
Next door's punting firm seem way ool with some of their prices. Just whacked some on for Golden Ball; Muller 40/1 (20 - 33/1 elsewhere) and Negredo 100/1 (40 - 50/1 elsewhere).
Only surprised by 2 of your list there Tighty:
Greece lowest scoring team? Colombia, Ivory Coast + Japan. I can see them scoring at least 2, plus Samaras is a beast.
Algeria. Assuming we are thinking Belgium to top the group comfortably and Algeria to see off Russia? Interested about this one.
Love the world cup. This is going to be by far the most I have outlayed pre tournament before. Gulp.
Logged
WC2014 WOTN:
http://1drv.ms/1s7Bcqh
Get rich like a N!T:
http://sdrv.ms/RDOMxQ
http://twitter.com/BigDaveMilligan
Doobs
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16581
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #35 on:
May 19, 2014, 02:56:24 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on May 19, 2014, 02:42:13 PM
Got ten specials i like the look of. can explain where necessary
in no particular order
- Greece lowest scoring team 16-1
- Top Dutch scorer Memphis Depay 20-1
- Highest scoring group F 7-1
- Argentina to make at least semis 11/10 Yes.. (no is 8/13)
- Ivica Olic top Croatia scorer 8-1
- Milner to start first Eng game 6/4
- Hazard top belgian 6-1 as above
- 5 (of 6) S American teams to get through the groups 19/10 (if you assume Braz, Arg, Chile, Colom should make it, Ecuador unlikely you effectively get 19/10 Uruguay to qualify, they are 1/2 in the qualification market)
- Dzeko now 7/4 top Bosnian scorer
- Algeria 6-1 to get out of Group H
Think you have made a really big assumption on your teams that should qualify Rich.
Chile evens to qualify on Betfair.
Colombia 1/3
Those 2 alone get you nearly to 19/10 (~16.5/10). Add in Brazil and Argentina's odds, you get just over 2/1.
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #36 on:
May 19, 2014, 03:00:11 PM »
Quote from: millidonk on May 19, 2014, 02:50:06 PM
Next door's punting firm seem way ool with some of their prices. Just whacked some on for Golden Ball; Muller 40/1 (20 - 33/1 elsewhere) and Negredo 100/1 (40 - 50/1 elsewhere).
Only surprised by 2 of your list there Tighty:
Greece lowest scoring team? Colombia, Ivory Coast + Japan. I can see them scoring at least 2, plus Samaras is a beast.
Algeria. Assuming we are thinking Belgium to top the group comfortably and Algeria to see off Russia? Interested about this one.
Love the world cup. This is going to be by far the most I have outlayed pre tournament before. Gulp.
Greece.
Very defensive team. Recent friendly has them with Mitroglou the Fulham flop up front (though he did well in the play offs for them
"Portuguese coach Fernando Santos took over in 2010, but admits the legacy of predecessor Otto Rehhagel, under whom Greece won Euro 2004, remains "an identity that is not easy to change. We've tried to play a different way [but] then we slipped back into our comfort zone, our defensive strength." "
Very competitive Group, no pushovers to score goals. Japan and IC amongst the toughest teams in their seeding groupings. no iran, costa rica etc here
think its far too simplistic to look at the front of the market in lowest scorers...got to look at the most competitive groups where there isn't a pushover...
Algeria. One of the groups where I think second place is up for grabs. there is no natural goalsscorer in the russian team (kerzakhov and dzagoev out of form and favour with Capello recently), south Korea a shadow of the team of 2002-06
Algeria, v technically gifted and completely under-rated because they haven't played outside africa since 2010. I got to talk about them with a friend of a friend who translates for riyad mahrez who came over from france to lcfc, not speaking english and is in the world cup 30 for algeria. rates a player called Sofiane Feghouli, 23, highly
so i went and researched him "is an attacking midfielder or winger who was described by Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger a year ago as "exceptional" and "a physical beast"
so, possibly under-rated team, certainly an unknown team, in a group it looks possible to get out of. obviously you wouldn't fancy them to get out of a brazil/croatia/mexico or germany/portugal/ghana draw, but belgium/russia/korea and 6-1? speculative bet
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #37 on:
May 19, 2014, 03:01:00 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on May 19, 2014, 02:56:24 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on May 19, 2014, 02:42:13 PM
Got ten specials i like the look of. can explain where necessary
in no particular order
- Greece lowest scoring team 16-1
- Top Dutch scorer Memphis Depay 20-1
- Highest scoring group F 7-1
- Argentina to make at least semis 11/10 Yes.. (no is 8/13)
- Ivica Olic top Croatia scorer 8-1
- Milner to start first Eng game 6/4
- Hazard top belgian 6-1 as above
- 5 (of 6) S American teams to get through the groups 19/10 (if you assume Braz, Arg, Chile, Colom should make it, Ecuador unlikely you effectively get 19/10 Uruguay to qualify, they are 1/2 in the qualification market)
- Dzeko now 7/4 top Bosnian scorer
- Algeria 6-1 to get out of Group H
Think you have made a really big assumption on your teams that should qualify Rich.
Chile evens to qualify on Betfair.
Colombia 1/3
Those 2 alone get you nearly to 19/10 (~16.5/10). Add in Brazil and Argentina's odds, you get just over 2/1.
thank you.
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
millidonk
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 9140
I'm supposed to wear a shell.. I don't - SLUG LIFE
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #38 on:
May 19, 2014, 03:11:45 PM »
Fair points. I must admit the only things I know about Algeria are: Their nickname is the Fennec Foxes, they have not won a game in the world cup since 1982 and something like if they don't score in their first game they will break the record for most games in the world cup without scoring a single goal (although I am struggling to find the evidence to back up this fact), In 2010 their results were: Algeria 0 - 1 Slovenia, Algeria 0 - 0 England and Algeria 0 - USA 1 so guessing it could be true.
Fingers crossed this Feghouli can turn things around for them, they certainly don't concede many I will give them that!
Logged
WC2014 WOTN:
http://1drv.ms/1s7Bcqh
Get rich like a N!T:
http://sdrv.ms/RDOMxQ
http://twitter.com/BigDaveMilligan
horseplayer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10601
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #39 on:
May 19, 2014, 03:22:53 PM »
Feghouli is pretty well known to be fair
Been at Valencia since 2010
Not been great this season good player no superstar imo
Logged
KitKeeper
Full Member
Offline
Posts: 101
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #40 on:
May 19, 2014, 08:23:14 PM »
Marco Reus to be Germany's top goalscorer - 7/1...
Loew absolutely loves him and he scores a hell of a lot of goals as a midfielder... When you look at what's ahead of him, Klose really is getting on now and Reus's ratio is just as good as Muller's.
Logged
maldini32
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3356
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #41 on:
May 20, 2014, 12:02:12 AM »
Another one for the top scorer collection Hulk @ 50's with
12's top Brazil scorer is huuuge
«
Last Edit: May 20, 2014, 12:21:04 AM by maldini32
»
Logged
maldini32
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3356
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #42 on:
May 20, 2014, 12:08:01 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on May 19, 2014, 03:00:11 PM
Quote from: millidonk on May 19, 2014, 02:50:06 PM
Next door's punting firm seem way ool with some of their prices. Just whacked some on for Golden Ball; Muller 40/1 (20 - 33/1 elsewhere) and Negredo 100/1 (40 - 50/1 elsewhere).
Only surprised by 2 of your list there Tighty:
Greece lowest scoring team? Colombia, Ivory Coast + Japan. I can see them scoring at least 2, plus Samaras is a beast.
Algeria. Assuming we are thinking Belgium to top the group comfortably and Algeria to see off Russia? Interested about this one.
Love the world cup. This is going to be by far the most I have outlayed pre tournament before. Gulp.
Greece.
Very defensive team. Recent friendly has them with Mitroglou the Fulham flop up front (though he did well in the play offs for them
"Portuguese coach Fernando Santos took over in 2010, but admits the legacy of predecessor Otto Rehhagel, under whom Greece won Euro 2004, remains "an identity that is not easy to change. We've tried to play a different way [but] then we slipped back into our comfort zone, our defensive strength." "
Very competitive Group, no pushovers to score goals. Japan and IC amongst the toughest teams in their seeding groupings. no iran, costa rica etc here
think its far too simplistic to look at the front of the market in lowest scorers...got to look at the most competitive groups where there isn't a pushover...
Algeria. One of the groups where I think second place is up for grabs. there is no natural goalsscorer in the russian team (kerzakhov and dzagoev out of form and favour with Capello recently), south Korea a shadow of the team of 2002-06
Algeria, v technically gifted and completely under-rated because they haven't played outside africa since 2010. I got to talk about them with a friend of a friend who translates for riyad mahrez who came over from france to lcfc, not speaking english and is in the world cup 30 for algeria. rates a player called Sofiane Feghouli, 23, highly
so i went and researched him "is an attacking midfielder or winger who was described by Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger a year ago as "exceptional" and "a physical beast"
so, possibly under-rated team, certainly an unknown team, in a group it looks possible to get out of. obviously you wouldn't fancy them to get out of a brazil/croatia/mexico or germany/portugal/ghana draw, but belgium/russia/korea and 6-1? speculative bet
I can see the angle you're coming from, I thought about them but they do have a goal threat. The thing is if they need to win a game and they probably will even going to last game they will be a threat, as showcased in euro 2012. Japan/Ivory Coast defensively not great.
I tried to look at the opposition defences and the teams attacks. Can't see the top 2 in the market having too much of the ball v england/italy/uruguay/holland/spain/chile.
But again its all about opinions.
Logged
maldini32
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3356
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #43 on:
May 20, 2014, 12:14:32 AM »
Srna top Croatia scorer. Loves a free kick and still takes pens if i'm not mistaken. Plays full back (very attacking) or right wing. 16's with PP.
Logged
maldini32
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3356
Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #44 on:
May 20, 2014, 12:15:48 AM »
Think some of these top scorer/player bets should wait til after 2nd of June once squads are confirmed. Can't imagine prices crashing too much
Logged
Pages:
1
2
[
3
]
4
5
6
7
...
22
« previous
next »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Poker Forums
-----------------------------
=> The Rail
===> past blonde Bashes
===> Best of blonde
=> Diaries and Blogs
=> Live Tournament Updates
=> Live poker
===> Live Tournament Staking
=> Internet Poker
===> Online Tournament Staking
=> Poker Hand Analysis
===> Learning Centre
-----------------------------
Community Forums
-----------------------------
=> The Lounge
=> Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Loading...