5 left and then this

[scotty2hatty]

Erm there is a mistake in here somewhere Lloyd, I think (correct if im wrong) you have only calculated the equities if he goes on to win the hand and not if he loses the hand.

Simple common sense tells that the bolded equities can't possible be true. By getting involved in an all in situation for our tournament life our chance of finishing 5th should increase dramatically yet they seem to have fallen from around 10% to 2%.

Our chances of finishing 5th are quite simply the chance we lose this hand plus some miracle chip spewing if we win then donk it all back, these calculations only take into account the latter. So are more like 41% or .41.

I still think it will turn out to be +EV call in my experience but actually turns into a -ev call on the bubble often depending on stack sizes.

Yes - you're right. I buggered it up. And I don't have my tools on this computer to redo it. Bah. Sorry folks. 

Yeah, you better hide in shame.

Instacall Tighty imo.

[M3boy]

I think AK is the hardest hand to play, especially when your confidence is so low.

I have been limping in early position with AK - something picked up by the 2 gods I sent the whole hand history of one of my recent MTT's - this IS a weakness and is caused by loosing with AK over and over again.

Richard, if confidence is really this low, get someone you respect to read over a whole tourney hand history - other than that,,, win a tourney - the confidence soon returns