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Poker Hand Analysis
Can I ever get away from this ???
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Topic: Can I ever get away from this ??? (Read 2132 times)
hotdog
snap
Sr. Member
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Posts: 637
Can I ever get away from this ???
«
on:
March 15, 2013, 02:21:31 AM »
Stupid question I no but can I ever get away from this ??
stars big 100
Blinds 1k/2k
I have 100k in mid pos and get delt
UTG all in for 10k UTG+! sitting with 88k flats
I make it 28k to go
Button goes all in for 75k
UTG+1 now decides to go all inn.
UTG+1 is an absolute NIT,
Everytime I have showed I have had a monster!!
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rfgqqabc
Hero Member
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Posts: 5483
Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #1 on:
March 15, 2013, 02:58:49 AM »
Well you told us he has aces so I guess so.
If you think your behind pre just fold, no shame in it. I'd want to be really really certain though. It doesn't really matter if we have the second nuts when it seems very likely he has the nuts.
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
ruud
Sr. Member
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Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #2 on:
March 15, 2013, 08:41:22 AM »
Quote from: rfgqqabc on March 15, 2013, 02:58:49 AM
Well you told us he has aces so I guess so.
If you think your behind pre just fold, no shame in it. I'd want to be really really certain though. It doesn't really matter if we have the second nuts when it seems very likely he has the nuts.
Even if we know he has aces, the maths make it quite close.
60 to call to win 264 means we need 22% equity to call, which we are only 3.5% away from. Consider UTG+1 could have KK, and very occasionally AK, looks like a call regardless.
Hate leaving 14bbs out of a 50bb stack out there as well.
Agree with Adam, no shame in folding, but I'd like to be super certain. And A LOT deeper.
I am never folding here
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MC
Super
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Posts: 6304
Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #3 on:
March 15, 2013, 09:27:40 AM »
Yeah ruud is spot on. Given that we can nearly call if he has AA means its an easy call. Probs only has to have 1 or 2 of combos of QQ and its all gravy.
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Pinchop73
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Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #4 on:
March 15, 2013, 11:12:41 AM »
Just 3b jamming here.
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First they came for the nits, and I did not speak out because I was not a nit
SuuPRlim
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Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #5 on:
March 15, 2013, 12:03:17 PM »
Quote from: MC on March 15, 2013, 09:27:40 AM
Yeah ruud is spot on. Given that we can nearly call if he has AA means its an easy call. Probs only has to have 1 or 2 of combos of QQ and its all gravy.
Yup, getting it in vs AA is a tiny mistake, folding and him having any other hand and its an absolutely MASSIVE mistake.
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Doobs
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Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #6 on:
March 15, 2013, 12:06:36 PM »
Quote from: Pinchop73 on March 15, 2013, 11:12:41 AM
Just 3b jamming here.
You want people to fold worse?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
ruud
Sr. Member
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Posts: 765
Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #7 on:
March 15, 2013, 01:40:00 PM »
Quote from: SuuPRlim on March 15, 2013, 12:03:17 PM
Quote from: MC on March 15, 2013, 09:27:40 AM
Yeah ruud is spot on. Given that we can nearly call if he has AA means its an easy call. Probs only has to have 1 or 2 of combos of QQ and its all gravy.
Yup, getting it in vs AA is a tiny mistake, folding and him having any other hand and its an absolutely MASSIVE mistake.
Some big names saying I'm spot on in this thread.... Wiiii
[ ] happens often
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Pinchop73
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Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #8 on:
March 15, 2013, 01:52:57 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 15, 2013, 12:06:36 PM
Quote from: Pinchop73 on March 15, 2013, 11:12:41 AM
Just 3b jamming here.
You want people to fold worse?
I feel 'get it in' ranges are wider with a jam vs a 3b in this spot with images described.
«
Last Edit: March 15, 2013, 02:10:22 PM by Pinchop73
»
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First they came for the nits, and I did not speak out because I was not a nit
BangBang
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Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #9 on:
March 15, 2013, 02:16:52 PM »
Quote from: ruud on March 15, 2013, 01:40:00 PM
Quote from: SuuPRlim on March 15, 2013, 12:03:17 PM
Quote from: MC on March 15, 2013, 09:27:40 AM
Yeah ruud is spot on. Given that we can nearly call if he has AA means its an easy call. Probs only has to have 1 or 2 of combos of QQ and its all gravy.
Yup, getting it in vs AA is a tiny mistake, folding and him having any other hand and its an absolutely MASSIVE mistake.
Some big names saying I'm spot on in this thread.... Wiiii
[ ] happens often
What would you do with AJ Ruud...?
I had 56 off when I pushed all in BTW so you were winning all the time lol.. I just couldn't take sitting there for any longer..
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hotdog
snap
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Posts: 637
Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #10 on:
March 15, 2013, 02:22:10 PM »
I nearly 3 bet jam which would of been okish but wanted worse to call!!!
I did call as the math was close and the reward was huge. I would of been one of the chip leaders.
UTG + 1 did have
and the Villain behind had
Obvs the
won Q on the river! GG
«
Last Edit: March 15, 2013, 02:25:35 PM by hotdog
»
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MC
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Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #11 on:
March 15, 2013, 02:54:11 PM »
Quote from: ruud on March 15, 2013, 01:40:00 PM
Quote from: SuuPRlim on March 15, 2013, 12:03:17 PM
Quote from: MC on March 15, 2013, 09:27:40 AM
Yeah ruud is spot on. Given that we can nearly call if he has AA means its an easy call. Probs only has to have 1 or 2 of combos of QQ and its all gravy.
Yup, getting it in vs AA is a tiny mistake, folding and him having any other hand and its an absolutely MASSIVE mistake.
Some big names saying I'm spot on in this thread.... Wiiii
[ ] happens often
Me being referred to as a big name
[ ] happens often
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"Success is not final, failure is not fatal"
http://www.atkinator.net
.....
@epitomised
ruud
Sr. Member
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Posts: 765
Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #12 on:
March 15, 2013, 03:18:52 PM »
Quote from: MC on March 15, 2013, 02:54:11 PM
Quote from: ruud on March 15, 2013, 01:40:00 PM
Quote from: SuuPRlim on March 15, 2013, 12:03:17 PM
Quote from: MC on March 15, 2013, 09:27:40 AM
Yeah ruud is spot on. Given that we can nearly call if he has AA means its an easy call. Probs only has to have 1 or 2 of combos of QQ and its all gravy.
Yup, getting it in vs AA is a tiny mistake, folding and him having any other hand and its an absolutely MASSIVE mistake.
Some big names saying I'm spot on in this thread.... Wiiii
[ ] happens often
Me being referred to as a big name
[ ] happens often
This could go on for a while
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ruud
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 765
Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #13 on:
March 15, 2013, 04:49:44 PM »
Quote from: BangBang on March 15, 2013, 02:16:52 PM
Quote from: ruud on March 15, 2013, 01:40:00 PM
Quote from: SuuPRlim on March 15, 2013, 12:03:17 PM
Quote from: MC on March 15, 2013, 09:27:40 AM
Yeah ruud is spot on. Given that we can nearly call if he has AA means its an easy call. Probs only has to have 1 or 2 of combos of QQ and its all gravy.
Yup, getting it in vs AA is a tiny mistake, folding and him having any other hand and its an absolutely MASSIVE mistake.
Some big names saying I'm spot on in this thread.... Wiiii
[ ] happens often
What would you do with AJ Ruud...?
I had 56 off when I pushed all in BTW so you were winning all the time lol.. I just couldn't take sitting there for any longer..
Lol. I obv fold AJ here. Against you on that table I figured if I 3bet/call I am in alright shape versus most of your range and the guy on your left folded to every 3bet all night. Was a real grind though you are right, great to meet you and redsimon though.
Anyway, the AJ was soooooted and you looked desperate to leave!
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SuuPRlim
Hero Member
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Posts: 10536
Re: Can I ever get away from this ???
«
Reply #14 on:
March 15, 2013, 08:17:51 PM »
Quote from: MC on March 15, 2013, 02:54:11 PM
Quote from: ruud on March 15, 2013, 01:40:00 PM
Quote from: SuuPRlim on March 15, 2013, 12:03:17 PM
Quote from: MC on March 15, 2013, 09:27:40 AM
Yeah ruud is spot on. Given that we can nearly call if he has AA means its an easy call. Probs only has to have 1 or 2 of combos of QQ and its all gravy.
Yup, getting it in vs AA is a tiny mistake, folding and him having any other hand and its an absolutely MASSIVE mistake.
Some big names saying I'm spot on in this thread.... Wiiii
[ ] happens often
Me being referred to as a big name
[ ] happens often
Me talking with any intelligence about a hand of tournament poker
[ ] happens often
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