TR from yesterday:
The 2200 was a 1700 plus 500 bounty, the field got 140ish runners, so first prize was in the $60k region. Felt like a really manageable field size and a winable comp, rather than the daunting fields the $1500 ws events get. I thought it'd be a soft field since it clashed with a ws $5k so I thought most of the sickos would be in that. Alas, it was actually quite tough and there were very few spots on the two tables I was on, and plenty of tough opposition - Trigg, Le Knave, Keith, Keys, ChipRich plus the guys I didn't recognise all knew what they were doing.
I chipped up nicely to get my 20k starting stack to 25k, then lost quite a big pot with
(lost so many big pots with AK this trip, it's getting silly!). A dutch looking geezer in his 30s or 40s raised in early position (I think at 100/200/25) and I 3bet in late position to 1200 and he 4bet to 2600. We were 20k deep, I was in position and it was suited in blue so I thought I could profitably peel here, even though I think his range is quite nutted, it'll contain the odd bluff, plus hands where I have one or two overcards to hit plus vgood implied odds if I make a flush, so for 1400 more I thought it best to peel.
The flop was QQQ and he checked. I thought he probably had JJ/AK or a give up AJ, AT, KJ. Most likely the former range though. He SOMETIMES has AA and KK here and decides to check for deception, but I have two blockers so I basically discounted them from his range. No point me betting, I checked behind. The turn was a brick and he bet 3200. I can fold here, and perhaps should, but I felt he could just be taking a stab with AK, AJ, AT, and if he is betting JJ/TT I have 7 outs. I called and he bet 4500 on a blank river and I fold, seemed vunlikely I could ever be good anymore. I asked him after the table broke if he had Jacks and he said he did.
I then took a pretty insane line vs a really bad/think he's amazing, really FPS young player. I'd seen him 3b and utg opener from utg+1 with
and then peel a 4b. He floated a cbet on Q96 checked behind K turn and then took a stab on A river.
In this hand Trigg raised utg (had been raising almost every pot since I'd been there, not much showdown except T8o which he raised utg+2. Villain peeled from MP and I was on the button with
. I hadn't played a hand since I moved to the table, so I thought a squeeze would get a lot of credit, especially since Trigg has opened utg. I think Trigg's range is wide enough for this to get through a lot, there was deece antes at this stage too and I had a hand that can flop top pair, and the suited equity is quite important, can barrel lots of flops and turns with decent equity. Since the FPS guy peeled in the middle I don't like it so much, since he's less likely to fold that Trigg imo, but since I think he's pretty awful I don't really mind him peeling.
So Trigg folded and he called and the flop was
. He checked I bet 2k into 4.8k. He raised to 5.2k. I had 16k back. He's repping almost nothing, 44, 99 and JJ he 3bets pre (perhaps not 99 but I discount it say 50%) he might peeled J9ss. It's such a thin range he's raising for value, having seen the T7o hand, I thought it more like to be an airball than a set. Also if he had a set or two pair, why does he need to raise when he can just let me hang myself, there's no bad turns and stacks are perfect for me to just b/b/j so I didn't think he'd raise a set there that often. I didn't want to shove and have almost no equity when called, I thought it'd be better to click it back to 8500 which looks super strong, I genuinely expected him to fold a high % of the time, but he snap shoved and I had to fold of course.
I'm not sure I like it since perhaps he's raising QT or T8 just to get it in, they're the only draws and I'm actually ahead of those hands. So maybe I should jam, I think that's probably better. I can't really bring myself to fold the flop vs this guy who's value range is so so narrow (almost non-existent) and my perceived range is so strong.
I think I probably got bluffed off the best hand and he had QT, I don't really know what the best play is. In before fold of course.
First big move I've made here and it went tits up - bit of a shame. But I've not built up big stacks in live tournaments in the past by just value betting, so it's part of my game and I usually pick my spots well - can't always work out though - sometimes you just run into a big hand, however unlikely it might be.
Anyway, we actually went on a fun spin up, doubling KK>33 then T9 vs 98 on T237, bricked the river, back to 25k which was just under average. Very next hand I get
in vs TT in a totally standard spot and we brick despite turning a flush draw.
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