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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13457917 times)
Ironside
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: 41794
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106125 on:
August 27, 2015, 10:49:05 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on August 27, 2015, 10:40:12 PM
Quote from: Ironside on August 27, 2015, 10:28:53 PM
CBB burnside (chris elliston) 16-1 on betfair sportsbook looks outstanding value
why?
i am wrong, the exchange has him much bigger for little bits as the market forms
but i think witht he people going in his is going to me a much more likeable character in the jim davidson mode
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
Gazza
Sr. Member
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Posts: 447
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106126 on:
August 27, 2015, 11:09:40 PM »
Quote from: Ironside on August 27, 2015, 10:49:05 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on August 27, 2015, 10:40:12 PM
Quote from: Ironside on August 27, 2015, 10:28:53 PM
CBB burnside (chris elliston) 16-1 on betfair sportsbook looks outstanding value
why?
i am wrong, the exchange has him much bigger for little bits as the market forms
but i think witht he people going in his is going to me a much more likeable character in the jim davidson mode
Wait, Jim Davidson is likeable?
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SuperJez
Sr. Member
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Posts: 514
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106127 on:
August 27, 2015, 11:22:20 PM »
A ton of value in all the "to win their group" champions league betting markets tonight, that's all I am saying. Well all apart from one imo.
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Ironside
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Posts: 41794
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106128 on:
August 27, 2015, 11:30:47 PM »
Quote from: Gazza on August 27, 2015, 11:09:40 PM
Quote from: Ironside on August 27, 2015, 10:49:05 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on August 27, 2015, 10:40:12 PM
Quote from: Ironside on August 27, 2015, 10:28:53 PM
CBB burnside (chris elliston) 16-1 on betfair sportsbook looks outstanding value
why?
i am wrong, the exchange has him much bigger for little bits as the market forms
but i think witht he people going in his is going to me a much more likeable character in the jim davidson mode
Wait, Jim Davidson is likeable?
he won didnt he so must of come across that way
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
arbboy
Hero Member
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106129 on:
August 27, 2015, 11:37:21 PM »
Quote from: SuperJez on August 27, 2015, 11:22:20 PM
A ton of value in all the "to win their group" champions league betting markets tonight, that's all I am saying. Well all apart from one imo.
Big difference of opinion in man city group. Red nose bald Fred predictably going too price Man city where as lolbrokes are massively ducked them.
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mulhuzz
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Posts: 3022
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106130 on:
August 27, 2015, 11:46:36 PM »
Can't have Athletico 9x% to qualify mind. Would defo be opposing anywhere near those espn prices
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swinebag22
Sr. Member
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Posts: 589
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106131 on:
August 28, 2015, 12:00:09 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on August 26, 2015, 03:29:51 PM
note to self
us open serena 10/11 womens
10/1 bar
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/us-open/womens/winner
e/w 1/2 1,2
find the winner of the other half when the draw is made
http://espn.go.com/tennis/bracket?year=2015&type=2&tournamentId=189
Draw is out and no opinions?
Not really a tennis expert, but as tighty states above, the women's draw must have some value in it
Names that stand out for me (all in the other half to Serena) as possible EW bets
Azarenka 9/1 - Improving after a tough 2014 and getting back to her best
Wozniacki 40/1 - US open seems to be her best Slam
In the Mens Draw, I fancy an improved/more focussed Dimitrov to win Quarter 2 at 13/2 but only Jokes have priced this up so far
No reccs here, just asking for opinions
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TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106132 on:
August 28, 2015, 10:59:45 AM »
Quote from: swinebag22 on August 28, 2015, 12:00:09 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on August 26, 2015, 03:29:51 PM
note to self
us open serena 10/11 womens
10/1 bar
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/us-open/womens/winner
e/w 1/2 1,2
find the winner of the other half when the draw is made
http://espn.go.com/tennis/bracket?year=2015&type=2&tournamentId=189
Draw is out and no opinions?
Not really a tennis expert, but as tighty states above, the women's draw must have some value in it
Names that stand out for me (all in the other half to Serena) as possible EW bets
Azarenka 9/1 - Improving after a tough 2014 and getting back to her best
Wozniacki 40/1 - US open seems to be her best Slam
In the Mens Draw, I fancy an improved/more focussed Dimitrov to win Quarter 2 at 13/2 but only Jokes have priced this up so far
No reccs here, just asking for opinions
thanks Rob
no other thoughts on either draw?
can we not find the winner of the non-serena half?
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106133 on:
August 28, 2015, 11:01:57 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on August 28, 2015, 10:59:45 AM
Quote from: swinebag22 on August 28, 2015, 12:00:09 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on August 26, 2015, 03:29:51 PM
note to self
us open serena 10/11 womens
10/1 bar
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/us-open/womens/winner
e/w 1/2 1,2
find the winner of the other half when the draw is made
http://espn.go.com/tennis/bracket?year=2015&type=2&tournamentId=189
Draw is out and no opinions?
Not really a tennis expert, but as tighty states above, the women's draw must have some value in it
Names that stand out for me (all in the other half to Serena) as possible EW bets
Azarenka 9/1 - Improving after a tough 2014 and getting back to her best
Wozniacki 40/1 - US open seems to be her best Slam
In the Mens Draw, I fancy an improved/more focussed Dimitrov to win Quarter 2 at 13/2 but only Jokes have priced this up so far
No reccs here, just asking for opinions
thanks Rob
no other thoughts on either draw?
can we not find the winner of the non-serena half?
Paging Mere, Paging Mere........
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Doobs
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16577
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106134 on:
August 28, 2015, 11:27:56 AM »
Quote from: tikay on August 28, 2015, 11:01:57 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on August 28, 2015, 10:59:45 AM
Quote from: swinebag22 on August 28, 2015, 12:00:09 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on August 26, 2015, 03:29:51 PM
note to self
us open serena 10/11 womens
10/1 bar
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/us-open/womens/winner
e/w 1/2 1,2
find the winner of the other half when the draw is made
http://espn.go.com/tennis/bracket?year=2015&type=2&tournamentId=189
Draw is out and no opinions?
Not really a tennis expert, but as tighty states above, the women's draw must have some value in it
Names that stand out for me (all in the other half to Serena) as possible EW bets
Azarenka 9/1 - Improving after a tough 2014 and getting back to her best
Wozniacki 40/1 - US open seems to be her best Slam
In the Mens Draw, I fancy an improved/more focussed Dimitrov to win Quarter 2 at 13/2 but only Jokes have priced this up so far
No reccs here, just asking for opinions
thanks Rob
no other thoughts on either draw?
can we not find the winner of the non-serena half?
Paging Mere, Paging Mere........
I know nearly nothing too, but you beat Betfair with Safarova at 66/1 with Victor and she is in the right half for an each way. Clay courter having a good season. Guess that is all you can hope for at 66/1?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
DungBeetle
Hero Member
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Posts: 4925
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106135 on:
August 28, 2015, 11:30:41 AM »
As an absolute long shot I'd put up Carolina Garcia at 250-1 in the other half to Serena.
Crept up to 36 in the rankings (so unfortunately unseeded) but in last couple of weeks has beaten Lisicki, Kvitova and Bacsinszky on hard courts. Of course this is unlikely in the extreme but a 250-1 shot beating seeded players is a positive. Potentially "big improver" as they say at the races at the age of 21.
Plays Petkovic (seeded) first up where she'll be marginal dog. Win that and she's in the Kvitova/Muguraza quarter.
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swinebag22
Sr. Member
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Posts: 589
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106136 on:
August 28, 2015, 11:35:47 AM »
Wozniacki is 40/1 standout with lolbrokes, 33/1 general and lower in quite a few spots
40/1 beats betfair so think we should have a bet here.
Done a bit more Woz research
http://www.si.com/swimsuit/2015/models/caroline-wozniacki/photos/8
Seriously though, she hasn't done brilliantly of late but has made the semis in Cincinatti and should get the better of Kvitova there. If she wins there, then I imagine the 40's will go
In the US, she has a decent draw and I think she will win her quarter. The semi will be tough, but hopefully someone can do us a favour and soften the draw up even more for her. I think the US open suits an improving type who has not had too hard a season. Wozzy certainly does that IMO and unless I am missing something, 40s seems crazy.
reccommend £10 EW (but please get a second opinion before placing)
My thinking for Azarenka is also along similar lines but at 9/1 there probably isn't the value
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Doobs
Hero Member
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Posts: 16577
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106137 on:
August 28, 2015, 12:37:43 PM »
Quote from: DungBeetle on August 28, 2015, 11:30:41 AM
As an absolute long shot I'd put up Carolina Garcia at 250-1 in the other half to Serena.
Crept up to 36 in the rankings (so unfortunately unseeded) but in last couple of weeks has beaten Lisicki, Kvitova and Bacsinszky on hard courts. Of course this is unlikely in the extreme but a 250-1 shot beating seeded players is a positive. Potentially "big improver" as they say at the races at the age of 21.
Plays Petkovic (seeded) first up where she'll be marginal dog. Win that and she's in the Kvitova/Muguraza quarter.
I couldn't see the 250/1, but there is a bit available at 400/410 (I just had £4 at 420) on Betfair which must be a better bet even if you can't get the each way?
That 66/1 Safarova didn't last long. Must be the glowing write up I gave here.
That wozniaki bet looks fine if we can get anything on with Ladbrokes. I can't kill that price anyway. 38/44 on Betfair, so the to final odds must be shorter than the 20/1 we get. Don't think you need to worry much more than that. Not sure azarenka as it is a bit more swings and roundabouts as we lose quite a bit on the win price. Would need a better judge than me to look at it.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106138 on:
August 28, 2015, 12:38:21 PM »
we'll just do a small book in the women's then
all e/w to try and reach the final
plenty of room if mere wants to pipe up....and for the mens too...
wozniacki was limited at the only place we can get 40-1
Single - 2015 US Open - Women's singles
C Wozniacki - Tournament Winner
Odds: 40/1
Each way : 1/2
1 lines at £5.00 per line
Total Stake for this bet: £10.00
Time : 28/8/2015-11:49
Receipt No:O/142640973/0000960
safarova 66/1 e/w had gone
31 Aug 2015 - Women's US Open - Tournament Winner - Tournament Winner
Lucie Safarova @ 50/1 EW @ 1/2 1-2
Stake : £10.00 (£5.00 x 2)
Estimated Returns : £
385.00
Garcia 250/1 is impossible e/w
Caroline Garcia 2015 Womens Winner 412.66 £2.86
£1,177.34
Partially Matched
Ref: 54553128651M Matched: 11:53 28-Aug-15
there is no liquidity in the win the quarter markets. garcia would qualify as "any other player". i've popped something up to see if it matches
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
DungBeetle
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 4925
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #106139 on:
August 28, 2015, 12:38:53 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on August 28, 2015, 12:37:43 PM
Quote from: DungBeetle on August 28, 2015, 11:30:41 AM
As an absolute long shot I'd put up Carolina Garcia at 250-1 in the other half to Serena.
Crept up to 36 in the rankings (so unfortunately unseeded) but in last couple of weeks has beaten Lisicki, Kvitova and Bacsinszky on hard courts. Of course this is unlikely in the extreme but a 250-1 shot beating seeded players is a positive. Potentially "big improver" as they say at the races at the age of 21.
Plays Petkovic (seeded) first up where she'll be marginal dog. Win that and she's in the Kvitova/Muguraza quarter.
I couldn't see the 250/1, but there is a bit available at 400/410 (I just had £4 at 420) on Betfair which must be a better bet even if you can't get the each way?
That 66/1 Safarova didn't last long. Must be the glowing write up I gave here.
That wozniaki bet looks fine if we can get anything on with Ladbrokes. I can't kill that price anyway. 38/44 on Betfair, so the to final odds must be shorter than the 20/1 we get. Don't think you need to worry much more than that. Not sure azarenka as it is a bit more swings and roundabouts as we lose quite a bit on the win price. Would need a better judge than me to look at it.
Yep sorry - didn't check Betfair.
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