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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13522197 times)
arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81300 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:01:01 PM »
Quote from: sonour on June 24, 2014, 03:43:37 PM
Anybody think England are a lay at 1.78 ?
Yes but prefer to wait until they are backed into 1.65 later on then hit the lay button. The 5pm start might slow down the gamble as the mugs won't be in from work in time. I will be laying Italy as well if they get much shorter. Not entirely sure why they are so short for this game given a draw will suffice and get them through. Hard to see them taking many risks late in the game if it's tied up. Not have that much between the sides to justify the difference in prices.
«
Last Edit: June 24, 2014, 04:07:51 PM by arbboy
»
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Chompy
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Posts: 11852
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81301 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:28:35 PM »
The Irish Derby is an interesting race.
Listen is responsible for seven of the 11 entries and it's 2/5 Australia, 3/1 Kingston Hill, 8 True Story, 14 Bar.
There's rain forecast, which won't suit Australia and True Story (never looked happy on it at York) but would be ideal for Kingston Hill.
If it gets good to soft or worse there's every chance Listen will take Australia out. In which case we'd be left with maybe six or seven runners and Kingston Hill very short.
Looking at the Dublin forecast it looks very unlikely the ground will be too fast for Kingston Hill to run, so this looks a good trading spot.
Racebets are 7/2, a fifth 1-2-3, which is obv the best option. Otherwise Baldy and Mountains are offering the same EW terms (a few others are 1/4 1-2).
Suggest as much as we are happy with each-way with a view to trading.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81302 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:35:49 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on June 24, 2014, 04:28:35 PM
The Irish Derby is an interesting race.
Listen is responsible for seven of the 11 entries and it's 2/5 Australia, 3/1 Kingston Hill, 8 True Story, 14 Bar.
There's rain forecast, which won't suit Australia and True Story (never looked happy on it at York) but would be ideal for Kingston Hill.
If it gets good to soft or worse there's every chance Listen will take Australia out. In which case we'd be left with maybe six or seven runners and Kingston Hill very short.
Looking at the Dublin forecast it looks very unlikely the ground will be too fast for Kingston Hill to run, so this looks a good trading spot.
Racebets are 7/2, a fifth 1-2-3, which is obv the best option. Otherwise Baldy and Mountains are offering the same EW terms (a few others are 1/4 1-2).
Suggest as much as we are happy with each-way with a view to trading.
Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby
Antepost Outright
EW 1/5 1,2,3 Kingston Hill 3/1
Total stake £ 200.00
Estimated return £ 560.00
Full stake £ 200.00
Full estimated return £ 560.00
racebets only tends to be funded for a specific bet, and as the boss is not around i had to do betfred
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81303 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:38:15 PM »
We have £200 at 23/10 3.3 italy/uruguay draw
which i need to close pre kick-off
unfortunately it is 3.7 the draw, the outsider of the three way result market
what is the best way to proceed here from a "get out" point of view?
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
arbboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81304 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:38:37 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on June 24, 2014, 04:28:35 PM
The Irish Derby is an interesting race.
Listen is responsible for seven of the 11 entries and it's 2/5 Australia, 3/1 Kingston Hill, 8 True Story, 14 Bar.
There's rain forecast, which won't suit Australia and True Story (never looked happy on it at York) but would be ideal for Kingston Hill.
If it gets good to soft or worse there's every chance Listen will take Australia out. In which case we'd be left with maybe six or seven runners and Kingston Hill very short.
Looking at the Dublin forecast it looks very unlikely the ground will be too fast for Kingston Hill to run, so this looks a good trading spot.
Racebets are 7/2, a fifth 1-2-3, which is obv the best option. Otherwise Baldy and Mountains are offering the same EW terms (a few others are 1/4 1-2).
Suggest as much as we are happy with each-way with a view to trading.
Great spot chomps. ty in advance
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Dubai
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Posts: 6040
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81305 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:40:21 PM »
I posted yesterday morning when draw was 3.35-3.4 saying to close out for level/small loss. I'd be less inclined to lay 3.7.
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TightEnd
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81306 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:41:42 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on June 24, 2014, 04:40:21 PM
I posted yesterday morning when draw was 3.35-3.4 saying to close out for level/small loss. I'd be less inclined to lay 3.7.
you asked me to check near kick off (and then lay), i believe
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Omm
Hero Member
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Posts: 3237
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81307 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:42:17 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on June 24, 2014, 04:40:21 PM
I posted yesterday morning when draw was 3.35-3.4 saying to close out for level/small loss. I'd be less inclined to lay 3.7.
Would u lay in running?
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arbboy
Hero Member
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81308 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:43:10 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 24, 2014, 04:38:15 PM
We have £200 at 23/10 3.3 italy/uruguay draw
which i need to close pre kick-off
unfortunately it is 3.7 the draw, the outsider of the three way result market
what is the best way to proceed here from a "get out" point of view?
My personal view is unders and the draw are too big now. I get 3rd group games are higher scoring etc etc but i just don't see italy having much incentive to try and win this game.
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Dubai
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Posts: 6040
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81309 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:45:29 PM »
Quote from: Dubai on June 23, 2014, 10:14:34 AM
Id dump the 200 off nearer off to break level or take a small loss, small downside high upside was argument behind bet anyway. Similar to price Germany USA draw is now was what I was anticipating if results went right
It went shorter yesterday after I posted. I obv didn't mean just before kickoff but should have stated a time, if it was my money I wouldn't lay back at 3.7- maybe let it run and lay in running if it's a lot for fred
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DungBeetle
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Posts: 4925
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81310 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:47:06 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 24, 2014, 04:38:15 PM
We have £200 at 23/10 3.3 italy/uruguay draw
which i need to close pre kick-off
unfortunately it is 3.7 the draw, the outsider of the three way result market
what is the best way to proceed here from a "get out" point of view?
This makes no sense to me? Why is the draw on the drift?
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Dubai
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 6040
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81311 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:48:01 PM »
Been biggish move for Italy. So draw drifts
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arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81312 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:51:25 PM »
are racebets 100% safe? Any heads up on who owns them etc?
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Dubai
Hero Member
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Posts: 6040
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81313 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:54:57 PM »
If you want to close the position out Tighty il have £200@ whatever price draw is to lay- save commission and Fred would be 0 both teams and -x on draw
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sonour
Hero Member
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Posts: 1665
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #81314 on:
June 24, 2014, 04:56:49 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on June 24, 2014, 04:01:01 PM
Quote from: sonour on June 24, 2014, 03:43:37 PM
Anybody think England are a lay at 1.78 ?
Yes but prefer to wait until they are backed into 1.65 later on then hit the lay button. The 5pm start might slow down the gamble as the mugs won't be in from work in time. I will be laying Italy as well if they get much shorter. Not entirely sure why they are so short for this game given a draw will suffice and get them through. Hard to see them taking many risks late in the game if it's tied up. Not have that much between the sides to justify the difference in prices.
Cheers
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