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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13470461 times)
tikay
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« Reply #36045 on: April 01, 2013, 04:23:26 PM »

Diamond loses 6-5.

Yikes, we got whitewashed on the Darts today, a mercifully rarity for us.

In Rugby League, Hull KR are a cricket score behind before half time.

Neil's horses got unlucky.

April off to a proper flyer, hello variance, come on in.

If Fred's girl trouble with Lady Variance ruins my chess bet, I shall be mightily cross!

I have every confidence in Carlsen.

There is an upside to a varied basket of bets, & sports, when things go wrong in some spots, we generally have enough width to find some solace somewhere.

Today, chess is that solace.*

* = Whistling in the dark.
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« Reply #36046 on: April 01, 2013, 04:27:28 PM »

http://london2013.fide.com/analysis/index.html

The above link will give you the games and technical assessments of the positions. The numbers are the computer's assessment of who is winning, with positive numbers meaning White is winning and negative numbers Black. The unit is 1 point is a pawn (usually enough at this level) and advantages of over 0.7 tend to lead to victory.

All a bit too scientific for some, but the computer also tells you in the bottom left what move should be played next, so you can see whether the player makes the right call.

In Carlsen's game, we want a positive number; in Kramnik's, because he is Black and we want him to lose (to be greedy Smiley - as long as his result doesn't beat Carlsen's, we win), anything positive is great.
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« Reply #36047 on: April 01, 2013, 04:27:33 PM »

Thread remains too nitty imo.

Very keen on Poshies tomorrow, so...

Also have a £10 double on Posh-Posh H-T/F-T (6/1) and Dwighty Gayle first goal (7/1). Double pays 55/1

I don't know about too nitty but Mrs Merton style I do wonder , if it was done tastefully, is there is a cricket match or series anywhere in the world that we might consider not having a bet on?

There surely cannot be big enough mistakes in the prices to have a bet on a lot of games imo

I think the theory is that as well as value bets thread likes to have "interests" in the bigger competitions for a sweat over a period of a few weeks

sure Horsey, but if it interest we want then everyone following the thread will follow different things, we can have an interest on everything. Surely prices have to be the driver not interest?



this is an important thread for blonde and tikay and I are serving other remits as well as pure ROI.

So, referring to the Mumbai bet, £20 for something that lasts 6 weeks and will generate x posts and lots of discussions, possibly attract a few people to the thread,particularly if we get a sweat, is the secondary aim behind obviously finding value/winners.

I happen to regard Mumbai and Bangalore as better value at 5-1+ than Chennai and Kolkota at 3 or 4-1, thinking the winner will be one of these four

Quite a few of my things fall into this category, and I am probably the biggest sample size on the thread and profitable, so its not the end of the world to have some of these on here imo..particularly longer term/ante post stuff.


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« Reply #36048 on: April 01, 2013, 04:50:04 PM »

Think there's a typo in the Hull KR score tikay. No need to worry.
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« Reply #36049 on: April 01, 2013, 04:50:56 PM »

Walsall crushing.  Silencing the doubters
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« Reply #36050 on: April 01, 2013, 04:55:03 PM »

Think there's a typo in the Hull KR score tikay. No need to worry.

 
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« Reply #36051 on: April 01, 2013, 04:58:16 PM »

Think there's a typo in the Hull KR score tikay. No need to worry.

 

What is the score?
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« Reply #36052 on: April 01, 2013, 04:58:44 PM »

Walsall crushing.  Silencing the doubters

If I recall correctly, Fred is on 'Walsall to finish mid table and not get relegated or promoted, definitely not get relegated or promoted, just finish harmlessly in midtable'.

Can't be bothered to check the spreadsheet. Sure I'm right.
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« Reply #36053 on: April 01, 2013, 04:59:28 PM »

Think there's a typo in the Hull KR score tikay. No need to worry.

 

What is the score?

6-78. Decided not to look again until I had confidence that the BBC website staff weren't just taking the piss.
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« Reply #36054 on: April 01, 2013, 05:01:08 PM »

Think there's a typo in the Hull KR score tikay. No need to worry.

How unlucky was that?

Knowing me, I backed the other Hull, who are 18-12 up.........
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« Reply #36055 on: April 01, 2013, 05:02:06 PM »

Think there's a typo in the Hull KR score tikay. No need to worry.

 

What is the score?

6-78. Decided not to look again until I had confidence that the BBC website staff weren't just taking the piss.

Make that 84-6, Wigan got lucky near the end.
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« Reply #36056 on: April 01, 2013, 05:02:59 PM »

Walsall crushing.  Silencing the doubters

If I recall correctly, Fred is on 'Walsall to finish mid table and not get relegated or promoted, definitely not get relegated or promoted, just finish harmlessly in midtable'.

Can't be bothered to check the spreadsheet. Sure I'm right.

4th goal isn't going to help any
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« Reply #36057 on: April 01, 2013, 05:03:36 PM »

Think there's a typo in the Hull KR score tikay. No need to worry.

 

What is the score?

6-78. Decided not to look again until I had confidence that the BBC website staff weren't just taking the piss.

Make that 84-6, Wigan got lucky near the end.

MOTM was awarded to the scoreboard operator.
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« Reply #36058 on: April 01, 2013, 05:05:11 PM »

Walsall crushing.  Silencing the doubters

If I recall correctly, Fred is on 'Walsall to finish mid table and not get relegated or promoted, definitely not get relegated or promoted, just finish harmlessly in midtable'.

Can't be bothered to check the spreadsheet. Sure I'm right.

I blame Eso Kral. Think we even backed Walsall to win the County Cricket Championship.
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« Reply #36059 on: April 01, 2013, 05:07:29 PM »

Think there's a typo in the Hull KR score tikay. No need to worry.

 

What is the score?

6-78. Decided not to look again until I had confidence that the BBC website staff weren't just taking the piss.

Make that 84-6, Wigan got lucky near the end.

MOTM was awarded to the scoreboard operator.

Ouch!

What a start to April!

This variance bird can bugger off as soon as she likes.
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