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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13484928 times)
PokerBroker
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Posts: 1189
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126465 on:
March 16, 2017, 11:38:54 AM »
Quote from: arbboy on March 16, 2017, 11:31:14 AM
If we can get any 6-4 can we bet £100 on Yorkhill please
Good luck guys
Really?
There is clearly something wrong with Mullins horses, why would you want to risk a £100 on a 6/4 shot when we are getting good terms on the e/w market with a few books going 1/4 the odds 3 places.
Personally I'd much rather have £50 e/w on Top Notch, it could be a free roll as he is 40% likely to be out of the top 3.
FYP
Would you rather be on Yorkhill or Top Notch from what we have witnessed this week?
How many winners would we have expected Mullins to have by now if everything was firing?
Same with Ruby, his confidence in the Mullins horses must be low.
Betfred currently 7/4 Yorkhill
«
Last Edit: March 16, 2017, 11:46:44 AM by PokerBroker
»
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FUN4FRASER
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Posts: 2249
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126466 on:
March 16, 2017, 11:44:57 AM »
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on March 16, 2017, 09:33:41 AM
If we can get any 6-4 can we bet £100 on Yorkhill please
Good luck guys
Yorkhill 7-4 @ Bet Fred and Tote
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FUN4FRASER
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Posts: 2249
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126467 on:
March 16, 2017, 11:48:26 AM »
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on March 16, 2017, 11:44:57 AM
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on March 16, 2017, 09:33:41 AM
If we can get any 6-4 can we bet £100 on Yorkhill please
Good luck guys
Yorkhill 7-4 @ Bet Fred and Tote
14-1
for new accounts up to a tenner at Paddy Power ( paid in free bets)..money back in free bets if second
https://promotions.paddypower.com/enhanced-odds-link-9?utm_medium=Partnerships&utm_source=2139736&utm_ad=308935975&btag=11062720_20170316101208750750000&AFF_ID=11062720&
decent offer for small punters
offer closes at 1pm
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Marky147
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Posts: 22798
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126468 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:04:53 PM »
Quote from: PokerBroker on March 16, 2017, 11:38:54 AM
How many winners would we have expected Mullins to have by now if everything was firing?
Same with Ruby, his confidence in the Mullins horses must be low.
I'd have expected him to have 1, with Douvan.
I'm quite sure his confidence will be fine, as he has only lost on one horse that was expected to win, and the others have been running ok.
Logged
Burning $$$ in Vegas 2021
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=68840.0
Doobs
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Posts: 16578
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126469 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:11:36 PM »
1.30 is a very good e/w race as poker broker says. I have got Politilogue at 13/2 e/w. I lose a tiny bit on the win price, but bacause of all the dead wood, I am getting 13/8 on an even money chance with the place. I obv like this horse too.
If you want 25 e/w of this let me know Tighty.
This makes no difference to any Yorkhill bet. If you can get 7/4 on a horse just short of 6/4 on the machine then that isn't bad either.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126470 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:28:29 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2017, 12:11:36 PM
1.30 is a very good e/w race as poker broker says. I have got Politilogue at 13/2 e/w. I lose a tiny bit on the win price, but bacause of all the dead wood, I am getting 13/8 on an even money chance with the place. I obv like this horse too.
If you want 25 e/w of this let me know Tighty.
This makes no difference to any Yorkhill bet. If you can get 7/4 on a horse just short of 6/4 on the machine then that isn't bad either.
Politilogue yes,confirmed thanks
Not sure on Yorkhill, i wouldn't be doing £100 on it at the moment anyway. Small bets and hatches batten down a bit til the boss returns
As you and Fraser say the 7/4 Betfred i should probably do a bit of
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Doobs
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Posts: 16578
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126471 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:41:26 PM »
The other one I have put on for now is Clondaw Warrior at 28/1 quarter first 3 in the stayers. Shouldn't be good enough to win this but could plod on for 3rd. We beat betfair on the place and the win price is about right.
If you want 25 e/w let me know.
I have another 3 or so where we aren't getting a good enough price but v busy.
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Rod Paradise
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Posts: 7647
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126472 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:45:16 PM »
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on March 16, 2017, 09:28:16 AM
Quote from: rinswun on March 16, 2017, 08:45:17 AM
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on March 16, 2017, 06:57:29 AM
Quote from: Rod Paradise on March 15, 2017, 09:40:43 PM
I'm afraid there's many disagree. Rangers went bust, sold assets to another company included their 'share' which every premier league club has. Clubs voted against new company being allowed to enter a team in the league in rangers place. Rangers took part in the vote to let the new club in (unsuccessfully voted yes).
The new club then applied for membership of the sfl and were queue jumped into the 3rd division.
There's no way that was relegation, but too many vested interests want the new rangers to be the old one so a great myth arose.
The judge just punctured it. Was critical of both the punter and corals trying to play the rules.
Im not disagreeing about the chain of events leading to Rangers demise its about the morals & intent of the bet
The relevant question is this
If Rangers had stayed in the SPL would Corals of hunted the guy down to give him back is £100 ?
The answer is 100 % no they would not FACT hence
the bet was live
Bear in mind the bet was authorized so it hadn't slipped through the net thru a renegade cashier
The bottom line is they got greedy for £100 , badly fucked up on the price and cried like babies using every trick in the book when they got caught (totally out thought by the punter)
Pathetic
If you read the judge's ruling, they accepted the bet on the basis that Rangers would not be relegated. They weren't relegated. They were effectively disqualified from being in the SPL. They were then accepted as new members of the football league and had to start again in the bottom rung.
If the club had been renamed as New Rangers and the same happened, would you be saying they were relegated? That's effectively what happened when they were purchased by Sevco. The bet was settled correctly at the end of the SPL season.
I read the Judges ruling but that doesn't mean he is correct and lots of people dont agree with him ! Sounds like a revelation
Are we now saying the judge has ruled in favor of the bookies so he is now more knowledgeable about the betting / bookmaking industry than everybody else ?
They free rolled the guy and cried like babies....regardless of the ruling
totally disagree, they didn't finish in a relegation place, they went out of business. They weren't dropped to the 3rd division, they were voted into it from not being an acknowledged club.
That's nothing to do with betting industry or what the judge knows or doesn't know about it.
The punter and the bookie both tried it on, but in no real version of events were the team relegated. Bet loses.it was only the ridiculous handling of the new rangers by the press and the football authorities allowed the relegation myth to come into play, the punter claims he kept on top of the troubles rangers were in so he knew our should have known they weren't relegated and was pushing his luck.
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May the bird of paradise fly up your nose, with a badger on its back.
Doobs
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Posts: 16578
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126473 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:47:56 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on March 16, 2017, 12:28:29 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2017, 12:11:36 PM
1.30 is a very good e/w race as poker broker says. I have got Politilogue at 13/2 e/w. I lose a tiny bit on the win price, but bacause of all the dead wood, I am getting 13/8 on an even money chance with the place. I obv like this horse too.
If you want 25 e/w of this let me know Tighty.
This makes no difference to any Yorkhill bet. If you can get 7/4 on a horse just short of 6/4 on the machine then that isn't bad either.
Politilogue yes,confirmed thanks
Not sure on Yorkhill, i wouldn't be doing £100 on it at the moment anyway. Small bets and hatches batten down a bit til the boss returns
As you and Fraser say the 7/4 Betfred i should probably do a bit of
Was thinking a bit about not putting on bets at all for thread. The boss was lurking when I was on earlier and not sure I'd want him watching Cheltenham with money riding on every race. I am not a doctor, but suspect that isn't what they have in mind when they say rest.
We are obv well up on EV right now, so as good a place as any to stop.
Can still put up selections for everyone else, just not use thread money.
Any thoughts from anyone?
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126474 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:48:54 PM »
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on March 16, 2017, 11:44:57 AM
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on March 16, 2017, 09:33:41 AM
If we can get any 6-4 can we bet £100 on Yorkhill please
Good luck guys
Yorkhill 7-4 @ Bet Fred and Tote
having just logged in there its 11/8. maybe i missed an enhancement
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Karabiner
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22742
James Webb Telescope
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126475 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:49:07 PM »
Quote from: Rod Paradise on March 16, 2017, 12:45:16 PM
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on March 16, 2017, 09:28:16 AM
Quote from: rinswun on March 16, 2017, 08:45:17 AM
Quote from: FUN4FRASER on March 16, 2017, 06:57:29 AM
Quote from: Rod Paradise on March 15, 2017, 09:40:43 PM
I'm afraid there's many disagree. Rangers went bust, sold assets to another company included their 'share' which every premier league club has. Clubs voted against new company being allowed to enter a team in the league in rangers place. Rangers took part in the vote to let the new club in (unsuccessfully voted yes).
The new club then applied for membership of the sfl and were queue jumped into the 3rd division.
There's no way that was relegation, but too many vested interests want the new rangers to be the old one so a great myth arose.
The judge just punctured it. Was critical of both the punter and corals trying to play the rules.
Im not disagreeing about the chain of events leading to Rangers demise its about the morals & intent of the bet
The relevant question is this
If Rangers had stayed in the SPL would Corals of hunted the guy down to give him back is £100 ?
The answer is 100 % no they would not FACT hence
the bet was live
Bear in mind the bet was authorized so it hadn't slipped through the net thru a renegade cashier
The bottom line is they got greedy for £100 , badly fucked up on the price and cried like babies using every trick in the book when they got caught (totally out thought by the punter)
Pathetic
If you read the judge's ruling, they accepted the bet on the basis that Rangers would not be relegated. They weren't relegated. They were effectively disqualified from being in the SPL. They were then accepted as new members of the football league and had to start again in the bottom rung.
If the club had been renamed as New Rangers and the same happened, would you be saying they were relegated? That's effectively what happened when they were purchased by Sevco. The bet was settled correctly at the end of the SPL season.
I read the Judges ruling but that doesn't mean he is correct and lots of people dont agree with him ! Sounds like a revelation
Are we now saying the judge has ruled in favor of the bookies so he is now more knowledgeable about the betting / bookmaking industry than everybody else ?
They free rolled the guy and cried like babies....regardless of the ruling
totally disagree, they didn't finish in a relegation place, they went out of business. They weren't dropped to the 3rd division, they were voted into it from not being an acknowledged club.
That's nothing to do with betting industry or what the judge knows or doesn't know about it.
The punter and the bookie both tried it on, but in no real version of events were the team relegated. Bet loses.it was only the ridiculous handling of the new rangers by the press and the football authorities allowed the relegation myth to come into play, the punter claims he kept on top of the troubles rangers were in so he knew our should have known they weren't relegated and was pushing his luck.
I agree with Rod here - both the punter and the bookie were angle-shooting.
Logged
"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126476 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:55:28 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2017, 12:47:56 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 16, 2017, 12:28:29 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2017, 12:11:36 PM
1.30 is a very good e/w race as poker broker says. I have got Politilogue at 13/2 e/w. I lose a tiny bit on the win price, but bacause of all the dead wood, I am getting 13/8 on an even money chance with the place. I obv like this horse too.
If you want 25 e/w of this let me know Tighty.
This makes no difference to any Yorkhill bet. If you can get 7/4 on a horse just short of 6/4 on the machine then that isn't bad either.
Politilogue yes,confirmed thanks
Not sure on Yorkhill, i wouldn't be doing £100 on it at the moment anyway. Small bets and hatches batten down a bit til the boss returns
As you and Fraser say the 7/4 Betfred i should probably do a bit of
Was thinking a bit about not putting on bets at all for thread. The boss was lurking when I was on earlier and not sure I'd want him watching Cheltenham with money riding on every race. I am not a doctor, but suspect that isn't what they have in mind when they say rest.
We are obv well up on EV right now, so as good a place as any to stop.
Can still put up selections for everyone else, just not use thread money.
Any thoughts from anyone?
please keep putting them up
i for one back them, which has made for a fun week
the most important thing as always is that ideas go up, the thread doesn't need to do them at all
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126477 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:55:59 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2017, 12:47:56 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 16, 2017, 12:28:29 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2017, 12:11:36 PM
1.30 is a very good e/w race as poker broker says. I have got Politilogue at 13/2 e/w. I lose a tiny bit on the win price, but bacause of all the dead wood, I am getting 13/8 on an even money chance with the place. I obv like this horse too.
If you want 25 e/w of this let me know Tighty.
This makes no difference to any Yorkhill bet. If you can get 7/4 on a horse just short of 6/4 on the machine then that isn't bad either.
Politilogue yes,confirmed thanks
Not sure on Yorkhill, i wouldn't be doing £100 on it at the moment anyway. Small bets and hatches batten down a bit til the boss returns
As you and Fraser say the 7/4 Betfred i should probably do a bit of
Was thinking a bit about not putting on bets at all for thread. The boss was lurking when I was on earlier and not sure I'd want him watching Cheltenham with money riding on every race. I am not a doctor, but suspect that isn't what they have in mind when they say rest.
We are obv well up on EV right now, so as good a place as any to stop.
Can still put up selections for everyone else, just not use thread money.
Any thoughts from anyone?
Morning David.
I'm fine & dandy now, with no after effects.
I'm a bit overwhelmed with PM's, e-mails, texts, phone calls & the like so have not had chance yet to post anything on blonde or Next Door, & also I had some business to attend to. Will post soon.
I have no after effects from the procedure I had on Monday (
"primary angioplasty"
) other than I have to eat properly, exercise properly, take a zillion different tablets every day, &, obv, not smoke or drink.
Excite me all you like, it was all rather pleasantly surreal to miss the first 2 days completely only to then find we'd earned (you'd earned us....) best part of a grand in my absence. How good do I run?
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Karabiner
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22742
James Webb Telescope
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126478 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:56:44 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2017, 12:47:56 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 16, 2017, 12:28:29 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2017, 12:11:36 PM
1.30 is a very good e/w race as poker broker says. I have got Politilogue at 13/2 e/w. I lose a tiny bit on the win price, but bacause of all the dead wood, I am getting 13/8 on an even money chance with the place. I obv like this horse too.
If you want 25 e/w of this let me know Tighty.
This makes no difference to any Yorkhill bet. If you can get 7/4 on a horse just short of 6/4 on the machine then that isn't bad either.
Politilogue yes,confirmed thanks
Not sure on Yorkhill, i wouldn't be doing £100 on it at the moment anyway. Small bets and hatches batten down a bit til the boss returns
As you and Fraser say the 7/4 Betfred i should probably do a bit of
Was thinking a bit about not putting on bets at all for thread. The boss was lurking when I was on earlier and not sure I'd want him watching Cheltenham with money riding on every race. I am not a doctor, but suspect that isn't what they have in mind when they say rest.
We are obv well up on EV right now, so as good a place as any to stop.
Can still put up selections for everyone else, just not use thread money.
Any thoughts from anyone?
SPIN
Logged
"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #126479 on:
March 16, 2017, 12:58:42 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 16, 2017, 12:41:26 PM
The other one I have put on for now is Clondaw Warrior at 28/1 quarter first 3 in the stayers. Shouldn't be good enough to win this but could plod on for 3rd. We beat betfair on the place and the win price is about right.
If you want 25 e/w let me know.
I have another 3 or so where we aren't getting a good enough price but v busy.
Clondaw Warrior confirmed then
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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