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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
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Topic: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread (Read 48158 times)
millidonk
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #60 on:
May 24, 2014, 10:16:57 AM »
Quote from: horseplayer on May 24, 2014, 09:59:40 AM
Quote from: KitKeeper on May 23, 2014, 08:28:45 PM
Like Group F for highest scoring group.
Argentina and Bosnia should have a chunk of goals against the other two and without having incredible defences, won't be keeping clean sheets imo.
13/2
with Sportingbet.
Like the look of this
A lot infact
Maldini tipped this at 7/1. Get with the programme horsey.
I also think it's a good spot.
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Josedinho
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #61 on:
May 24, 2014, 12:51:07 PM »
I've got Muller top goalscorer and England to win it @ 1000/1
I'm not sure I need any other bets.
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anthonyl
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #62 on:
May 25, 2014, 09:57:26 PM »
Thoughts on 3/1 for there to be 165 or over in goals?
Would be a fun one to sweat!
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maldini32
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #63 on:
May 25, 2014, 11:52:56 PM »
Fun bet, surely a max?
A pundit to call Belgium a dark horse.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/specials
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pokerfan
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #64 on:
May 26, 2014, 12:18:58 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on May 19, 2014, 03:00:11 PM
Quote from: millidonk on May 19, 2014, 02:50:06 PM
Next door's punting firm seem way ool with some of their prices. Just whacked some on for Golden Ball; Muller 40/1 (20 - 33/1 elsewhere) and Negredo 100/1 (40 - 50/1 elsewhere).
Only surprised by 2 of your list there Tighty:
Greece lowest scoring team? Colombia, Ivory Coast + Japan. I can see them scoring at least 2, plus Samaras is a beast.
Algeria. Assuming we are thinking Belgium to top the group comfortably and Algeria to see off Russia? Interested about this one.
Love the world cup. This is going to be by far the most I have outlayed pre tournament before. Gulp.
Greece.
Very defensive team. Recent friendly has them with Mitroglou the Fulham flop up front (though he did well in the play offs for them
"Portuguese coach Fernando Santos took over in 2010, but admits the legacy of predecessor Otto Rehhagel, under whom Greece won Euro 2004, remains "an identity that is not easy to change. We've tried to play a different way [but] then we slipped back into our comfort zone, our defensive strength." "
Very competitive Group, no pushovers to score goals. Japan and IC amongst the toughest teams in their seeding groupings. no iran, costa rica etc here
think its far too simplistic to look at the front of the market in lowest scorers...got to look at the most competitive groups where there isn't a pushover...
Algeria. One of the groups where I think second place is up for grabs. there is no natural goalsscorer in the russian team (kerzakhov and dzagoev out of form and favour with Capello recently), south Korea a shadow of the team of 2002-06
Algeria, v technically gifted and completely under-rated because they haven't played outside africa since 2010. I got to talk about them with a friend of a friend who translates for riyad mahrez who came over from france to lcfc, not speaking english and is in the world cup 30 for algeria. rates a player called Sofiane Feghouli, 23, highly
so i went and researched him "is an attacking midfielder or winger who was described by Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger a year ago as "exceptional" and "a physical beast"
so, possibly under-rated team, certainly an unknown team, in a group it looks possible to get out of. obviously you wouldn't fancy them to get out of a brazil/croatia/mexico or germany/portugal/ghana draw, but belgium/russia/korea and 6-1? speculative bet
Greece no group goals 37-1 .
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mulhuzz
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #65 on:
May 26, 2014, 06:49:54 AM »
What price would you want on Messi not to score for it to be attractive?
Fair to say he scores about one in two on average for Argentina and you'd expect him to take pens...
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TightEnd
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #66 on:
May 26, 2014, 09:58:55 AM »
If you've not done it yet, check out @Sportingbet_com's £100,000 World Cup competition. Pick 1st and 2nd in each group. 1st entry is free.
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DropTheHammer
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #67 on:
May 26, 2014, 10:11:03 AM »
Quote from: pokerfan on May 26, 2014, 12:18:58 AM
Greece no group goals 37-1 .
Who did you bet this with, I can only see SkyBet offering 0 Group goals at 11s?
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superwomble
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #68 on:
May 26, 2014, 10:24:24 AM »
Quote from: DropTheHammer on May 26, 2014, 10:11:03 AM
Quote from: pokerfan on May 26, 2014, 12:18:58 AM
Greece no group goals 37-1 .
Who did you bet this with, I can only see SkyBet offering 0 Group goals at 11s?
This was Ladjokes I think.
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millidonk
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #69 on:
May 26, 2014, 10:50:41 AM »
Quote from: mulhuzz on May 26, 2014, 06:49:54 AM
What price would you want on Messi not to score for it to be attractive?
Fair to say he scores about one in two on average for Argentina and you'd expect him to take pens...
30/1+ off the top of my head. Is it priced up anywhere?
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Waz1892
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #70 on:
May 26, 2014, 11:09:21 AM »
Quote from: anthonyl on May 25, 2014, 09:57:26 PM
Thoughts on 3/1 for there to be 165 or over in goals?
Would be a fun one to sweat!
146 has been the average since 1990. The last 3 World cups having played 64 games is 156. The trend is getting lower though...171, 161, 147, 145.
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DropTheHammer
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #71 on:
May 26, 2014, 11:09:38 AM »
Quote from: millidonk on May 26, 2014, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: mulhuzz on May 26, 2014, 06:49:54 AM
What price would you want on Messi not to score for it to be attractive?
Fair to say he scores about one in two on average for Argentina and you'd expect him to take pens...
30/1+ off the top of my head. Is it priced up anywhere?
It's in Paddy's specials and 14/1
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millidonk
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #72 on:
May 26, 2014, 12:11:01 PM »
Quote from: DropTheHammer on May 26, 2014, 11:09:38 AM
Quote from: millidonk on May 26, 2014, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: mulhuzz on May 26, 2014, 06:49:54 AM
What price would you want on Messi not to score for it to be attractive?
Fair to say he scores about one in two on average for Argentina and you'd expect him to take pens...
30/1+ off the top of my head. Is it priced up anywhere?
It's in Paddy's specials and 14/1
meh, wouldn't be getting too excited about that. My theory was say he is probs about evens to score and plays x 5 matches minimum.
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DropTheHammer
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #73 on:
May 26, 2014, 01:03:47 PM »
Quote from: Waz1892 on May 26, 2014, 11:09:21 AM
Quote from: anthonyl on May 25, 2014, 09:57:26 PM
Thoughts on 3/1 for there to be 165 or over in goals?
Would be a fun one to sweat!
146 has been the average since 1990. The last 3 World cups having played 64 games is 156. The trend is getting lower though...171, 161, 147, 145.
I did the predictor where you put in every result and got 119 goals, so have bet under 155 tournament goals with Bet365 at 13/10.
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pokerfan
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Re: 2014 World Cup Betting / Discussion thread
«
Reply #74 on:
May 26, 2014, 01:15:50 PM »
Quote from: superwomble on May 26, 2014, 10:24:24 AM
Quote from: DropTheHammer on May 26, 2014, 10:11:03 AM
Quote from: pokerfan on May 26, 2014, 12:18:58 AM
Greece no group goals 37-1 .
Who did you bet this with, I can only see SkyBet offering 0 Group goals at 11s?
This was Ladjokes I think.
Yeah, was via the oddschecker link posted earlier.
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