Tips for Tikay

[Karabiner]

This is without doubt the strongest Poshies squad ever assembled, and we're still being massively under-rated by dem bookies.

As long as Santos, Forrester, Oztumer, Anderson, Taylor, Washington and Angol are still there after the January window, and we can keep hold of Elder (on loan or permanently) this team is nailed on for a top six spot.

The soft November schedule continues this week with Barnsley at home and Scunny away. Two more wins would put us in a deece spot to do some trading.

Just gone in again EW @50/1 to win the league.

[Tal]

San Francisco +13.5 generally available now.

It's moved 3.5 points since it opened and we now have a massive amount of wiggle room considering Seattle aren't scoring highly every week. Kaepernick is out for the season, Gabbert is a step down but is at least a quarterback whose skills actually fit the system the 49ers seem dead set on employing. He'll get plenty of hurries from the two outstanding defensive ends of Seattle but he's their starting QB now and the team knows that.

San Francisco a year ago were arguably better than this Seattle team. Lynch isn't fit and the secondary is all over the place. There's no cohesion and it looks like the boys in green and blue are panicking half the time. Divisional game at the place that used to be a fortress. Seattle have a Wizard of Oz feel to them this season, The Niners have just remembered what winning feels like and, while they won't win this one, it doesn't smack of a blowout.

Interested in views but this is an awful lot of points to start with.

£33 if we can. Open to more if there's a weight of opinion.

[fatcatstu]

Jets v Texans

Chris Ivory has reportedly been carrying a few knocks of late, but last week still managed to put up an impressive 99 yards in 18 carries. He has now had 10 days off to rest and hasnt appeared on any injury reports this week, so we can assume that he is as fit as he has been for a long while.

He comes up against a Houston Texans defence that is very hit and miss at the minute, although they did manage to keep tabs on Gio Bernard last week, Ivory is a different beast.

Ladbrokes have set the line at 75.5 yards, which I would expect to see Ivory sail past quite comfortably, against a defence which gives up 110 rushing yards a game.

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-jets-at-houston-texans/total-rushing-yds-chris-ivory

Recommend £30 at 17/20 on Chris Ivory OVER 75.5 rushing yards at Ladbrokes

[fatcatstu]

San Francisco +13.5 generally available now.

It's moved 3.5 points since it opened and we now have a massive amount of wiggle room considering Seattle aren't scoring highly every week. Kaepernick is out for the season, Gabbert is a step down but is at least a quarterback whose skills actually fit the system the 49ers seem dead set on employing. He'll get plenty of hurries from the two outstanding defensive ends of Seattle but he's their starting QB now and the team knows that.

San Francisco a year ago were arguably better than this Seattle team. Lynch isn't fit and the secondary is all over the place. There's no cohesion and it looks like the boys in green and blue are panicking half the time. Divisional game at the place that used to be a fortress. Seattle have a Wizard of Oz feel to them this season, The Niners have just remembered what winning feels like and, while they won't win this one, it doesn't smack of a blowout.

Interested in views but this is an awful lot of points to start with.

£33 if we can. Open to more if there's a weight of opinion.

There is no way Seattle are beating ANYONE by 13.5 or more this season. Love this bet!

Also, is there any specific reason for £33, or do you pick odd numbers to trigger my OCD? Just wondering 

[TightEnd]

month to date we are -£800, the worst month for some time including three losers at 1/2 or shorter

the consequence of that is account balances are very low almost everywhere and i don't really want to ask for them to be refreshed. not really the object of the exercise

so when i am placing bets at the moment please bear in mind that i am going where i can getting prices i can until we find a few winners

right

San Francisco 49ers +13.5 San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks Point Spread
20/23
Total Stake: £33.00
Potential Returns: £61.71

restricted, even at the lower price ladbrokes offer these days

Over New York Jets at Houston Texans Total Rushing Yds - Chris Ivory
11/13
Total Stake: £11.76
Potential Returns: £21.76
 

[Tal]

San Francisco +13.5 generally available now.

It's moved 3.5 points since it opened and we now have a massive amount of wiggle room considering Seattle aren't scoring highly every week. Kaepernick is out for the season, Gabbert is a step down but is at least a quarterback whose skills actually fit the system the 49ers seem dead set on employing. He'll get plenty of hurries from the two outstanding defensive ends of Seattle but he's their starting QB now and the team knows that.

San Francisco a year ago were arguably better than this Seattle team. Lynch isn't fit and the secondary is all over the place. There's no cohesion and it looks like the boys in green and blue are panicking half the time. Divisional game at the place that used to be a fortress. Seattle have a Wizard of Oz feel to them this season, The Niners have just remembered what winning feels like and, while they won't win this one, it doesn't smack of a blowout.

Interested in views but this is an awful lot of points to start with.

£33 if we can. Open to more if there's a weight of opinion.

There is no way Seattle are beating ANYONE by 13.5 or more this season. Love this bet!

Also, is there any specific reason for £33, or do you pick odd numbers to trigger my OCD? Just wondering  

It's 10/11, so multiples of eleven gives us a nice round profit.

[fatcatstu]

Tampa Bay v Eagles

Mike evans has exploded in recent weeks, racking up 126, 15, 48 and 164 yards since their Bye in week 6.

He is their only recieving option at the minute, and appears to be fit, healthy and finding a rythm with Winston as of late.


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-at-philadelphia-eagles/total-receiving-yds-mike-evans

Ladbrokes have set his line at 90.5 recieving yards, which seems far too low for him at the minute, especially in a game where he is pretty much the only receiving weapon for the Bucs.

Recommend £30 at 17/20 on Evans OVER 90.5 yards.

EDIT... Sorry Tighty, just seen your post!

[TL900]

Tampa Bay v Eagles

Mike evans has exploded in recent weeks, racking up 126, 15, 48 and 164 yards since their Bye in week 6.

He is their only recieving option at the minute, and appears to be fit, healthy and finding a rythm with Winston as of late.


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-at-philadelphia-eagles/total-receiving-yds-mike-evans

Ladbrokes have set his line at 90.5 recieving yards, which seems far too low for him at the minute, especially in a game where he is pretty much the only receiving weapon for the Bucs.

Recommend £30 at 17/20 on Evans OVER 90.5 yards.

EDIT... Sorry Tighty, just seen your post!

exploded? averages out to 88 yards a game. Not saying he wont go over, but seems like a punt and not value to me

[Tal]

Evans has a bad case of the dropsies at present. If he were catching balls, 90 would look silly. I'd back anything over 84 so I had one drop in the bank but 90 is about the money for me.

The Eagles are terrible against WR1s though so you're always in play against them.This was the reason for backing Landry last week after all.

[fatcatstu]

Tampa Bay v Eagles

Mike evans has exploded in recent weeks, racking up 126, 15, 48 and 164 yards since their Bye in week 6.

He is their only recieving option at the minute, and appears to be fit, healthy and finding a rythm with Winston as of late.


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-at-philadelphia-eagles/total-receiving-yds-mike-evans

Ladbrokes have set his line at 90.5 recieving yards, which seems far too low for him at the minute, especially in a game where he is pretty much the only receiving weapon for the Bucs.

Recommend £30 at 17/20 on Evans OVER 90.5 yards.

EDIT... Sorry Tighty, just seen your post!

exploded? averages out to 88 yards a game. Not saying he wont go over, but seems like a punt and not value to me

Sorry, jsut looked at that, the 15 is meant to say 150!!!! So that would be 124 yards average

I agree, he is dropping a few, but when you are getting 13 targets a game you can afford to drop a few :p

[TightEnd]

Over Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles Total Receiving Yds - Mike Evans
11/13
Total Stake: £11.00
Potential Returns: £20.35


we can only get £11 on anyway

two weeks ago wasn't it, 6 drops (a ten year plus record for a receiver) and still got 150?

[Tal]

Tampa Bay v Eagles

Mike evans has exploded in recent weeks, racking up 126, 15, 48 and 164 yards since their Bye in week 6.

He is their only recieving option at the minute, and appears to be fit, healthy and finding a rythm with Winston as of late.


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-at-philadelphia-eagles/total-receiving-yds-mike-evans

Ladbrokes have set his line at 90.5 recieving yards, which seems far too low for him at the minute, especially in a game where he is pretty much the only receiving weapon for the Bucs.

Recommend £30 at 17/20 on Evans OVER 90.5 yards.

EDIT... Sorry Tighty, just seen your post!

exploded? averages out to 88 yards a game. Not saying he wont go over, but seems like a punt and not value to me

Sorry, jsut looked at that, the 15 is meant to say 150!!!! So that would be 124 yards average

I agree, he is dropping a few, but when you are getting 13 targets a game you can afford to drop a few :p

He's an above average WR1 against a team that leaks 100 yards to the average WR1. It's never a terrible bet. Just a big line to get. You need a lot of catches or a 60 yard play to feel confident. I would have liked the Tight End, Seferian-Jenkins, to be back today to enable Evans to spread the play but he's not going to play (despite being listed as questionable, the head coach has said ASJ won't suit up today).

[TightEnd]

Soldier field today

game temps in the 20F region, before wind chill



with Jeffrey missing, the Denver defense (stellar) and on the other side of the ball a natural conservatism with Osweiler at QB its quite tempting to go under is it not?

or is o/u 41 too low?

[Tal]

Yes I like the unders there.

[KarmaDope]

Soldier field today

game temps in the 20F region, before wind chill



with Jeffrey missing, the Denver defense (stellar) and on the other side of the ball a natural conservatism with Osweiler at QB its quite tempting to go under is it not?

or is o/u 41 too low?

If Forte is out as well, I would definitely play the unders here.