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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: AdamM on May 11, 2006, 12:45:28 AM



Title: painful coin flip
Post by: AdamM on May 11, 2006, 12:45:28 AM
not a bad beat cos it's only a coin flip and I don't think I could play it differently. just want to write it down somewhere.
23 players left in the comp.
Avge chips 34000.
blinds 1500/3000
passed round to the SB who limps.
my BB and I have 3000 in the blinds and 40k back
with  8c 8h I raise 5000
SB calls. he has me covered by about 3000
pot now 16000
flop  7d 8s Js
he bets 5000
I think he has either Ax spades or J,10 / Q,J
I move in fo 35000
he calls with  9s Ts
my eyes saw an up and down straight flush draw. the  7d didnt register so when it came  Tc Kc I thought I'd dodged a load of outs. when the dealer passed him the chips the straight dawned on me.

I suppose if I've possibly got him on 10,J I ought to consider 10,9 too but I don't think I can get away. when he calls my all in 7,7 seemed most likely till they went over.


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: Bongo on May 11, 2006, 12:58:43 AM
What about a bigger raise preflop?

A lot of hands will call another 5k, it is offering over 2:1.


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: jezza777 on May 11, 2006, 01:25:42 AM
cant get away on the flop at all.


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: bundle on May 11, 2006, 08:40:55 AM
Quote
my eyes saw an up and down straight flush draw.

Mine too.

I would have had him on the drawing hand there.

Nothing you can do other than raise it up more Pre.


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: AdamM on May 11, 2006, 11:16:58 AM
yeah, decided in bed after I posted. raise 10k preflop. once it's come though only way I dont loose the lot is if we both go into trap check mode. the 10 on the turn is a danger card and maybe I can stop betting.


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: Royal Flush on May 11, 2006, 05:22:55 PM
you didnt do anything wrong.


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: AdamM on May 11, 2006, 05:32:39 PM
blimey, saw on the front page you'd replied and instantly went  ;scarymoment;

you dont think the preflop raise was too small?


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: Royal Flush on May 11, 2006, 06:04:30 PM
I think it was perfect, you have position, you probably have the best hand, quite often he will call then check fold the flop. Thats the ideal scenario.


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: M3boy on May 11, 2006, 09:42:52 PM
 ;iagree;


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: AdamM on May 11, 2006, 09:57:55 PM
ok, thanks. bit disappointing cos I was playing a blinder up till then.


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: redsimon on May 13, 2006, 07:07:01 PM
pokenum  -h 8c 8h  - 9s ts  -- 7d 8s js
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Js 8s 7d
cards  win   %win  lose  %lose  tie  %tie     EV
8c 8h  288  29.09   693  70.00    9  0.91  0.295
Ts 9s  693  70.00   288  29.09    9  0.91  0.705

Coin flip?


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: AdamM on May 14, 2006, 01:11:39 PM
preflop simon. obviously Im in bad shape after the flop. even without the  7d Im behind to the up and down straight flush draw with two overs. pre flop it's a coinflip. when it goes in I'm drawing very slim. infact Im suprised to see Im 30%


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: redsimon on May 14, 2006, 01:18:51 PM
The money went in on the flop though :blonde:


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: AdamM on May 14, 2006, 05:46:13 PM
I know the money went in on the flop, after he'd hit the straight. His bet of 5000 turned out to be perfect to get me to move in. If I had AK he's have wasted his made straight. any over pair or set and he gets the lot.  I'm not saying it was a bad beat, or that he played badly. other than the size of my raise preflop I don't think I played badly. I'm way ahead of his most likely holdings. Obviously if I know he's flopped a straight I can pass a set easily. 
I don't know what point you're trying to make here Simon.


Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: The Baron on May 14, 2006, 10:41:45 PM
I kind of see Simon's point Adam. "Coin flip" is a little misleading as a heading as the pre flop odds on this hand have little to do with anything else that happened here. I was expecting an all in pre flop hand or 22 outs vs 22 blanks with one to come.

If I play a small set vs someone who overbets their big ace (as I just literally just have done) through all 5 streets it can hardly be called a coin flip when he sees that he loses at the end of 4 rounds of betting.

In terms of the hand I think you played it spot on.



Title: Re: painful coin flip
Post by: redsimon on May 15, 2006, 05:59:51 PM
I don't know what point you're trying to make here Simon.

Just that it wasn't a coinflip.

IMHO you played the hand correctly preflop and misreading a flop can be a real bugger. Ask Tikay :)

His flop bet stank of continuation and reeled you in.

Anyway its raining here