blonde poker forum

Poker Forums => The Rail => Topic started by: JoeStrummer on May 11, 2006, 08:23:06 AM



Title: Stats help
Post by: JoeStrummer on May 11, 2006, 08:23:06 AM
Ok,  a quick one..... And i should probably know this one anyway.

If holding AK in a ten handed table (or even AQ and AJ) what are the chances of running into AA?

The reason behind this question is that during playing yesterday I saw AK up against AA on six different occassions, which to me seems(?) very high.

Thanks in advance.


Title: Re: Stats help
Post by: AndrewT on May 11, 2006, 10:07:44 AM
The normal likelihood of someone getting dealt AA is 220/1.

However, you have one of the Aces, which means the chances of one of your opponents having Aces is reduced to 440/1 (now only 3 ways AA can be constructed instead of 6 before).

If you have nine opponents, then the chances of any one of them having Aces is 440/9, or about 49/1.

Of course, when you're holding AK, this chance drops to about even money...


Title: Re: Stats help
Post by: matt674 on May 11, 2006, 11:12:09 AM
The normal likelihood of someone getting dealt AA is 220/1.

However, you have one of the Aces, which means the chances of one of your opponents having Aces is reduced to 440/1 (now only 3 ways AA can be constructed instead of 6 before).

If you have nine opponents, then the chances of any one of them having Aces is 440/9, or about 49/1.

Of course, when you're holding AK, this chance drops to about even money...

Only online - but then the AK will beat the AA 48% of the time and 23% of the time both players split with the nut straight...........


Title: Re: Stats help
Post by: Nem on May 11, 2006, 11:13:32 AM
The normal likelihood of someone getting dealt AA is 220/1.

However, you have one of the Aces, which means the chances of one of your opponents having Aces is reduced to 440/1 (now only 3 ways AA can be constructed instead of 6 before).

If you have nine opponents, then the chances of any one of them having Aces is 440/9, or about 49/1.

Of course, when you're holding AK, this chance drops to about even money...

Only online - but then the AK will beat the AA 48% of the time and 23% of the time both players split with the nut straight...........

I thought they both split with a flush on the board. ;)