blonde poker forum

Poker Forums => The Rail => Topic started by: charmaine on June 12, 2006, 12:00:07 AM



Title: Happy Birthday Matt674 and not forgetting BigArmo !!!!!
Post by: charmaine on June 12, 2006, 12:00:07 AM
Have a bunch of bananas birthday Monkey  :) :)

 :birthday: ;letsparty; ;letsparty; :birthday:


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: TightEnd on June 12, 2006, 12:01:56 AM
this sets a new blonde birthday greeting record...7 seconds into Matt's birthday the Charmaine post comes!


Happy birthday Matt, and congratulations Charmaine


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: Sark79 on June 12, 2006, 12:03:13 AM
 :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: ;letsparty; ;letsparty; ;letsparty; ;letsparty; :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday:

Happy Birthday Matt


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: charmaine on June 12, 2006, 12:04:04 AM
lol , im not bored honest  ;) ;D


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: RFC on June 12, 2006, 12:05:08 AM
Have a good one

Birthday song for you to look up

King Kurt ... banana banana whey ohh

you will like it

 :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday:


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: matt674 on June 12, 2006, 01:00:08 AM
Ty very much all - i will be having a banana celebration later!! ;)

Also i'm not the only Blondeite to be celebrating a birthday today, believe it or not (and i didnt the first time he told me!! eek) but it is also BigArmo's birthday today. He's celebrating his birthday by going to Rome however so probably wont read this thread til he gets back - i'll stick to the bananas!! :)

 :birthday: :birthday: ;letsparty; HAPPY BIRTHDAY MATE!! ;letsparty; :birthday: :birthday:


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: Nem on June 12, 2006, 01:30:43 AM
Happy Birthday Matt and BA.


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: Robert HM on June 12, 2006, 01:36:53 AM
Happy Birthday to you both

Have a swinging time.


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: thetank on June 12, 2006, 01:54:18 AM
Don't be misbehaving too much without your non-monkey minder  ;tk;

But have a good time  :)up



Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: Sark79 on June 12, 2006, 01:59:11 AM
Happy birthday  BigArmo    :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday:


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: NoflopsHomer on June 12, 2006, 03:53:55 AM
 :birthday: :birthday: :birthday:

Matt and BigArmo


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: Newmanseye on June 12, 2006, 08:12:34 AM
 :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday: :birthday:

all the best guys


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: littlemissC on June 12, 2006, 09:56:15 AM
 ;letsparty; ;letsparty; ;letsparty;happy birthday ;letsparty; ;letsparty; ;letsparty;


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: Dewi_cool on June 12, 2006, 10:01:40 AM
Penblwydd hapus i matt a bigarmo, da iawn :)up :blonde:


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: TheJagster on June 12, 2006, 10:03:32 AM
Happy Birthday Matt!!

(How many years is that in Human years?????)

 :D

 ;letsparty;


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: TheJagster on June 12, 2006, 10:05:12 AM
Oh and just read....Happy Birthday BigArmo too.

 :birthday:


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: ruthless1 on June 12, 2006, 10:15:13 AM
Happy Birthday Guys :birthday: ;letsparty; :birthday: ;letsparty; :birthday:


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: Nakor on June 12, 2006, 10:37:14 AM
Wow my Omaha teacher and my Mtt teacher Birthdays on the same day.

Hope you both have great days - thanks for all the help.

 ;letsparty; ;letsparty; :respect: ;letsparty; :birthday: :birthday: :cheers: :cheers: :birthday: ;letsparty; ;letsparty; ;letsparty;


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: londonpokergirl on June 12, 2006, 10:49:57 AM
 :birthday: :birthday: :dd: ;letsparty; ;karabiner; :birthday: :birthday:

Happy birthday boys , have a great time
mel x


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: ACE2M on June 12, 2006, 10:50:11 AM
Happy birthday fellas.   ;letsparty; ;letsparty; ;letsparty; ;letsparty;

As for sharing the same birthday...

How many people need to be in a room for the probability that two of the people share a birthday to be more likely than not?



Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: matt674 on June 12, 2006, 10:55:21 AM
Thank you all, its just a pity i'm stuck in w**k (thats the swear word that rhymes with pork before anyone jumps to the wrong conclusion!!  :D) on yet another glorious day!! :(

How many people need to be in a room for the probability that two of the people share a birthday to be more likely than not?

548?


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: matt674 on June 12, 2006, 10:58:33 AM

(How many years is that in Human years?????)


I have just double checked on my profile to make sure and can confirm that it is 32 of your human years - and i notice that my profile now includes a little slice of cake with a candle on it next to my age :)up yum yum, banana cake!!


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: Graham C on June 12, 2006, 10:59:59 AM
Happy Birthday fellas, Hope you have a great day and don't w**k too hard :D


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: ACE2M on June 12, 2006, 11:01:03 AM
Thank you all, its just a pity i'm stuck in w**k (thats the swear word that rhymes with pork before anyone jumps to the wrong conclusion!!  :D) on yet another glorious day!! :(

How many people need to be in a room for the probability that two of the people share a birthday to be more likely than not?

548?

23


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: matt674 on June 12, 2006, 11:06:11 AM
Thank you all, its just a pity i'm stuck in w**k (thats the swear word that rhymes with pork before anyone jumps to the wrong conclusion!!  :D) on yet another glorious day!! :(

How many people need to be in a room for the probability that two of the people share a birthday to be more likely than not?

548?

23

Either my monkey mind has ceased to w**k properly as it now nears old age but with a possible combination of 365 (or 366) different dates how can the answer be as low as 23?

Or is this some kind of trick question?


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: whufc65 on June 12, 2006, 11:06:49 AM
Have a good one



[attachment deleted by admin]


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: redimp on June 12, 2006, 11:22:56 AM
 ;letsparty; :birthday: :birthday: ;letsparty;


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: ACE2M on June 12, 2006, 11:30:29 AM
Thank you all, its just a pity i'm stuck in w**k (thats the swear word that rhymes with pork before anyone jumps to the wrong conclusion!!  :D) on yet another glorious day!! :(

How many people need to be in a room for the probability that two of the people share a birthday to be more likely than not?

548?

23

Either my monkey mind has ceased to w**k properly as it now nears old age but with a possible combination of 365 (or 366) different dates how can the answer be as low as 23?

Or is this some kind of trick question?

no trick. with 23 people the probability of 2 of them sharing a birthday is 50.73%


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674
Post by: matt674 on June 12, 2006, 11:47:40 AM
Cheers whufc65, i still got over 5 hours of hard w**king to do and your already teasing me with naughty pictures!!  :D

no trick. with 23 people the probability of 2 of them sharing a birthday is 50.73%

How do you come to a percentage figure of 50.73%? 23 people and a possible 366 dates that still seems too high to me ???


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674 and not forgetting BigArmo !!!!!
Post by: charmaine on June 12, 2006, 11:51:17 AM
Happy birthday BigArmo , you sneaky person not adding it to the calender lol

Have a wonderful sunshine filled birthday


 :birthday: ;letsparty; :birthday:


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674 and not forgetting BigArmo !!!!!
Post by: ACE2M on June 12, 2006, 11:54:17 AM
Cheers whufc65, i still got over 5 hours of hard w**king to do and your already teasing me with naughty pictures!!  :D

no trick. with 23 people the probability of 2 of them sharing a birthday is 50.73%

How do you come to a percentage figure of 50.73%? 23 people and a possible 366 dates that still seems too high to me ???


Obviously not in my own words.........


To solve the birthday problem, we need to use one of the basic rules of probability: the sum of the probability that an event will happen and the probability that the event won't happen is always 1. (In other words, the chance that anything might or might not happen is always 100%.) If we can work out the probability that no two people will have the same birthday, we can use this rule to find the probability that two people will share a birthday:

P(event happens) + P(event doesn't happen) = 1
P(two people share birthday) + P(no two people share birthday) = 1
P(two people share birthday) = 1 - P(no two people share birthday).
So, what is the probability that no two people will share a birthday?

Again, the first person can have any birthday. The second person's birthday has to be different. There are 364 different days to choose from, so the chance that two people have different birthdays is 364/365. That leaves 363 birthdays out of 365 open for the third person.

To find the probability that both the second person and the third person will have different birthdays, we have to multiply:

      (365/365) * (364/365) * (363/365) = 132 132/133 225,
      which is about 99.18%.

If we want to know the probability that four people will all have different birthdays, we multiply again:

      (364/365) * (363/365) * (362/365) = 47 831 784/ 48 627 125,
      or about 98.36%.

We can keep on going the same way as long as we want. A formula for the probability that n people have different birthdays is

((365-1)/365) * ((365-2)/365) * ((365-3)/365) * . . . * ((365-n+1)/365).
     If you know permutation notation, you can write this formula as

(365_P_n)/(365^n).
     That's the same as

365! / ((365-n)! * 365^n).


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


We've made some progress, but we still haven't answered the original question: how large must a class be to make the probability of finding two people with the same birthday at least 50%?

We know that the probability of finding at least two people with the same birthday is 1 minus the probability that everybody has a different birthday, and we know how to find the probability that everybody has a different birthday for any number of people. The easiest way to find the right class size is to use a calculator to try different numbers in the formula. It turns out that the smallest class where the chance of finding two people with the same birthday is more than 50% is... a class of 23 people. (The probability is about 50.73%.)


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674 and not forgetting BigArmo !!!!!
Post by: Tonji on June 12, 2006, 12:05:59 PM
Happy Birthday Matt....Fyffes Vouchers any good!!!!


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674 and not forgetting BigArmo !!!!!
Post by: matt674 on June 12, 2006, 01:11:56 PM
Now my task tomorrow is to visit a random selection of 10 schools with classes of greater than 23 children just so i can test your theory!!  :D

Happy Birthday Matt....Fyffes Vouchers any good!!!!

Do one legged ducks swim in circles? Is the Pope catholic? do bears........ etc etc :)up


Title: Re: Happy Birthday Matt674 and not forgetting BigArmo !!!!!
Post by: snoopy1239 on June 12, 2006, 01:20:44 PM
 :birthday: :birthday: