Title: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Rod Paradise on June 13, 2006, 04:02:29 PM During the last Euro Championships I got talking to a guy who claimed that the bookies offered too high odds on 1 team leading at half-time only to be the losers at full time in big championships.
He reckoned it happened between 1 game in 6 & 1 in 7. The lowest odds at the bookies is 20-1. So, I thought I'd try it & so far, after 12 games there have been 2 revrsals - one at 22-1 & 1 at 24-1 (Paddy Power) - so having put £1 on each scenario for the first 14 games (£28) I'm in profit by £20 with 2 more games tonight. Obviously it's a small sample but it's also the early games - as the tournament goes on and team HAVE to win, the chances of a reversal should get better. I'll keep it going & see what it results in..... Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Rod Paradise on June 13, 2006, 04:09:28 PM Correction - when putting on tomorrows bets - the odds of Poland 1/2 time Germany full time are only 18-1 - but still the odds are better than they should be (if the 1 in 6/7 is correct).
Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: matt674 on June 13, 2006, 04:10:48 PM More often than not the reversal is a rare occurance, especially in the early stages of the tournament, hence the longer odds - but for some reason so far this year there havent been any completely "one-sided" encounters which i think a lot of the bookmakers were expecting.
Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: dan on June 13, 2006, 07:20:28 PM would you not have to put 2 bets on each game though.
team a h/t team b f/t and team b h/t team b f/t Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Rod Paradise on June 14, 2006, 11:21:59 AM would you not have to put 2 bets on each game though. team a h/t team b f/t and team b h/t team b f/t Yep, that's what I'm putting on. Anything better than 1 in 10, ie 1 bet in 20 and I'll have made my money back. If the reversals are from smaller teams overcoming big teams - more profit. Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Scottish Dave on June 14, 2006, 04:30:54 PM Thanks for telling us after the first 14 games lol - is that so youll make more than everyone else ;goodvevil;
Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Rod Paradise on June 14, 2006, 04:31:36 PM Wasn't 100% sure - and the first 2 days had none :D
Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Graham C on June 14, 2006, 04:43:23 PM Half time/ full time reversal bets are always nice if they come in. I didn't realise they came in as often as 1 in 6 or 7 though
I heard that if you backed a draw in every game you'd be up overall too but I haven't tried it and don't want to risk it either :D Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Rod Paradise on June 14, 2006, 05:28:34 PM Half time/ full time reversal bets are always nice if they come in. I didn't realise they came in as often as 1 in 6 or 7 though I heard that if you backed a draw in every game you'd be up overall too but I haven't tried it and don't want to risk it either :D I wouldn't know if you'd get that ratio normally - I think it's the big comps, where the win's more important than in a normal league game for instance. I may just try and keep records during the next Champion's League though.... Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Scottish Dave on June 14, 2006, 06:40:12 PM And another one!!!!!
Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: thetank on June 14, 2006, 06:41:56 PM Jam bam thankyou mam.
Bad day for Africa (again) good day for Rod. Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: thetank on June 14, 2006, 06:49:52 PM Sorry for the bokking ::)
Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Scottish Dave on June 14, 2006, 07:06:41 PM Sorry for the bokking ::) lolololol ul roddersTitle: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: Rod Paradise on June 15, 2006, 10:50:21 AM Cheers Dave & Tank...... >:(
A mate in the pub was cheering because it got him 10 points in his work sweep, then he realised it had cost me £23 - so he cheered more :D - I had that one counted as well...... Title: Re: Game Reversal bet..... Post by: patman on June 20, 2006, 05:21:26 PM hows the bet rod...spain did good for you...and poland so far as well.
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