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Title: Would you stick or twist here ? Post by: Karabiner on July 15, 2006, 07:54:34 PM I've backed Thomas Bjorn in the Sccottish Open @ 38 on Betfair.
He is currently tied for the lead with Darren Clarke two shots clear going into the last round. I saved my stake (and made a marginal[£5]profit @ 8. So at present if Bjorn wins I would win about £350, but I could lay him @ just below 3. I fancy Bjorn to win but he's playing the final round tomorrow with one of his best mates who's wife is very poorly. I feel that this could possibly make him take it easy. What would you guys do ? Title: Re: Would you stick or twist here ? Post by: brad.strider on July 15, 2006, 09:50:18 PM bjorn and clarke have had a few last round nightmares in the last couple of years, bit of a coinflip, but id stick
Title: Re: Would you stick or twist here ? Post by: johnlarsson on July 15, 2006, 11:54:36 PM lay lay lay
Title: Re: Would you stick or twist here ? Post by: TightEnd on July 16, 2006, 12:15:38 AM I would lay
I would also doubt Clarke in the heat of the battle for understandable and sad reasons I like the look of Tim Clark 3 shots back, last years winner, at around 15 on betfair. That's the value I think for you in case Bjorn falters In effect you can get a partial hedge there Title: Re: Would you stick or twist here ? Post by: Karabiner on July 16, 2006, 12:48:17 PM I've ended up compromising by laying £150/£75 Bjorn.
If Bjorn wins I win just under £200, if anyone else wins I get £80. Winning score ? I reckon -14 should do it. Title: Re: Would you stick or twist here ? Post by: TightEnd on July 16, 2006, 07:04:02 PM A 125-1 chance shot a 63 to win it at 13 under
I knew it was a lay, but wouldn't have picked Edfors if you'd given me ten picks! Nice compromise/lay sir! Title: Re: Would you stick or twist here ? Post by: scottm on July 16, 2006, 10:48:47 PM Edfors deserved his win - lucky enough to follow him for a couple of holes towards the end of his round and he was playing beautifully.
Great weather too, and would've loved a tenner on his 125/1 at the beginning of the day !!! :o Title: Re: Would you stick or twist here ? Post by: bobby1 on July 17, 2006, 02:59:39 AM In the states if you are young and can hit the ball 350 yards and wear colourful shirts you are a seen as a star even if you can barely play the game. What kind of coverage would a guy that has played 11 tour events in his career and won 3 of them get?
That has to be one of the best rounds of golf for a long time. |