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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: Junior Senior on August 22, 2006, 10:43:36 AM



Title: Anyone folding here?
Post by: Junior Senior on August 22, 2006, 10:43:36 AM
Playing the £30 re-buy super sat last night at Notts for a seat in the BH £500 comp.  8 seats to play for and there is approx 36 players left.  Average chips is about 9,000 and the blinds are 200-400.  I have about 12k in chips and am 2nd chip leader on my table but there are some huge stack elsewhere in the room.

UTG, i look down and see  Ad Ahrt.  This has been a fairly lively table with frequent raises and for some reason there have been some huge overbets by 3 people at the table with hands like 10-10, J-J and Q-Q, AK, so my plan is to limp and hope someone presents me with huge value by over-raising, whilst knocking out the other players.  I can also re-raise or trap here as long as someone raises.  I am also aware that i have only shown premium hands so far and have hardly raised at all pre-flop, especially from early position so a raise here is going to surely give away my hand.  To my annoyance we get 4 limpers and no-one raises so in my mind i am already preparing myself for a fold post flop here, which with my stack i am ok with.

The flop comes  Aspades 2h 3d

Top set!... I like this flop and after the blinds both check, i bet out 1000 into a 2,200 pot, this looks fishy on reflection but i wanted someone to reraise me with two pairs or a draw.  I get one caller (a solid(ish) player but he has a penchant for huge over bets pre-flop and loves his raggy aces), so the pot is now 4,200. 

The turn is   Qs

I bet out 2000 and the caller, who is the only guy at the table who has me covered pushes all-in.  I have 8,200 in chips left so plenty to play with at this current level but with the blinds approaching me and about to go up and with just a 20 minute clock i haven't got that much breathing space.  I am only losing to one hand (4-5) and there are several hands he could have that i am beating (A2, A3, 22, 33, flush draw, straight draw).  I don't put him on QQ as he will almost certainly have raised pre-flop or pushed his entire stack in as he did this about 30 minutes earlier.  He could have AQ but i am certain he raises pre-flop with that too.  So we have 4 made hands that i am beating, a whole lorry load of draws i am beating and two made hands that i am beating but i don't think he could have.

What should i do?, call or fold?


Title: Re: Anyone folding here?
Post by: TightEnd on August 22, 2006, 10:58:12 AM
100% call.

How can you not?

if he's got 4-5 then good luck to him, if not (and so many of his hands you are beating ) you more or less lock up your seat for the bigger event

Even if he has 4-5 you can redraw to a house

I expect he has got 4-5 and that's why you are posting!






Title: Re: Anyone folding here?
Post by: Graham C on August 22, 2006, 10:58:52 AM
Call, but he has KJ possible both spades too and he hits on the river.


Title: Re: Anyone folding here?
Post by: totalise on August 22, 2006, 11:09:45 AM
call

50p



Title: Re: Anyone folding here?
Post by: M3boy on August 22, 2006, 11:15:28 AM
100% call

And you say a lively table?

I would of made a preflop raise (say 3xbb) for two reasons :

1) Lively table probably get a caller, or maybe even a re raise steal type bet

2) Everyone folds and I pick up the blinds - show the Aces to re-iterate my already tight image, then I can play loose and steal plenty of pots.


Title: Re: Anyone folding here?
Post by: booder on August 22, 2006, 11:18:46 AM
call...as tighty says , if he has 4 5 then good luck to him......................btw  not many places left , get your name down for BB3


Title: Re: Anyone folding here?
Post by: GlasgowBandit on August 22, 2006, 11:37:45 AM
get them in!

I agree with everything Tighty says!!


Title: Re: Anyone folding here?
Post by: Junior Senior on August 22, 2006, 02:00:19 PM
thanks chaps.
yes, he had 4-5 and i didn't re-draw. - just wanted to get opinions on this.

I didn't raise preflop as there were about 3 players on the table who were raising when there were a couple of limpers in so i was setting a trap really. I honestly think if i raise pre-flop i just win the blinds, and i don't want to do that. - risk v reward and all that :-)

thanks