Title: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: Newmanseye on November 25, 2006, 07:48:40 PM What are the odds on being dealt aces consecutively one hand after another?
Just curious as it just happened to me the first 2 hands of a comp. Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: roverthtaeh on November 25, 2006, 07:52:44 PM Just under 50,000 to 1.
Odds of having them cracked, about evens. :D Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: Newmanseye on November 25, 2006, 07:53:45 PM Just under 50,000 to 1. Odds of having them cracked, about evens. :D Best part was I never got any action at all!!!! Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: M3boy on November 25, 2006, 07:55:21 PM I do remember a tourney on Tribecca , the 7.5k ($15k as it is now) about 3yrs ago when I was dealt AA 5 times in 7 hands.
I did try and work out the odds, but my 39 digit calculator couldnt cope with it! lol James will remember that one. Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: thetank on November 25, 2006, 07:58:03 PM The probablility of specific consecutive events occuring will be the probality of the first one multiplied by the probability of the second one.
If you know the fractional odds (220 to 1 in this case) then you can mulitiply..... 220 to 1 x 220 to 1 thus 220 x 220 (48,400) 1 x 1 (1) So 48,400 to 1 Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: Newmanseye on November 25, 2006, 08:01:00 PM Ahh Tanky, I knew you would be the man to give me the answers as well as the means to work it out for myself next time.
;tightend; ;tightend; :)up Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: AceofWands on November 25, 2006, 08:08:24 PM That is only the odds of being dealt aces on on two pre-specified hands. If the first occurance is allowed to happen anytime and is then followed by the two aces again it is only 1/220
Ac Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: thetank on November 25, 2006, 08:10:52 PM and if both hands have already been dealt, the odds are nothing.
Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: matt674 on November 25, 2006, 08:37:08 PM The probablility of specific consecutive events occuring will be the probality of the first one multiplied by the probability of the second one. If you know the fractional odds (220 to 1 in this case) then you can mulitiply..... 220 to 1 x 220 to 1 thus 220 x 220 (48,400) 1 x 1 (1) So 48,400 to 1 Ok Mr smart ar$e mathematician - what are the odds that the AA held up both times online? ;whistle; Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: thetank on November 25, 2006, 08:44:41 PM 2 x (365 - number of days since your last cash out) to 1.
Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: TightEnd on November 25, 2006, 08:47:24 PM In a self deal satellite on thursday I dealt AA to the player immediately to my left 4 times in 5 hands
he won one hand, split another with AA elsewhere and lost two. The four hands cost him two rebuys. Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: matt674 on November 25, 2006, 08:47:40 PM blimey - your kinda screwed if you've never cashed out in the last year!! :D
Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: Karabiner on November 26, 2006, 11:28:04 AM I remember getting dealt back to back AA in the first two hands of a £10 rebuy in Derby about ten years ago.
They were both cracked and I got dealt 88 in the next hand which also cost a rebuy. I guess the odds are 221x221=48,840/1 Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: Canuck on November 26, 2006, 11:39:00 AM I was once dealt J5 and then K6 on consecutive hands
seriously, it happened Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: thetank on November 26, 2006, 11:39:39 AM I was once dealt J5 and then K6 on consecutive hands seriously, it happened :D Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: FlyingPig on November 26, 2006, 06:07:51 PM Would the Quantum Physics variant come into this.
Where by each event is its own specific event and the odds are exactly the same as the time before, because you have the odds for being dealt a specific pair Aces in this case 220-1 then the next hand after all cards are back in the deck shuffled and we are on a new event in the space time continuim. Just a thought, as I know it has some consequence of it. Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: giftedhands on November 26, 2006, 09:16:38 PM 50/50. Either you do or you don't! :p
Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: mex on November 26, 2006, 10:34:30 PM Dealt aces 5 times from 7......learn to shuffle then.
Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: Acidmouse on November 26, 2006, 10:36:12 PM Strange last comp online i as busted out by this. First hand he took most my chips with AA, after that i thought he was on steal and had them again. This was friday on laddys :(
Title: Re: Does anyone know the odds? Post by: roverthtaeh on November 26, 2006, 10:38:17 PM On Ladbrokes the odds are a lot shorter.
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