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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: Table Manners on February 26, 2007, 09:55:09 PM



Title: 100k on mansion
Post by: Table Manners on February 26, 2007, 09:55:09 PM
right. 100k guaranteed on mansion. avg. stack 4k (starting stack 2.5k) i'm on 4.1k. Blinds at 100/200

i'm on the cutoff.

i've got Kd Qc

mid position (on about 6-7k) min raises

I call (oppinions on this?)

BB calls.

Flop: As Qs 4s

BB checks, as does initial raiser.

I check along (I think this was an error)

turn brings 8d

BB bets 800 (into a 1300 pot)

Your move?






Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: Royal Flush on February 26, 2007, 10:09:10 PM
Pass......


Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: Table Manners on February 27, 2007, 01:28:08 AM
Pass......
why? what's he got?


Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: Royal Flush on February 27, 2007, 01:29:44 AM

A huge range of hands, a lot of which beat you.


Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: AlexMartin on February 27, 2007, 02:31:10 AM

agreed.


Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: Table Manners on February 27, 2007, 07:25:31 PM
I honestly thought I's ahead here, I thought I had it all worked out.
I should have mentioned in the post that i'd just seen this guy get half his chips in pre flop with ace rag in early position, cos that had a bearing on my play.

I thought he'd have bet an ace on the flop unless he had a hi spade with it. since he didn't reraise pre flop I ruled that out. I also figured he'd have bet a low flush, since he wouldn't want to get out drawn. So i thought he prob didn't have that.  Similarly I thought he'd bet a flopped 2 pair or set. The only thing I thought I's losing to was a flopped hi(ish) flush or a two pair hit on the turn.

All this over analasys, combined with his erratic image led me to push my chips in, honestly believing I's ahead.

He'd taken a risk on the flop and checked a low flush, so that sent me packing.


Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: temp0r on February 28, 2007, 12:34:25 AM
why call a min raise with such a dangerous hand at such a key point in the tournament? costs nothing to fold. but once you're there.. well. no. it's still a pass. thats not the board you want with that hand. the only time you're beating the BB is if he's testing the water or semi-bluffing. did the min-raiser fold btw? you dont state..


Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: Table Manners on February 28, 2007, 01:07:16 AM
why call a min raise with such a dangerous hand at such a key point in the tournament? costs nothing to fold. but once you're there.. well. no. it's still a pass. thats not the board you want with that hand. the only time you're beating the BB is if he's testing the water or semi-bluffing. did the min-raiser fold btw? you dont state..

yeah, min-raiser folded. I take your point pre-flop. I almost folded it, but decided to see a flop.
As for the flop, I just really thought I had this one worked out, but obviously didn't.


Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: Rookie (Rodney) on February 28, 2007, 01:15:44 AM
Instafold. i think he checked a made flush on that flop.


Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: AlexMartin on February 28, 2007, 06:52:44 AM
Instafold. i think he checked a made flush on that flop.

Ur not solidifying on me are you?


Title: Re: 100k on mansion
Post by: LeKnave on February 28, 2007, 11:32:17 AM
InstaPass......

Its going to risk too much of your stack to:

a) call him down (+what if u flat call + a spade rivers)
b) r/r him on the turn (what if he calls/pushes)