blonde poker forum

There are a couple that I like today, although I've not been in great form this year:

Katchit in The Triumph Hurdle, I know it's not a race for the pro' to bet in but I love this horse's attitude and I'm on for modest stakes @ 7.8 on Betfair.

I could not not resist the 2/1 that I snaffled on betfair a couple of days ago for Kauto Star in the Gold Cup, also to modest stakes.

Big each-way bet on L'ami in the Gold Cup but only minor bets in the other races.

Probably post some selections tomorrow.

i think ive bet it every year its ran in the gold cup, everytime its talked the talk and failed to walk the walk. but the odds are pretty huge this year so like a fish im backing it again, any guesses?

Well i've had an awful Cheltenham so far
Detroit City, Monets Garden to name a few.
So,  if Kauto Star comes in, its only a small loss overall, if it loses then i've done my load!

laying off kauto n backing L'ami

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!

It cant jump the Cheltnham fences!!!!!!!!!

L'ami?

Wait til you see Kauto Star trying to jump them.

 :goodpost: I feel Exotic!

Wouldt say no to a State of Play Win coz had £4 on it on betfair back when it was 80-1 some many moons ago.

I've laid the favourites all week.

But I'm going the other way today.

Lounaos has shown form miles in front of anything she faces today. Plus she gets the fillies allowance. Stand out bet at 4/1 for me.

Wichita Lineman looks a rock solid 6/4 shot. Already the best horse in the race, he seems sure to improve at this trip. Although a theiving each way bet on Flight Leader seems a good alternative too.

My Hunter Chase man assures me Whyso Mayo is completely different class in the foxhunters and 11/4 is a great price.

In the county hurdle I have heard a strong whisper for Ameeq. I will also back Carracciola and Tarlac.

That's about it.

Oh, I nearly forgot. I've had £4000 on Kauto Star at 7/4, It's my biggest ever bet on a horse. I might trade out a little bit if he goes ridiculously short. But, I'll be more than happy to keep the whole lot. I can't ever remember being this confident about a horse winning a race as this. The more I look at the opposition the more I see a bunch of handicappers.  Kauto is going to end his career as one of the best horses we've ever seen. I think it's going to be a long time until we get the opportunity to back him at this sort of price again.

my Yankee   

2 :00
Katchit   Last run in prep for this race was awsome.  Showed a great turn of foot and i can see Alan King/ Robert  Thorton combo grap another big race at the festival.  The ground will be perfect.

3:15
Kauto Star  i also have a large sum on this class act. I jumped on the bandwagen that said it will fall but studied the form guide and change my mind. Only fell twice in career and is actually a good jumper,  only for losing concentration at times.   It also beat Exotic Dancer by  8L at Kempton.


4:00
WhysoMayo  Destroying all opositation in Ireland and i believe won this last year.

5:20
Osanu  -  Always been a folllower of this determined game horse.   

Ive been against Kauto Star all season.For me the size of the field is key,ALL of his wins have been in small fields when he has a chance to get a good view of the fences.
Also i cant have a Gold Cup winner with no Cheltenham form.
I know Kauto beat Exotic Dancer by 8 lengths at Kempton but i dont think its unreasonable to argue that Exotic Dancer is at least 8 lenghts a better horse at Cheltenham than anywhere else.
Im also keen on Degas Art.

Me too mate, lost every bet bar one so far.  Wouldn't mind so much if I'd picked 3 legged horses but they've all been supposedly ok!

Anyway,

2.00 Punjabi - had a tip for this one, not sure how reliable it is but as I've nothing to lose, I'll go with it
2.35 Flight Leader to win, Black Harry to place.
3.15 Kauto Star - if nothing else, by backing it, I've helped you layers :D  Besides a favourite has to win one soon.....doesn't it?

That's it.  Thankfully my BF account is empty again and should these lose, that's it staying that way for a while.

not a lot i fancy today.


4.40   Andreas



and a small ew gamble on

2.35    Skippers Brig
4.10    Moonoki



just had a word for a Clement Freud horse at Fakenham today....off to investigate

I've backed L'ami for the gold cup already and lately have gotten a strong fancy for State of Play.

I just can't see Kauto winning this and the feeling I have is almost as strong as I was about Kicking King winning the thing and Ouaji board winning the Oaks. I just can't see it happen, sure he's BY FAR the best horse in the race but the best horse doesn't always win and at the current odds I have laid him off.

the Girlfriend wanted a forecast in the race. State of Play and Exotic Dancer (who she's been backing all year with plenty success) in a reverse FC.

I have also done the FC today but with Exotic Dancer, L'ami and State of play on first and those + Monkerhostin and My will on second. If Kauto doesn't get round I would be dissapointed if I didn't get that right.

It'll be a great days racing..I thought about laying Wichita Lineman but don't know really..so only laid him off for a 120£ liability at 6-4.

that's all the betting for me today I just hope the horsie Gods are with me and that KLauto doesn't win the gold cup..if that happens I will have had a very successfull Cheltenham (up £290 at the moment)

To be fair, although the race actually starts at 4, 4.10 is probably about the time Moonoki will pass the finishing line. Is 380-1 on Betfair! lol

Great call on Idole First yesterday though.

Im up £310 at the moment. Had less winners than usual though. Just the couple i have found have been big prices.

Paddy Power have impressed me today. Credited my account with a free £10 bet for no reason and theyre offering a fantastic (imo) money back special on all 6 races where if your horse comes 2nd to the favourite then you get your money back.

So ive obv gone large on Exotic Dancer for the Gold Cup. Struggling to see how itll be beaten by anything other than Kauto (so i cant lose?  ;carlocitrone; ;angel;)

I have £3 (woweee,lol) on State of Play from October. But the price is 46-1! so ill be happy if that comes home also.


Other fancies:

2.00 Degas Art

3.15 Exotic Dancer/Monkerhostin EW at an interesting price

4.00 Christy Beamish @25-1 EW (i quite fancy this one, make sure you get it with a firm that are paying 4 places though) / First Down Jets EW

4.40 Demi Beau / Ursis (20-1 antepost) EW

5.20 Arcalis EW (ground changing to favour him, stable coming back into form) / Pedrobob EW (antepost 16-1)

Gotta be Beef or Salmon!

Would love this to win even tho id lose my money.

Reaction would be superb and the horse deserves it so much.

Wont happen tho. I wont be backing it.

I have been told to back Degas Art in the 1st for Win and the place

From a current jump jockeys brother so should be good info

Oi oi  ;bumwiggle; ;yippee; ;yippee; ;bumwiggle;

 ;letsparty; ;mexicanwave; ;letsparty;

havent had a bet at the festival until today because i havent been able to watch it.

backed every race today and just had katchit in the 1st took 11/2 havent seen what price it went off at so dont know if it was the right thing to do.

Also backed : 235 - black harry win
                   315 - Kauto star  win
                   400 - Ned kelly   e/w
                   440 - Andreas    e/w
                   520 - lord henry e/w


edit; apperas it went off at 11/2 so ignore that bit
good luck all

Black Harry sums my Cheltenham up.   First horse I was going to get a return with and it falls at the last.

Thankfully, I managed to lay off to get my stake back at 1.03!

I'm starting to waiver.... Kauto is trading at less than 2.5 on betfair now. I can close out and have a risk free grand if the wonder horse wins. Must admit it's pretty damn tempting.

Let it ride Keith, you must be running hot with a decent bet on wichita .... Go for it !!

I've backed it pretty heavily, so you should defo lay.

They forced my hand, I've laid half my bet back at 2.3.

Still think he's a certainty, but you never go skint taking a profit!

it's the smart thing to do Keith..We all know he's the best horse in the race..if he stands and stays he'll piss it but I wouldn't risk a grand on it.

I've laid him off pretty heavily..it will make or break my cheltenham..120£ down on the day because I laid of wichita...but Kauto is my main lay. (L'ami placing more then covers it though )

is the thinker overpriced at 14/1 ?? must have solid ew chances and on a running day is capable of taking advantage of some luck (like Kauto falling)

If you can get 14/1 on The Thinker for the Gold Cup that it won about twenty years ago for WA Stevenson, take it.


It would seem not quite soft enough for The Listener though ;)

LOL yes the Listener was the one i meant ... had an eah way punt on it.

wow beef or salmon making the running?...unexpected

loose horse is gonna cause carnage.

well that was easy...never in doubt. bye bye spoondoolies. what a horse!

LEGEND ... that Animal is just awsome.

indeed..I think he's the best I've ever seen.

would love to have seen the long run in without that loose horse (purely from a sporting perspective, cos I had the winner)...thought that mccoy would have come back at him a bit more

 rotflmfao rotflmfao rotflmfao rotflmfao rotflmfao rotflmfao rotflmfao

Better than best mate or Arkle?

SHIP IT!

Great race, Kauto is amazing.

well thats me out of a big hole, one remaining double on WhysoMayo and thats me done with horse racing til the next time I get buried at poker. Impressive performance but it didn't really beat a lot.. impossible to judge just how good he is.

Ahh well shouldn't have hedged after all, but hindsight is 20:20. Think it was the right thing to do at the time. Still won about £4,500 on the race  ;letsparty;

I reckon a few bookies are suffering a bit after the first three races for a change..

I have one remaining bet on Fair Along e/w in the last, now a freeroll for a modest or a good profit.

Nice touch MrC  :)up

£200 down so far christ!!!

better than best mate? definetly. He's won everything this season from 2miles to the Gold Cup. If he even wins half of the races he's won this season next season he'll undoubtebly be better in my opinion.

Arkle? I don't know. I've seen old video clips of Arkle but I'm not as old as you my friend. ;) It's like comparing Rooney to Lineker and Romario to Pele when you haven't seen both of them play.

Kauto has been amazing this season, he's done what no other has been able to achieve in one season and he's won this with the minimum of fuss.

Got to agree with Mr Boldie.

Kauto has trounced the Champion Chaser over two miles. He's won the King George over 3 miles. And now won the Gold Cup over 3 and a quarter miles. Versatile, Game and Maginificent. The perfect racehorse.

I am seriously impressed with Kauto and was even cheering him on over the finish line. I have done my money in and made a loss on the festival but it's been a privilige to watch a horse like this get it's just rewards.

£1 million of rewards off BF, loovely

Im on climate control in the foxhunters

Just got given a free £10 bet on Paddy Power because they had a couple of issues with the site a couple of days back, so i've put it on Fair Along in the last today 7/1.

I understand what your saying about Arkle but the results speak for themself.(though as you elude to I may not be the best person to argue his case) ::)

I agree that the magnitude of kauto's achievements over various distances at this level is very impressive but i dont agree that it's comparatively anywhere near as impressive as best mates successive gold cup domination.

I think it was a sub standard gold cup and wonder if kauto could afford his obligatory ric at the last if running against the likes of see more business and kicking king

ooo I've just got a £10 free bet from SJ.  Any tips for the last two races?

gone with £5 ew on Arcalis

been a great day for me so far bit pissed off about andreas when i backed it it was 18/1 went off at 12s

never mind, winner in the 1st, fell at last in 2nd, winner in the 3rd, placed in the 4th, winner in the 5th with lord henry to go in the last


 ;mrslime; ;mrslime; ;mrslime; ;mrslime; ;mrslime; ;mrslime; ;mrslime; ;mrslime;

Fair Along is being smashed into on Betfair, currently 9/2, but I'm going to stick with it  ;sark;

 ;hattip;

SHIPPPPPPPP IT.

Just when i thought the festival was peetering out, i win £80 in the 2nd last and £400!!! in the last. We love Cheltenham!

do u ever lose ;envious;

Yesh mate, lost on Wednesday and Thursday.

But luckily 2 of my 3 biggest bets of the festival were 16-1 winners (Gaspara and Pedrobob) Shipit

Profitable + Enjoyable week. Back to the poker grind now though.

Also, well done to The Camel. a lot of what he said at the start of the week about laying faves such as BJK, Well Chief etc then banging it all on Kauto Star came good.

Been a great week. 10 times more fun than playing poker. If I had the courage of my convictions I would have won alot of money. As it was, it was still pretty damn good!

Congrats to Horneris and Karabiner for some top class tipping.

See you all here for Aintree :)

well done all, I didnt back one winner so it was a pretty bad week. Its good to see a few make a profit.

I knew Punjabi wouldnt stay, but still backed it heavily.

Woops.

Also I was dead against Kauto Star. So if anyone wants any tips.. ;)

Some interesting views from the end of last year regarding Kauto Star. Classic stuff from Boldie praising KS to the hilt but always backing against it  ;)

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=17425.0

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=18327.0

lol..yeah rub it in, why don't you? :)

Not the greatest week for me, all my larger bets got turned over.  Great banter and discussion, looking forward to Aintree, well done to all those bookie bashers...