Title: Bubble Decision Post by: UpTheMariners on April 26, 2007, 05:40:15 AM if i fold it will more than likely see me in the money, due to short stacks on other tables.
FullTiltPoker Game #2290226545: $40,000 Guarantee (16825037), Table 21 - 600/1200 Ante 150 - No Limit Hold'em - 23:50:03 ET - 2007/04/25 jeesus (Observer): ooptheeeeeeee Seat 1: Rex55 (7,730) Seat 2: Randers (15,395) Seat 3: DRUNKENSTYLE (30,204) Seat 4: UpTheMariners (22,573) Seat 5: magikstick8 (69,660) Seat 6: hoffman83 (13,783) Seat 7: Cool Breeze 64 (10,098) Seat 8: Wake all in (38,198) Rex55 antes 150 Randers antes 150 DRUNKENSTYLE antes 150 UpTheMariners antes 150 magikstick8 antes 150 hoffman83 antes 150 Cool Breeze 64 antes 150 Wake all in antes 150 magikstick8 posts the small blind of 600 hoffman83 posts the big blind of 1,200 The button is in seat #4 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to UpTheMariners [Ad Kd] Cool Breeze 64 folds Wake all in folds Rex55 folds Randers folds DRUNKENSTYLE raises to 30,054, and is all in UpTheMariners has 15 seconds left to act who calls, who folds? Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: Royal Flush on April 26, 2007, 05:47:46 AM who calls? Good players. who folds? Bad players. Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: LeKnave on April 26, 2007, 07:22:04 AM who calls? Good players. who folds? Bad players. ;iagree; He's not pushing with AA/KK here.. And im happy to gamble with w/e else he has. He probly has AK/AQ/AJ/99 ish sort of hand. Gamble, Go deep, Ship the big monies. Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: GlasgowBandit on April 26, 2007, 08:02:15 AM Yep in this position he could have anything, it could easily be an attempt to steal an already decent pot his pushing range can be very wide in the c/o I call every day. Play to win never mind making the money! Go for the big prize. This could be the best opportunity you find.
Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: AlexMartin on April 26, 2007, 08:37:59 AM Ur serious arent you.
Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: boldie on April 26, 2007, 09:11:42 AM who calls? Good players. who folds? Bad players. yep...easy call Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: lazaroonie on April 26, 2007, 11:44:14 AM does the money matter ?
If it read it correctly its a 40grand tourney, depending on what the low places pay and what your objectives are, then that is what governs what you must do. If for example this hand came up in a WPT bubble, with 50K prize money on the line, would you fold it ? Personally at the levels I play at I am not good enough to throw away AK against the probable range of hands that he has, and be able to "play" my way to the big money. Even if you reckon he has a decent PP 80% of the time and A High the other 20%, then you have to call. Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: Pokerron on April 26, 2007, 11:53:28 AM I must be a bad player! If you were first to act, I'd say push, however calling for all your money, on the bubble, with 4 players in a more desperate position (on your table alone, let alone the other table!) and with you having nothing but the ante invested I think I would wait until I had fold equity on my side.
Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: AgentChip109 on April 26, 2007, 01:33:43 PM more often then not, people make these sort of plays wiv small-mid pocket pairs. this guy prob has somewhere between 55 and 99. its whether u wanna gamble on a coinflip or not.
Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: UpTheMariners on April 26, 2007, 01:54:29 PM i passed, i think it was in my head that i was going to miss out on the money again. out of the 15 mtt's ive played this month, ive won 1, cashed in 3 others and finished within 5-6 places of the money 5 times. finished 15th in the end and i do feel this decision may of cost me a decent pay day.
Title: Re: Bubble Decision Post by: AlexMartin on April 26, 2007, 10:59:41 PM Who gives a monkeys what he has here, this is an important step for your macro game and bubble mentality. Go loco on the bubble and its always easier with chips.
Show people ur not scared and they will get worried. They will lock up. AK ur behind i reckon 2% of the time, racing 70% of the time and beating AQ/AJ the rest. Im gambling, the bubble means nothing to me and the real money is in the top 3. |