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Title: help with a maths problem Post by: AdamM on July 05, 2007, 12:55:02 PM how do I work out the odds of guessing consecutive hi/lo gambles?
assume you won't get dealt a like for like card and you always gamble the +ev way (ie higher than 2-7 and lower than 8-K either way for A) Title: Re: help with a maths problem Post by: ericstoner on July 05, 2007, 12:59:43 PM My brain hurts.
Title: Re: help with a maths problem Post by: matt674 on July 05, 2007, 01:01:38 PM online?
Just push which ever button flashes most :)up Title: Re: help with a maths problem Post by: AdamM on July 05, 2007, 01:04:34 PM My brain hurts. mine too. I think I've got an answer but I want to check it with my blonde maths buds Title: Re: help with a maths problem Post by: matt674 on July 05, 2007, 01:16:36 PM Ask Indestructable - surely he's been on "Play your cards right" at some point in his tv career.........
Title: Re: help with a maths problem Post by: Alex B on July 05, 2007, 03:09:21 PM I don't really know the rules, I assumed from OP that ace goes either way. You can probably adjust the table below yourself anyway, it should give you a good approximation.
Card Good cards Bad cards Win% Ace 12 0 100% 2 12 0 100% 3 11 1 92% 4 10 2 83% 5 9 3 75% 6 8 4 67% 7 7 5 58% 8 7 5 58% 9 8 4 67% T 9 3 75% J 10 2 83% Q 11 1 92% K 12 0 100% Average win % 81% Average lose % 19% Consecutive Wins 1 81% 2 65% 3 53% 4 43% 5 34% 6 28% Title: Re: help with a maths problem Post by: AdamM on July 05, 2007, 06:59:20 PM 2/1 for 5 in a row is what I got too.
Title: Re: help with a maths problem Post by: RichEO on July 06, 2007, 12:06:56 AM If it's play your cards right style. Then A is high only, and a pair loses, so a much lower chance that you currently have.
Title: Re: help with a maths problem Post by: kinboshi on July 06, 2007, 11:59:01 AM If it's play your cards right style. Then A is high only, and a pair loses, so a much lower chance that you currently have. It certainly makes a big difference if the chance of pairing the cards is included. (http://gscentral.net/bprice2.JPG) G-g-g-g-good game. |