blonde poker forum

Community Forums => Betting Tips and Sport Discussion => Topic started by: vinni on July 28, 2007, 05:29:01 AM



Title: saturday the 4th
Post by: vinni on July 28, 2007, 05:29:01 AM
the horse in question will be running the 4th of august .

same man as last time ,this will win .

WATCH THIS SPACE .


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: vinni on August 01, 2007, 01:45:31 PM
ok it runs in the night meeting at windsor ,

RASH JUDGEMENT ,his words dont back it ew only win .

says the horse would have won last time but for inexperience .

GET ON..............................................


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: Pelham Boy on August 01, 2007, 04:47:31 PM
Cheers Vinni


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: mickyp on August 03, 2007, 09:55:16 AM
Declared in the 2.30 at windsor tomorrow.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: vinni on August 03, 2007, 07:17:07 PM
thought it was an evening meeting .


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: Scottish Dave on August 03, 2007, 07:46:11 PM
Currently trading @ 3.4 (5/2) on Betfair....not much of a price for 16 runners, maybe we should wait till 2 / 3 hours before the race to announce it, to keep the prices juicy before they get pelted.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: boldie on August 03, 2007, 08:05:57 PM
Currently trading @ 3.4 (5/2) on Betfair....not much of a price for 16 runners, maybe we should wait till 2 / 3 hours before the race to announce it, to keep the prices juicy before they get pelted.

early betrfair odds are always terrible...wait for the morning book to open with the bookies.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: vinni on August 03, 2007, 08:49:11 PM
dont expect to much of a price ,how it ran last time .


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: scotty2hatty on August 03, 2007, 09:00:29 PM
4.9 on betfair at the moment. what price are we expecting it to go off at so i know when to get on?


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: boldie on August 03, 2007, 09:07:31 PM
4.9 on betfair at the moment. what price are we expecting it to go off at so i know when to get on?

racing post has him at 6-1 (predicted) but they also tip him. it has 4 newspaper tips,m amazingly Alls fair has 5 newspapers tipping him and I don't see that at all.

As far as rash judgement gores, I am always a bit weary about horses who have only had one run and missed the break only to finish well in their race but 4-1,5-1 looks mighty tempting


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: crip17 on August 03, 2007, 09:14:05 PM
i think it will be about 13/2  6 /1.  Then when we pound on it, it will go into 5/1 lol

I have told quite a few people about this.  Notice this is registered for the
£300000 ST LEGER 2-Y-O STAKES (CLASS 2) (2yo)   in  a few weeks time

previous winner of this race tommorow went onto win the above race at 16/1.

Rash Judgment is drawn in stall 2.   Any 1 know if the low stalls are the best draws


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: boldie on August 03, 2007, 09:21:57 PM
high has a slight advantage in sprints but nothing to worry about, especially if this horse depends on his finishing kick.

I wouldn't worry too much about that, what I would worry about is Fergus Sweeny being on board only one win from 26 this season at Windsor, and only 8 wins from 136 rides there.

WS Kittow the trainer also hasn't had a winner there in 4 years (only one from 28 in the past 5 years)..now that does concern me...a lot!


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: Pelham Boy on August 03, 2007, 09:24:51 PM
The horse looks to have a great chance.

Any money for the Fanshawe newcomer would be a worry but i will be having a large bet on it,i was really impressed with its debut and this looks easier.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: Pelham Boy on August 03, 2007, 09:27:38 PM
While those stats dont look great Boldie,i often think you can talk yourself out of a winner by looking at too many stats.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: boldie on August 03, 2007, 09:33:15 PM
finally..James Fanshawe sends out Sweet Nicole (nicely bred horse and seems to be going OK at home though a bit immature) for her first time. He doesn't send 2YO's out to windsor often (5 in the past five years) but out of those 5 two have won. he only sent out 1 last year and it won there so he obviously is a man to be wary of..especially when (like tomorrow) he only sends one runner.



Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: boldie on August 03, 2007, 09:35:08 PM
While those stats dont look great Boldie,i often think you can talk yourself out of a winner by looking at too many stats.

I agree it must have a good shout, out of all the horses with experience he looks by far the best bet..but fanshawe's newcomer is a worry for me. ..noone should listen to me though, I'm just a guy giving an opinion and definetly don't want to talk people out of backing this horse as it must have a good shout.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: scotty2hatty on August 03, 2007, 10:56:30 PM
Rash Judgement's first race can be seen here (http://www.yougotrickrolled.com/)


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: BigTomatoes on August 04, 2007, 08:22:37 AM
Rash Judgement's first race can be seen here (http://www.yougotrickrolled.com/)

 thats twice today


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: lazaroonie on August 04, 2007, 09:21:36 AM
price is collapsing. :( - less than 2/1 on both betfair and betdaq.

PaddyPower offering early prices on the 2.30 from 11am. If this continues it will open even money.



Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: scotty2hatty on August 04, 2007, 09:46:02 AM
shit. had a feeling that was going to happen. was going to take the 4.9 yesterday.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: action man on August 04, 2007, 09:50:30 AM
got £350 on at 3.75-4.1 on betfair, unless fanshawes is a superstar this horse will take the world of beating


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: scotty2hatty on August 04, 2007, 11:04:24 AM
9/4 on PP


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: vinni on August 04, 2007, 11:55:28 AM
had 9/4 with hills to 2 bags of sand if it goes bigger ill back it again.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: action man on August 04, 2007, 12:18:43 PM
its touching 11/4 on betfair baz


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: boldie on August 04, 2007, 12:44:51 PM
I decided to take him and Fanshawes horse in a RV forecast..atleast that way I get them both and some value for it if it comes it :)


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: vinni on August 04, 2007, 12:53:43 PM
I decided to take him and Fanshawes horse in a RV forecast..atleast that way I get them both and some value for it if it comes it :)

and what happens if the other one doesnt pick his feet up .

just back this to win .


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: boldie on August 04, 2007, 12:56:06 PM
I quite fancy Fanshawes runner to be honest.

BTW has everyone else noticed Frankie is ridiing at Newmarket for Godolphin rather than riding at goodwood for them? And with Mcevoy not riding goodwood well at all (look at the ride he gave perfect performance yesterday, the horse was all over the track throughout the race) I reckon godolphin fancy their chances at newmarket a hell of a lot better than at goodwood.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: crip17 on August 04, 2007, 02:16:55 PM
£70  backed on betdaq @4.6     GO on ya good thing


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: scotty2hatty on August 04, 2007, 02:20:04 PM
£50 for me at 4.2. Its now 5.1 though!


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: crip17 on August 04, 2007, 02:24:54 PM
omg what an idiot i am. its drifting lol    i just phoned my friends and told then i got a good price.  4.6 and they said they got  6/1  earlier lol 


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: scotty2hatty on August 04, 2007, 02:34:36 PM
bugger


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: boldie on August 04, 2007, 02:36:34 PM
shame..don't know what to make of it to be honest. Judging from it's first ride I'd say it needs a bit of cover in his races


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: ifm on August 04, 2007, 02:40:28 PM
what happened?


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: boldie on August 04, 2007, 02:41:40 PM
what happened?

finished second. Up with the pace on the outside early and essentially stayed there. Didn't get the rail and didn't get any cover, seemed very one paced..like it needs a different sort of ride.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: Karabiner on August 04, 2007, 02:44:14 PM
Got beat by a better horse on the day, it was well clear of the third mind.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: scotty2hatty on August 04, 2007, 02:50:49 PM
Got beat by a better horse on the day, it was well clear of the third mind.

Yeah, agreed.  Couldn't quicken enough when in a good position final furlong or so.  There was money for the winner prior to start.


Title: Re: saturday the 4th
Post by: vinni on August 04, 2007, 03:05:41 PM
gutted ,it wasn't good enough ,the other horse was a better Horse on the day .

cant grumble ,its the first losing bet iv had of this man .