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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: SnipeR on August 10, 2007, 12:18:30 PM



Title: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: SnipeR on August 10, 2007, 12:18:30 PM
playing last night live in £15 re buy....Very First Hand.....i have  Aspades Ts
Blinds are 25/50, im last to act, as usual everyone limps in....i raise too 300(5k start),
i get four callers.......
flop comes down...... Td 4d 6s.....round goes...Check, bet 500,call,call, i raise to 1.5k,..
first now calls,calls,calls and calls.......omg?...
turn is.......................... 7s....,
first checks,then check,check,check....so i push all in,.....everyone calls in turn....now we all have same in chips as this is first hand...lol
first shows  5d  Jd..
second shows....  Qd  Kd
third shows.... Ad  2d
fourth shows .... 9d 6d
River is  2c......And i win......but with so much in the mix? A) did i deserve it? B)what are the odds of me seeing it through?.....although the 7/spades did give me more outs for river....


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: doubleup on August 10, 2007, 12:32:08 PM

Get Poker Stove and you can work these out yourself.  Hint: folding this would be just about the biggest mistake imaginable.

Did you deserve it hmmmm what do you want ppl to say?  Yes, because you often give succour to the poor?  No because you coveted your neighbour's wife?


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: boldie on August 10, 2007, 12:35:45 PM
first of all..wow 5k chips in a 15£ rebuy?...nice!

Secondly...I suck at claculating odds at the best of times..let alone a hand like this but...only 3 diamonds remaining so that's good.

All overcards are still live so that's 9
ONe guy paired his 6 so is hoping for a 6 or a 9 which is 5 outs.

17 cards could kill you on the turn.

Now that the 7 has come down all spades are out for your oppos but the open ender is now out for J5 boy so the 3's and 8's will make his straight..leaving him with 6 extra outs to his J.

in other words...I dunno as I suck at pot odds.

but a nice hand to win at the start of a tourney :)


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: Moskvich on August 10, 2007, 12:36:51 PM
After the flop you're something like 30% for your top pair to hold up. Did you deserve it? I don't know. Did you tidy your room like you were told to..?


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: SnipeR on August 10, 2007, 12:42:56 PM
lol, tnx guys, what i meant was not derserve it a such,but did i do the right play, what would you have done?...
 ;ashamed;


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: AdamG on August 10, 2007, 12:46:03 PM
if this was at moortown, i wouldnt be suprised, and its also a bounty night... so i hope at least 1 of them didnt rebuy lol so u got £5 bounty for that !!!  SHIP IT SNIPER!!! 


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: SnipeR on August 10, 2007, 12:52:16 PM
i ended up busting out in 14th, lol.....i had  Kc Jc,
blinds were 600/1200......i raised to 3k and got one caller..
flop was  Kh 7d 4c...i pushed all in...for 18k
Bloke goes ""i bet u have A/K OR K/Q ""...and calls.....
lol he shows.... Kd 8h...
Turn is  8d
river is  8s.....WTF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: Laxie on August 10, 2007, 01:37:24 PM
You sure you weren't playing in one of my local pubs last night?  I get knocked out by calls/hands like that all the time...lol


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: AdamG on August 10, 2007, 02:09:16 PM
i ended up busting out in 14th, lol.....i had  Kc Jc,
blinds were 600/1200......i raised to 3k and got one caller..
flop was  Kh 7d 4c...i pushed all in...for 18k
Bloke goes ""i bet u have A/K OR K/Q ""...and calls.....
lol he shows.... Kd 8h...
Turn is  8d
river is  8s.....WTF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

u shuda said, no iv got KJ LOOK !!! *SHOWS CARDS* then he folds and u go on to win it....


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: LeKnave on August 11, 2007, 04:47:02 AM
first of all..wow 5k chips in a 15£ rebuy?...nice!

Only a £15 w/1 rby. 

And sniper, blinds start @ 50/100 dnt they?

So, not that nice with the 20 min levels.


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: AdamG on August 11, 2007, 09:58:59 AM
start 50/100, 2 45min levels, then 20 mins from then on in


Title: Re: Can someone tell me the odds of this???
Post by: boldie on August 11, 2007, 11:11:29 AM
first of all..wow 5k chips in a 15£ rebuy?...nice!

Only a £15 w/1 rby. 

And sniper, blinds start @ 50/100 dnt they?

So, not that nice with the 20 min levels.

ah ok...