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Title: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: AlexMartin on October 04, 2007, 08:41:52 PM Ok so im tilting and playing super aggy when i get AA and rr a late position raiser. Flop comes down 5610 with 2 hearts (i have A hearts). I cbet, he raises to $120, i jam for $240 and he calls. He has 7h8h. Who is the favourite here and by how much?
Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: Bongo on October 04, 2007, 08:42:29 PM I'd say him about 55%.
Off to check poker stove. Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: celtic on October 04, 2007, 10:24:28 PM 7h 8h is a slight favourite i would say almost a coin flip. Against me he his 80-20 unless its danish then it 99.9/0.01.
Then again she wouldnt call with such good holdings as 7h 8h. ;) Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: Rookie (Rodney) on October 04, 2007, 10:32:45 PM taking into account you have the A hearts you are the slight fav here i think... about 54/46 to you.
Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: UpTheMariners on October 04, 2007, 11:17:18 PM i think you already know alex
52/48 to 78 Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: raab11 on October 04, 2007, 11:23:31 PM coinflipage i think. tho id prefer the 78 Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: UpTheMariners on October 04, 2007, 11:29:41 PM coinflipage i think. tho id prefer the 78 yeah it's always nice to crack aces Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: Longy on October 05, 2007, 12:57:42 AM Given you have the ace of hearts, i think this is around 55% for the 7h 8h. He has 14 outs twice and some funky runner runner outs, but you obv can runner runner runner heart him.
Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: Ironside on October 05, 2007, 02:07:15 AM given you have the Ah its about 56% you
Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: M3boy on October 05, 2007, 08:39:27 AM 7h 8h is still slight favorite here - even though you hold the Ahrt.
Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: marcro on October 05, 2007, 08:46:38 AM The poker calculator says the 78 is 51.52% favourite.
Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: M3boy on October 05, 2007, 09:15:04 AM It is the same situation as 2 over cards and a flush draw against a lower PP - apart from funky runner runner stuff.
I have assumed the 5 and 6 are the two hearts. Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: GlasgowBandit on October 05, 2007, 12:46:53 PM If the 5/6 are hearts then the 78h is 53% - 47% and 52% - 48% fay if not.
Either way your beat, its the internet it always bites you in the arse :) Title: Re: Another matchup that i thought i had a good idea about. LOL. Post by: Smart Money on October 07, 2007, 02:43:06 PM 14 outs = ~50%
less r/r hearts = ~4% in your favour. +other negligable redraws/combos. I'd put the AA as a very slight favourite*, but it's very close to 50/50. *EDIT: Guess not. :) |