Title: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: dino1980 on February 15, 2008, 10:30:32 PM This is the sickest spot i've found myself in quite some time. Villain is a v.gd known winning player (182% roi avg buy-in $100 over 600 tournamnets)
We have not seen them showdown a hand, they've played position once before when teh cut-off opened to 3x, they flatted, as did we from the SB with 66, we check folded a flop which contained 2overs + fd, teh c/o checked behind also and they pot out a 60% pot bet and took it down. How do you like my line prior to the turn? Does villain ever have anything here that we beat? After you throw up do you re-raise all-in or fold? IMO 6-6-6 was his most likely holding and after banking it i folded. Full Tilt Poker Game #5267079369: FTOPS Event #15 (39924392), Table 280 - 170/340 Ante 25 - No Limit Hold'em - 16:41:50 ET - 2008/02/15 Seat 1: NIRIA (11,662) Seat 2: dino1980 (18,345) Seat 3: deuce is good (7,182) Seat 4: slabstract (11,292) Seat 5: emiwarg (4,720) Seat 6: Claw1980 (12,810) NIRIA antes 25 dino1980 antes 25 deuce is good antes 25 slabstract antes 25 emiwarg antes 25 Claw1980 antes 25 NIRIA posts the small blind of 170 dino1980 posts the big blind of 340 NIRIA: AT.. The button is in seat #6 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to dino1980 [Th 2d] deuce is good folds slabstract calls 340 emiwarg folds Claw1980 calls 340 NIRIA calls 170 dino1980 checks *** FLOP *** [2c Td 6c] NIRIA bets 340 dino1980 raises to 1,360 slabstract folds Claw1980 has 15 seconds left to act Claw1980 calls 1,360 NIRIA folds *** TURN *** [2c Td 6c] [Qs] dino1980 has 15 seconds left to act dino1980 bets 2,222 Claw1980 has 15 seconds left to act Claw1980 raises to 5,440 dino1980 has 15 seconds left to act dino1980 has requested TIME Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: Grier78 on February 15, 2008, 10:49:00 PM Looks like a set of 6's to me, I think its a good fold.
Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: AlexMartin on February 16, 2008, 03:07:43 PM Looks like ur beat. Gd fold.
Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: MANTIS01 on February 16, 2008, 03:53:55 PM I think if you want to look at how you played the hand then you will see that there is no real purpose to the 2,222 turn bet. On the flop NIRIA bets 340 and you raise to 1,360. Despite seeing bet and raise in front Claw1980 proceeds to smooth call EVEN THOUGH the original bettor is still active behind. This information is pretty clear isn't it?
If Claw1980 wanted to shove you off the pot with a draw then pushing the flop would be his best bet. His flat call however tells you everything you need to know. So you've got to ask yourself the purpose of betting the turn? I think your decision to fold on the turn comes a street too late. You have enough info to make a decision either way on the flop and the only reason to bet the turn would be with an intention of getting it all-in. Betting the turn to see what happens and THEN making a decision is donating chips because you already know how strong your oppo is. I also think a set is the most likely holding and you don't go broke in this unraised pot so that is a good thing. Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: AlexMartin on February 17, 2008, 08:17:58 PM 106, Qc10c are the hands im worried about btw.
I think if you want to look at how you played the hand then you will see that there is no real purpose to the 2,222 turn bet. On the flop NIRIA bets 340 and you raise to 1,360. Despite seeing bet and raise in front Claw1980 proceeds to smooth call EVEN THOUGH the original bettor is still active behind. This information is pretty clear isn't it? If Claw1980 wanted to shove you off the pot with a draw then pushing the flop would be his best bet. His flat call however tells you everything you need to know. So you've got to ask yourself the purpose of betting the turn? I think your decision to fold on the turn comes a street too late. You have enough info to make a decision either way on the flop and the only reason to bet the turn would be with an intention of getting it all-in. Betting the turn to see what happens and THEN making a decision is donating chips because you already know how strong your oppo is. I also think a set is the most likely holding and you don't go broke in this unraised pot so that is a good thing. This is so easy to say in principle, but villain does this with a lot of combo draws that dont stay so aggressive on the turn. WP dino! Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: NoflopsHomer on February 17, 2008, 08:41:06 PM Only hand you're beating looks to be 9c 8c...
Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: dino1980 on February 18, 2008, 01:21:09 AM thanks for the replies every1 and Mantis you're right, in retrospect my turn bet is spew. FWIW villain had a set of twos
Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: MANTIS01 on February 18, 2008, 01:51:09 PM Posted by: AlexMartin
Quote This is so easy to say in principle Yep, I agree with that. I'm not looking to criticise dino for his play but rather looking at how we can improve generally as players in this type of situation. The fact of the matter is that the turn bet IS redundant....we KNOW that to be true after the hand is completed and a set is shown. But the question is, can we avoid using those chips on the turn by assessing the flop action alone??...or do we absolutely need the turn bet to be certain?? imo only the nut flush draw can stand the prior action and even then I think a smooth call is a bit weak. Surely a good player doesn't stand this heat with middle pin draws?? Can we not say bet-raise-call is a formula for a hand that beats a weakish 2 pair, (if the call comes from a winning player), and save that turn money?? Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: dino1980 on February 19, 2008, 01:34:54 AM A further question i'd like to pose here is this. I'd done a bit of reseach here on the villiain. By knowing he was a good player and that his range here included very few hands that I beat I made my decision IMO easier. Without the info I posted, e.g against a random donk, what do you do? I mean is a check call turn, check, fold (if any river bet) line acceptable? I mean in these FTOPS style events there are plenty of satellite donks (e.g me) who play these. I guess in essence is lead/folding chepaer than say check calling the turn then check/calling or check/folding the river?
Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: MANTIS01 on February 19, 2008, 02:40:03 PM Posted by: dino1980
Quote Without the info I posted, e.g against a random donk, what do you do? Well, I think this becomes more tricky. Obviously poker is a game of information and if you have NO info about your oppo then decisions are harder. But let's say we default to the bet-raise-call = caution approach, and check the turn to our unknown oppo. I would then put a lot of emphasis on the SIZE of his bet, because naturally enough, this would be the only bit of info available. If he does have a set then we know he's playing it softly because his flop call shows he doesn't want to scare players away. That said you would think his turn bet would be a gentle one....no more than half the pot. This would remain consistent with his softly softly mentality. Alternatively, if he decides to press his draw you might expect a more forceful bet....because he doesn't really want the call and is pressurising your weakness as much as betting his draw. So if a big bet came in I would be inclined to push after checking whereas I would be more inclined to fold if a smaller one arrived. Title: Re: sick spot (imo) from FTOPS 15 Post by: Grier78 on February 19, 2008, 06:29:50 PM A further question i'd like to pose here is this. I'd done a bit of reseach here on the villiain. By knowing he was a good player and that his range here included very few hands that I beat I made my decision IMO easier. Without the info I posted, e.g against a random donk, what do you do? I mean is a check call turn, check, fold (if any river bet) line acceptable? I mean in these FTOPS style events there are plenty of satellite donks (e.g me) who play these. I guess in essence is lead/folding chepaer than say check calling the turn then check/calling or check/folding the river? If a random donk is playing that way without the ball then its going to end badly for him very quickly as other random donks wont be good enough to fold. |