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Title: Ten million to one? Post by: bobby1 on March 03, 2008, 07:14:44 PM Playing three 6 man cash tables just now on Blonde and on the same table I was dealt AA in three consecutive hands.
I make that a 10,793,861/1 chance, Is that right? Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: matt674 on March 03, 2008, 07:17:38 PM 4-1 to get them 3 hands in a row
10,000,000-1 that all 3 hold up ;whistle; Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: mondatoo on March 03, 2008, 07:25:18 PM 4-1 to get them 3 hands in a row 10,000,000-1 that all 3 hold up ;whistle; Lol did u win with all three hands.The only aces ive manange to get recently are Ac Ac Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: DaveShoelace on March 03, 2008, 07:26:02 PM Its ten mill to one to get them to stand up 3 times in a row
Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: bobby1 on March 03, 2008, 07:27:00 PM The sad thing was I stacked the shorty for 80 bucks in the first hand and they all passed the next two hands, so in total I won just over 90 bucks. bah humbug!!
Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: doubleup on March 03, 2008, 07:29:00 PM You only started counting, as it were, when you were dealt the first aces - so its a lot less.
Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: sharky_uk on March 03, 2008, 07:42:59 PM You only started counting, as it were, when you were dealt the first aces - so its a lot less. Correct - Closer to 48,841 / 1... Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: bobby1 on March 03, 2008, 07:44:57 PM What price am I to get aces in 2 consecutive hands?
Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: vinni on March 03, 2008, 07:49:49 PM bobby id like to get aa this week lol.
Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: bobby1 on March 03, 2008, 07:51:27 PM bobby id like to get aa this week lol. lol, I usually know what you mean. Good luck down south mate, bring some of that London money back ooop north. Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: KarmaDope on March 03, 2008, 07:51:47 PM bobby id like to get aa this week lol. This week Bazza? I'd like to get 'em this year! Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: Rookie (Rodney) on March 03, 2008, 07:54:39 PM Isn't it 50/50 chance 3 times? 50/50 that in the first hand you either get them or you dont, and same for second and third no?
Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: bobby1 on March 03, 2008, 07:57:46 PM At the start of the first hand you are 220/1 to get dealt AA, same in the 2nd hand and the third.
Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: dik9 on March 03, 2008, 08:01:30 PM Quote The probability of being dealt pocket aces is 1/221, so you have to use (1/221) x (1/221) x (1/221) to get a combined probability of (1/10793861), or 10793860-1. However, that figure also represents the chances of getting dealt aces on precisely the next three hands, not of it happening ever. In order to get dealt pocket aces back-to-back, you have to begin by getting them the first time - and this will happen eventually. People get dealt AA all the time, it's really not that special. Once you've got the first pair of bullets, the chance of being dealt another on the very next hand is 220-1, and the chance of lucking out three times in a row are a relatively modest (1/221) x (1/221) = 1/48841, or 48840-1. So roughly speaking, every forty-eight thousand or so times someone sees AA they're going to three-peat. Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: LeKnave on March 03, 2008, 08:51:56 PM Isn't it 50/50 chance 3 times? 50/50 that in the first hand you either get them or you dont, and same for second and third no? ;iagree; Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: celtic on March 03, 2008, 08:55:12 PM Isn't it 50/50 chance 3 times? 50/50 that in the first hand you either get them or you dont, and same for second and third no? ;iagree; thsts what i worked it out as too. It's like AA v 72 is 50/50, u either win or you dont. that right too? Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: celtic on March 03, 2008, 08:56:54 PM ps rooks, u have been on blonde a hell of a lot for someone who is supposed to be in miami, u sure your are not shacked up in a grotty caravan in yarmouth and its too cold to go out?
Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: bhoywonder on March 03, 2008, 09:07:29 PM its 220 to 1
Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: Rookie (Rodney) on March 03, 2008, 09:10:30 PM ps rooks, u have been on blonde a hell of a lot for someone who is supposed to be in miami, u sure your are not shacked up in a grotty caravan in yarmouth and its too cold to go out? lol... hot but cloudy today, decided to play online... aint been out the house - good job really considering there was a madman shooting a gun only 10 mins down the road from here earlier! Title: Re: Ten million to one? Post by: TheChipPrince on March 03, 2008, 10:27:20 PM 221 x 221 x 221 = 10mil+
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