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Poker Forums => The Rail => Topic started by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 01:25:39 AM



Title: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 01:25:39 AM
This is my exit hand form the comp in Eq Chance tonight.

15 left, blinds 1500 3000. I have 31000 and am in the BB with 5d 8d

EP raises to 8500 (they have similar stack), all pass to me. With the blinds about to go to 2000 4000 I call the extra 5500. (shoving on a non AK board)

Flop is 3 diamonds and I have up n down str8 flush draw.

All the money goes in on the flop (i bet out 6k, they move all in I call)

On their backs and I am drawing totally dead.

What hand do they have? And what is the flop?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: ariston on March 25, 2008, 01:28:31 AM
flop 6d 7d Ad (or anything other than 9d or 4d) and they have 9d 4d?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 01:29:33 AM
Raise in EP with 9d 4d ?

Wrong


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: ariston on March 25, 2008, 01:31:56 AM
Flop 9d Td Jd opp has Qd Kd?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Rookie (Rodney) on March 25, 2008, 01:32:02 AM
2d 3d 4d... he has Ad 6d



Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 01:32:40 AM
More believable guesses, but still wrong.


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: ariston on March 25, 2008, 01:32:56 AM
Raise in EP with 9d 4d ?

Wrong

so you've never played against ali malu then?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 01:34:09 AM
lol, yes I have. I take your point


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: ariston on March 25, 2008, 01:34:52 AM
all answers could be correct but pointless quiz if its guess someones hand. Or is this a poorly disguised look how ul I am thread? £1 in the badbeat box sir


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Rookie (Rodney) on March 25, 2008, 01:35:45 AM
Reminds me of a beautiful hand i had in Drogheda a year ago... Deepstacks, all playing about 20k with it 100/200...

I raise Ah 2h , 600, button and big blind call. Flop 4h 5h Jh. Big blind bets, i flat, button raises, Big Blind jams, i call button calls... On there backs..

3h 6h for big blind, so open ended straight flush draw... with made flush obv.

Qh 7h for button, so made flush.

Obv i have one of the straight flush blockers and button the other. Both drawing deaddd LOL


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Rookie (Rodney) on March 25, 2008, 01:37:25 AM
7d 9d Td

Jd 6d


This is really pointless tbh!


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 01:38:12 AM
all answers could be correct but pointless quiz if its guess someones hand. Or is this a poorly disguised look how ul I am thread? £1 in the badbeat box sir

No , not a bad luck story at all. Its jus one of those things.

The dealer said if I posted the story, he doubted that many would guess correctly - I was just interested to see if he was right/wrong tbh


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: ariston on March 25, 2008, 01:39:03 AM
wait for part two of the quiz where you have to guess the colour of his boxers and also what he had for his supper ;)


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 01:39:49 AM
wait for part two of the quiz where you have to guess the colour of his boxers and also what he had for his supper ;)

Damn, you've spoiled it now! lol


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: ariston on March 25, 2008, 01:41:27 AM
3d 4d 6d and the opponent has the Ad 7d but the dealer has mistakenly turned over his first card which meant it was now the burn card which was the 2d

boxers black
supper kebab on way home from casino


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Royal Flush on March 25, 2008, 03:27:59 AM
lol call ep raise from 10BB stack with 58 soooooted

Then flop a miracle and lead!!!


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 09:35:47 AM
lol call ep raise from 10BB stack with 58 soooooted

Then flop a miracle and lead!!!

Trust you.

I know you (and others) disagree with this line, but I accumulate alot of chips this way against the right players at this stage of a tourney. I have got to know the players well and know the ones that will pass if they miss a flop. Shoving was another option, but I honestly felt it was an Ace x raise and felt they would call. My intention was to shove on a non AK board.

As for Leading the flop, I do this alot and show nothing. I get paid when I hit.

Anyway, they had Kd 7d . Flop 9d Td Jd


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 09:56:21 AM
lol Kev, and what do they have if the Qd hits?


Damn ur quick at deleting !


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Colchester Kev on March 25, 2008, 09:57:26 AM
lol Kev, and what do they have if the Qd hits?


Damn ur quick at deleting !

deleting ... what deleting ;)


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: boldie on March 25, 2008, 10:52:45 AM
lol call ep raise from 10BB stack with 58 soooooted

Then flop a miracle and lead!!!

Trust you.

I know you (and others) disagree with this line, but I accumulate alot of chips this way against the right players at this stage of a tourney. I have got to know the players well and know the ones that will pass if they miss a flop. Shoving was another option, but I honestly felt it was an Ace x raise and felt they would call. My intention was to shove on a non AK board.

As for Leading the flop, I do this alot and show nothing. I get paid when I hit.

Anyway, they had Kd 7d . Flop 9d Td Jd



sorry but this part of your post confuses me. You shove any flop with no AK, right? Therefore you don't get paid if you hit as it a classic stop and go. Your read said he had an Ace...so how will you get paid if the ace doesn't hit?


I don't like the line you take at all here. I used to do the old stop and go a lot myself and there are some things to be said for it but to flat call a preflop raise and then lead out when you hit a monster is not something that can be the best play overall. ..then again..maybe it works because it's unconventional...I dunno..don't like it myself as you ussually won't take the others guys entire stack (which is what you need at this stage because you're very short)


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 11:01:55 AM
Ok.

Boldie, what I meant about cold calling people's raises and betting out - I was referring to all the way through the comp - most players there know I will do this and take down many pots uncontested - just because I lead out is no indication that I have hit the flop and most of the regs know this - hense when I do hit, I am not beleived and get paid.

I understand why this play is not liked because of being short. BUT with the structure, at this point (ie just before the FT) Almost EVERYONE is short (I think Av = 10xBB approx). This is the point in the tourney where it gets crapshooty and you need to get chips to take to the final. Suprisingly enough, once on the FT there is quite a bit of play.

Hindsite, a fold preflop is best and on witht he next hand - trouble is I cant resist trying to win these pots.


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: TheChipPrince on March 25, 2008, 11:03:05 AM
If the flop is  9s Ts Js  do you still bet 6K, shove, or check-fold?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 11:06:54 AM
If the flop is  9s Ts Js  do you still bet 6K, shove, or check-fold?

Good question.

I dont know tbh without seeing their reaction to the flop.



Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: boldie on March 25, 2008, 12:05:02 PM
If the flop is  9s Ts Js  do you still bet 6K, shove, or check-fold?

Good question.

I dont know tbh without seeing their reaction to the flop.



but you have to shove, no?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Simon Galloway on March 25, 2008, 12:34:27 PM
I thought this one was going to be  Qc Js v  9d 3d on a  Qd Jd Th flop....  ;whistle;


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: riverdave on March 25, 2008, 01:46:30 PM
lol call ep raise from 10BB stack with 58 soooooted

Then flop a miracle and lead!!!

Fair point well made but so bad it probably works!


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Royal Flush on March 25, 2008, 03:54:26 PM
lol call ep raise from 10BB stack with 58 soooooted

Then flop a miracle and lead!!!
I have got to know the players well and know the ones that will pass if they miss a flop.

As for Leading the flop, I do this alot and show nothing. I get paid when I hit.

Which is it?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: bhoywonder on March 25, 2008, 06:33:59 PM
flop  6d 7d Kd

oppo has  Ad 2d

juts looked at the rest of the post

way way way off the mark


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 06:54:26 PM
lol call ep raise from 10BB stack with 58 soooooted

Then flop a miracle and lead!!!
I have got to know the players well and know the ones that will pass if they miss a flop.

As for Leading the flop, I do this alot and show nothing. I get paid when I hit.

Which is it?

What do you mean?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: matt674 on March 25, 2008, 07:54:46 PM
when you say you are drawing totally dead do you mean you cannot win the pot outright?

i reckon flop was  7d 6d Ad and your opponent had  Ad Jd


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 08:04:14 PM
when you say you are drawing totally dead do you mean you cannot win the pot outright?

i reckon flop was  7d 6d Ad and your opponent had  Ad Jd

New Deck Please lol


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: matt674 on March 25, 2008, 08:11:51 PM
that was my point - you were saying no one would ever guess which lead me to think that maybe something unusual happened like their being a dirty deck :)


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 25, 2008, 08:25:46 PM
I know matt - that would of been my guess as well tbh


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Dry em on March 27, 2008, 07:26:58 PM
If lots of the regulars know you do this with nothing, how are you hoping to get a pass when you shove a none A or K flop?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 27, 2008, 07:52:50 PM
If lots of the regulars know you do this with nothing, how are you hoping to get a pass when you shove a none A or K flop?

Because they know I do it with both a hand and no hand - its VERY hard to call off all your chips with Ace high.


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Royal Flush on March 27, 2008, 09:02:01 PM
If lots of the regulars know you do this with nothing, how are you hoping to get a pass when you shove a none A or K flop?

Because they know I do it with both a hand and no hand - its VERY hard to call off all your chips with Ace high.

So why lead when you flop a flush?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 28, 2008, 12:44:45 AM
To Induce the shove. ie why would he lead if he has the flush?

It is easier to be the agressor with no hand than to call with no hand - no?

I could check and let them bet again.


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Royal Flush on March 28, 2008, 01:54:23 AM
To Induce the shove. ie why would he lead if he has the flush?

I thought they were going to pass?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 28, 2008, 02:40:29 AM
Who said that?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 28, 2008, 02:42:12 AM
lol call ep raise from 10BB stack with 58 soooooted

Then flop a miracle and lead!!!

Trust you.

I know you (and others) disagree with this line, but I accumulate alot of chips this way against the right players at this stage of a tourney. I have got to know the players well and know the ones that will pass if they miss a flop. Shoving was another option, but I honestly felt it was an Ace x raise and felt they would call. My intention was to shove on a non AK board.

As for Leading the flop, I do this alot and show nothing. I get paid when I hit.

Anyway, they had Kd 7d . Flop 9d Td Jd


Stop being an arse James lol


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Royal Flush on March 28, 2008, 04:08:57 AM
I have got to know the players well and know the ones that will pass if they miss a flop.

You called because the original plan was to lead the flop and make him pass, now you lead the flop to make him shove?


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 28, 2008, 10:07:45 AM
NO
FFS

Origional plan was to CALL the raise and SHOVE on a non AK board.

Leading out when I have hit was to induce the SHOVE from THEM!


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: Royal Flush on March 29, 2008, 12:03:26 PM
NO
FFS

Origional plan was to CALL the raise and SHOVE on a non AK board.

Leading out when I have hit was to induce the SHOVE from THEM!

I forgot that you need to bet to induce a shove when you are playing this deep


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 29, 2008, 12:39:21 PM
Player dependent and against me at that place - yes.


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: PaulSykes on March 29, 2008, 08:22:55 PM
If lots of the regulars know you do this with nothing, how are you hoping to get a pass when you shove a none A or K flop?

Because they know I do it with both a hand and no hand - its VERY hard to call off all your chips with Ace high.

But its also very likely, a fish will call off his stack if he was the inital raiser. They cant lay down AK/AQ with a J 10 10 suited board for example.

See it on the internet and in casino's all the time.


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 29, 2008, 08:41:11 PM
True

I never said it is the correct way, its just the correct way as I saw it on that occasion/against that player/in that club/at that time.


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: PaulSykes on March 29, 2008, 11:33:22 PM
Thats all that matters mate, making the correct play win or loose  :)up


Title: Re: Guess the flop and the oponents hand...........
Post by: M3boy on March 30, 2008, 12:56:09 AM
Thats all that matters mate, making the correct play win or loose  :)up

True - live poker isnt just about the maths - there is alot more to it