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Title: the bro runs goood! Post by: bhoywonder on July 24, 2008, 12:56:14 PM Pub poker last nite.bro has JJ in the blinds.too cut a long story short,all the money goes in pre flop.his oppo tables AA and has him covered. Flop A rag rag....turn J....river J....amazing.wot are his odds here? I mean on the flop? Bout 1600 too 1 against?
Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: Royal Flush on July 24, 2008, 01:04:16 PM Pub poker last nite.bro has JJ in the blinds.too cut a long story short,all the money goes in pre flop.his oppo tables AA and has him covered. Flop A rag rag....turn J....river J....amazing.wot are his odds here? I mean on the flop? Bout 1600 too 1 against? 989-1 Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: GrannyDee on July 24, 2008, 01:06:10 PM Odds are just over 1000 - 1 I checked as I did the same thing in a tourament once before. ;) Same situation only difference was I had Tens instead of Jacks.
Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: GrannyDee on July 24, 2008, 01:13:06 PM Flushys right tad under 1000 - 1 close enough just checked cardplayer poker calc
Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: MereNovice on July 24, 2008, 01:47:41 PM Given that 7 cards are known, i.e. the two sets of hole cards and the 3 flop cards, the odds are:
2/45 * 1/44 = 0.001010101 This is 989/1 as RoyalFlush says. Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: Rookie (Rodney) on July 24, 2008, 01:53:51 PM Given the math...
22/4 - 4/11 + 1/2 * 11 = 44 44e where e = mc2 x 52 = 989/1 So flushy is right. Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: cia260895 on July 24, 2008, 02:06:31 PM wow nice method like it :)up
Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: TheChipPrince on July 24, 2008, 02:08:59 PM Oh christ, dont tell Ironside about this thread...
Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: EvilPie on July 24, 2008, 02:15:34 PM Did he have a back door flush as well?
That would make it more like 984/1. Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: MereNovice on July 24, 2008, 02:26:14 PM I'm getting just the slightest sense that you guys aren't really keen on the maths aspect of the game - or perhaps, just like to take the rip out of pedants like myself. :o
However, the odds of hitting the backdoor flush would have been 21/1. Reminds me of a time where three of us flopped a set - I had the middle set. All the money went in on the flop and I hit the backdoor flush. Hardly a bad beat at all really - I don't know why the other guy cried. ;) Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: gatso on July 24, 2008, 02:29:12 PM Did he have a back door flush as well? That would make it more like 984/1. on a single suit flop it could be as short as 5/2 Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: AlexMartin on July 24, 2008, 04:40:07 PM Did he have a back door flush as well? That would make it more like 984/1. on a single suit flop it could be as short as 5/2 lol Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: Grier78 on July 24, 2008, 07:14:50 PM Surely the odds are 50:50?
Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: sovietsong on July 24, 2008, 10:09:14 PM 50:50 is right...wins or loses.
Title: Re: the bro runs goood! Post by: LOJ on July 25, 2008, 10:30:55 AM |