Title: Call or Fold? Post by: ScottMGee on August 11, 2008, 02:07:39 PM £1/£2 NLHE Cash at DT (http://www.dusktilldawnpoker.com/)D (http://www.dusktilldawnpoker.com/) 4 or 5 handed.
starting stack £190 approx. Cards Ks 8s on BB. Preflop raised to £7, SB calls, I call (3 players) Flop - 9s 5s 5h SB bets £20, I call, Button Calls. Turn 8c SB bets £40, I call, Button raises All in. SB folds. I have about £113 left. Call or Fold? Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: boldie on August 11, 2008, 02:16:44 PM Fold Pre.
I hate these "stuck in the middle with nowhere to go" spots. SB keeps betting out so must have half a hand (though he folded to he probably only had top pair A9 or something like that) , Button is showing he's not scared to take on 2 players..I reckon when you call the £40 you've already decided you're not going anywhere...I call now..but would have folded the turn sb bet Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: Graham C on August 11, 2008, 02:20:34 PM Don't like it myself, I'd fold to the £40, certainly to the all in. I'd have folded preflop too.
Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: Royal Flush on August 11, 2008, 02:59:42 PM 4 handed K8 suited pass pre?
Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: boldie on August 11, 2008, 03:01:13 PM 4 handed K8 suited pass pre? Sorry didn't read the 4 handed part. Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: snoopy1239 on August 11, 2008, 03:44:52 PM How much is his all-in and what was the small blind's starting stack?
Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: NoflopsHomer on August 11, 2008, 03:45:56 PM Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: ScottMGee on August 11, 2008, 03:46:29 PM both players had slightly more than me, hence the stacks in play as it were are £190 each.
Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: snoopy1239 on August 11, 2008, 03:50:49 PM Assuming he's got you beat, I'm not sure you've quite got the odds. Could also be drawing dead. One for the mathematicians, but I'd fold.
Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: Horneris on August 11, 2008, 05:11:32 PM Id Probs call.
Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: MC on August 11, 2008, 10:23:57 PM You have to pass here. The minimum he has here is a 5. You're drawing to 20% at best, and could already be dead.
£113 call into a pot of approx £275 is what like 2.5 to 1 and hard to believe you're not a 4 to 1 dog. Call pre is fine. Perhaps raise the flop? Turn is a harsh card for you really. Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: poker player on August 12, 2008, 08:48:17 AM think i'd fold
Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: silverslick on August 12, 2008, 05:50:38 PM I don't like the call pre flop but think you would need to call now, you have the flush draw, the king and always a chance he is bluffing
Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: EvilPie on August 12, 2008, 07:11:30 PM If he's raised to protect I'd guess he's got a 5 in his hand.
If he's ahead of you now with a hand that you can't possibly beat then he's played badly by trying to scare everyone off. I'd say he's either got a 5 or he's on the nut flush draw. If he's got the 5 then you've got all your outs so you might hit your flush, if he's on the nut flush draw then you've got 2 of his outs so he's hopefully going to miss. Worst case (other than the full house already). 1 of them has a 5, the other has the nut flush draw and calls. Than you're screwed. I'm not sure how this works out but it doesn't look too good. Probably fold but I don't know if I could. Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: ScottMGee on August 13, 2008, 11:39:23 AM Thanks for all your replies.
After some consideration, my thoughts where its £113 to win about £314(2.8 - 1). I discounted him having a full house, because the raise all in makes no sense. This leaves him with a) he has a 5 - this means I have 10 or 11 outs (9 for the flush & 2 eights) - I may have deduct 1 out for his boat! b) he has a flush draw - this means I must be ahead as I have the 8 c) he has a straight - this means I have 12 outs (9 for the flush & 2 eights & 1 five) d) he has an over pair - this means I have 11 outs again (flush and 2 eights) e) a complete bluff at worst I should be 11/46, i.e. 3-1. Allowing at least 10% for the flush draw, over pair or bluff I felt I had the odds to call and I called. River Card was the Ts He claimed to have a straight ( 6 7) and folded when I showed the flush. Title: Re: Call or Fold? Post by: Horneris on August 13, 2008, 02:59:16 PM Id Probs call. Shib it. I won da monies. WP Scott sir |