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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: MC on October 03, 2008, 01:43:30 AM



Title: Am I losing bets by assuming the worst?
Post by: MC on October 03, 2008, 01:43:30 AM
I'm still fiddling with limit. Obviously the win margins are very slim so I figure you have to get as many bets as possible when you're good.

I'm thinking I should def 4-bet the turn here. I had this raise as strong, and kinda called thinking "ffs he can't have the flush can he.." ... then the board paired so perhaps it's ok to shut down there?

***** Hand History for Game 1261148743 *****
$5.00/$10.00 Limit Texas Hold'em - Thursday, October 02, 11:39:14 ET 2008
Table Table TH 713 (Real Money)
Seat 4 is the button
Seat 1: kloude ( $178.55 USD )
Seat 2: RIT_S ( $57.74 USD )
Seat 3: tuli31 ( $198.66 USD )
Seat 4: Atkinator- ( $345.00 USD )
Seat 5: Logolugo ( $188.37 USD )
Logolugo posts small blind [$2.50 USD].
kloude posts big blind [$5.00 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Atkinator- [  Kc Ad ]
RIT_S folds
tuli31 folds
Atkinator- raises [$10.00 USD]
Logolugo calls [$7.50 USD]
kloude folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ Qd, Td, 2d ]
Logolugo checks
Atkinator- bets [$5.00 USD]
Logolugo calls [$5.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ Jh ]
Logolugo bets [$10.00 USD]
Atkinator- raises [$20.00 USD]
Logolugo raises [$20.00 USD]
Atkinator- calls [$10.00 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ Ts ]
Logolugo bets [$10.00 USD]
Atkinator- calls [$10.00 USD]
Atkinator- shows [Kc, Ad ]
Logolugo shows [9s, 8s ]
Atkinator- wins $112.00 USD from main pot


Title: Re: Am I losing bets by assuming the worst?
Post by: MANTIS01 on October 03, 2008, 03:50:41 AM
Those stacks look JoeStrummer shallow imo.


Title: Re: Am I losing bets by assuming the worst?
Post by: Royal Flush on October 03, 2008, 03:58:13 AM
Those stacks look JoeStrummer shallow imo.

Limit people always sit silly short.


Title: Re: Am I losing bets by assuming the worst?
Post by: ShatnerPants on October 03, 2008, 03:09:14 PM
I definately stick more in on the turn.  You've got the nut straight, and you're drawing to the nut flush.

I'm not sure how I'd play the river.  Probably shut down as well.


Title: Re: Am I losing bets by assuming the worst?
Post by: GrannyDee on October 03, 2008, 04:35:34 PM
Definately 4-bet the turn looks like you missed a big bet, with the nut draw the 4-bet is even easier.

Opponent could have a various amount of hands by the turn two pair, set, straight or the made flush if you run like sh1t.