blonde poker forum

Maybe we could all share some tips for the weekend's footie?

Just got back from a road trip playing fruits and didn't have PC access for 3 days, but I got my mate to put 300 on Yeovil for me on Tuesday night @ 8/15 on Paddy Power which he did for himself as well which returned a nice 160 profit each.  The first bet from my new football bankroll!

My tips for the weekend (Professional football only, will look at non-league tomorrow!):

Accrington v Forest Green @ 1/2 (General) although it seems they are being narrowed slightly.  They are a very good bet even at this short price.  In top form having won at Grays last week and are currently 3rd.  They have won 6/8 home games scoring average 2 goals per home game.

Forest Green only avoided relegation on a technicality last season due to another team's poor stadia.  They are doing just as bad this season, with 6 points from 8 away games (50% defeat ratio), and are only off the bottom on goal difference.

Arsenal at Wigan @ 5/6 (1.89 on Betfair though).  This is simply an amazing price.  If this was in the cup last season Arsenal would have been 2/5 if not shorter.  Expect Wigan's bubble to burst from this game on - they have not played any of the top 5 except Chelsea. 

Sheffield United v Millwall @ 2/5.  Again a short priced tip but look at the match ups.  It's top v bottom and Sheffield United have an exceptional home record (8 wins and 1 draw from 9 games, conceding only 4 goals in the process).  The only slight worry is that Millwall have picked up most of their points away from home but they are already 4 points adrift at the bottom.

Leyton Orient v Stockport @ 8/13 (1.71 on Betfair) Top v 3rd bottom.  A good price for this match up.  Orient are in excellent form including a good cup win on Wednesday night.  Gary Alexander is one of the outstanding strikers in the division.  Their record at Brisbane Road could do with some improvement considering their lofty league position but Stockport's form on their travels is woeful.  6 points from 9 games conceding 22 goals says more than enough. 

Hamilton v Queen Of The South @ 4/7.  Hamilton are on the fringes of the Promotion race and have had very solid form losing only twice all season.  Queen of The South are being kept of the bottom only by Brechin who are terrible.  3 points and 3 goals from 7 away games says it all. 

Let's see how they get on...  Any more tips?

Nottingham Forest to beat Southend United

Nice work there vampitup, looking forwars to the weekend already

I don't like the price with sheffield united against millwall but the others look good to me :goodpost:

Reading to beat Hull too. Slightly better odds than the Blades game (Very slightly) but Reading are in good form too and I cant see them slipping.

Im definalty on the Arsenal game (come on lads) and Man U are a great price to beat Charlton (1.9 on betfair) perhaps cos Man U arent in great form atm but still a fair bet, when Man U play well, they do play well.

4 weeks ago this happened:  Millwall 0 - 4  Sheffield United, so I think that Sheff Utd are a guaranteed win.

Although Arsenal haven't yet won away this season I still think that they will beat Wigan by 2 goals

Charlton haven't beaten Man Utd in 15+ games so I think a Man U win there and Chelsea will definitely beat Newcastle


                                 

This was actually the other game on my shortlist - but I decided against it because I feel that Sheffield United and Reading are of similar quality, whilst I feel Hull are a much better side than Millwall.

Accrington game is tonight, I will be having 200 on it.

Watch out Queens have just appointed a new manager (got a draw with Stranraer (derby game) his 1st game in charge. They were a better team than their form this year suggests & someone's going to kop it from them.

Cheers Rod, do you know if he has signed any new players yet?  Stranraer are hardly flying though!

No new players - but I'm always wary of a team with a new manager in his first couple of games.

Mccall is a very very good 1st div manager also. 

get all your dosh on the hoops

Johnlarsson,
hoopster myself but dont think there is value in that bet for a couple of reasons

1. the value bet was the cup game where you could have had even money.
2. This game can be a draw and will be priced accordingly - also if you are not a hoops fan the margin for error is huge in this bet. Rangers have nothing to lose at all in this game as either way the manager goes eventually. Rangers will be set out to take a point.

better value out there ;)

Well 5/6 is pretty good to me.

I thought Rangers would be up for the cup game considering the pressure that was on them.  They were truly awful.

How it'll be different this time i'll never know.

Sandy

Hi sandy,

I know what you mean but for a bet for punters on here and not as a hoopster then caution is advised.

Rangers may not be playing well, may not be up to much as a team but they really are in the last chance saloon. They have nothing to lose at all and i expect a brusing encounter. A point is a victory and i expect them to go out for it. I am not saying that celtic wont beat them i just think that for a neutral its not a great bet.

Either way i`ll be there 12.30 kick of...how uncivilised

A sure money loser...

Cheers for that one, I'll have 200 on it too....


you mean pence right :D

Totally agree - I don't fancy this game at all.  Apart from the defeat against Swansea last week, Southend have been flying.  Eastwood and Goater are on fire up front.  Nathan Tyson will improve Forest but will take time to settle in.  Just like Peterborough on wednesday which my mate tipped up, them and Forest are on my 'AVOID' list!

Ok guys...

On the advice given in this post I've just had the following bet...

Accrington (1/2)
Arsenal (8/11)
Man Utd (4/6)
Chelsea (1/3)
Sheff Utd (3/10)
Leyton Orient (1/2)
Hamilton (4/9)

Any 5 from 7 @ £5 (21 bets)
Any 6 from 7 @ £5 (7 bets)
7 from 7 @ £10

Total bet = £150

Here's hoping!!!

Good luck Jellybean

Looks perfectly feasibly now, probably means it's got no chance!

what's all this football nonsense?  England to bt New Zealand by 30 points!!! Come on England.... can't wait, it's gonna be a great game to watch.  And Richie McCaw has been ruled outta the game now as well!!! 

Wish I didn't lose so much money on poker - mighta been able to afford a ticket to the game otherwise.... :-)

LOL at Rivered :D

I wouldnt bet on Chelsea atm. I know they will probably win but the last few games have been poor, plus Roman A has said that he wants to cut the wage bill - could be a bit of unrest there -  I dont know.  Saying that Im not laying them, just staying clear

Think that should be a healthy profit as long as 6 come in, which they should.  I don't personally like these bets though, more room for error/bad luck!

Roman A earns a Chelsea players  yearly salary each DAY!!! Do you have him quoted in saying "He wants to cut the wage bill" or did you read it in TheSun  :o

I heard it on the Radio - either 5 Live or on R1 (cant remember who's car I was in!) but def a BBC station.

I cant find a link but I'll hunt one down :)

Lets hope you boys have it off, on the football this weekend.
I shell not have a bet cos i'm a real Jonah whare footy is concerned.
To the point, i've NEVER won a multi bet accy on footy in my life.One result always FU@ks me up. :volin:

hmmm, not quite the sun but like i said (trying to get out of it here ;) ) The BBC Covered it honest  :tikay:

http://tinyurl.com/9zwff

Have stuck 175 on Forest Green @ 1/2.  Got a 25 quid free bet to make it up to 200.  Anyone else on?

Just tomorrows Fish 'n chip Paper.

i hope you ment accrington ?  Forest Green were about 5-1

cheers for the tip on them - nice 2-0 win.

Forest playing at home - their record is excellent!

Of course I meant Accrington!!  Good result, apparently Accrington were all over them.  Makes up for an early exit from Reigate tonight when I ran into aces! >:(

Any one else get on?!

Reading v Hull Reading to win @ 1.44
Sheff Utd v Millwall Sheff Utd to win @ 1.30
Stenhousemuir v East Stirling Stenhousemuir to win @ 1.20
Celtic v Rangers Celtic to win @ 1.70
Valladolid v Tenerife Valladolid to win @ 1.75
Atalanta v Avellino Atalanta to win @ 1.25
Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg Werder Bremen to win @ 1.53
Lyon v Troyes Lyon to win @ 1.22
Fenerbahce v Manisaspor Fenerbahce to win @ 1.25 
Club Brugge v La Louviere Club Brugge to win @ 1.25
F C Porto V Academica FC Porto to win @ 1.28
Leyton Orient v Stockport Leyton Orient to win @ 1.57
Hamilton V Qn Of South Hamilton to win @ 1.44


Approx 70/1 with Hills.

A long shot but it gives me an interest.

Sandy

Yeah they all should win but accas are so hard to get 100% - ironically Porto v Academica was the game last season that made me stop betting on football, 0-0 it was. 

Now I just won't touch foreign games!

Sorry folks aint got a clue about football betting, but heres what i done this morning..........................

On William Hills

All to win.............. on a 5 team accumulator

Reading
leyton orient
arsenal
sheffield united
hamilton

Considering i know nowt, i only put £2.00 per bet lol

I hate acca's...had a few singles on following:

Liverpool to beat Portsmouth
Arsenal to beat Wigan
Blackburn to beat Man City
Everton to beat WBA
and my mad one, Newcastle to beat Chelsea! :blonde:

Just £2 a game, nothing too serious 8)

I only bet small amounts on footy too!

Everton to beat West Brom - good value at 2.9.  Everton on good form atm and West Brom....well not.

Also Betfair doing accumalators now - Arsenal and Man U to win is at 3.45 - Great value imo

good luck for the day :)

Are Everton at home?  Surely not at that price!  It's good value but will be a tight game - Kevin Campbell may be out to impress for West Brom as well.

The Arsenal/Man U double is v good value yes, how many times have they been a 5/2 double in recent seasons??!!!

not many at all - both teams nearly evens is excellent value, especially with neither being on that bad form.

Everton are away but for 2.9 its worth a bet imo.  I cant see West Brom winning and Everton are on the up.

Everton away live on PremPlus I believe 5.15pm

These are my bets for today:

Southend to beat Nottingham Forest (sorry Redsimon) @ 2/1  
Arsenal to beat Wigan @ 4/5
Man City to draw with Blackburn @ 11/5
Southampton to draw with Leeds @ 11/5
New Zealand to stuff England @ 8/11     -14 point Handicap.

Edited for Redsimons Bloodpressure

Man City to draw with Blackburn @ 11/5

is a good call too, i dont think there has been a winner in this game for about 10 years !

Has anyone thought about backing under 2.5 goals in the West Brom v Everton game?  IMO if a game was designed for this market this is it!

City won promotion winning 1-4 at Ewwod park a coupel of years back......

Better with the spurs game for that bet.


" Five of Tottenham's last 11 games have featured no more than a single goal while an amazing 12 out of 13 have seen two or less. That means Hills' 4/6 about less than 2.5 goals looks hugely appealing while those looking for a bigger payout can take Sporting Odds' 2/1 about 0-1 goals."

Taken from sportinglife.

Sandy

Bluesquare are currently offering 9/4 on 0-1 goals in this game.

grrr its Nottingham Forest

I don't bet on games involving Forest, but if I did I'd back a draw today... (There thats bokked us)

I've got a season ticket at Spurs and I think there could be goals tomorrow - last time we played West Ham at home we won 3-2.  I think 2-1 Spurs is certainly very possible, usually goals with Spurs in London Derbies.  Jol has got us playing good football, and he is certainly not a negative manager.

Kevin Phillips first goalscorer at Sunderland v Villa. Mark my words. Ex players are law-bound to score against there old clubs. Its a rule of nature.

Thank you Simon, one of my pet hates as well.

Game over at Wigan

Wigan 1-3 Arsenal great Henry freekick

3-0 even though it wasn't as good a performance as the cup game and rangers actually had a couple of chances.

Still a massive gulf in class though. If only the season had started 2 weeks later than it did.

Sandy

I thought Herny played for Notts Forest

couldn't agree more henrik777

that was celtics worst performance for weeks but was still comfortable.

anyone else BUY money from the bookies today?  i also had 3-1 and hartson first scorer...ah well

Tips going well so far!

Accrington/Arsenal winners, plus Orient and Hamilton are winning too.  Only blip so far is Sheffield United who have conceded an equaliser to Millwall.  If they can get a winner there should be some good results for blondeites accas!

so anyone listen to me?  :D

Well, it looks like Sheff UTD have messed up :(

Yep - and Orient.  My mate done 390 on Orient as well.

Hopefully you got on James 8)

My tips went down in flames, Newcastle lost 3-0 Blackburn 0-0 and Nottinghamshire Forest won  :D and Everton being tonked by West Brom

omg west brom winning 3-0

didnt expect that

still, man u and arsenal made my day :)

You shoul've bet on Chelsea as well :D

Chelsea arent worth the odds you get for them though.  THe odds this weekend will probably be the best you'd get on them!

Nottingham Forest 2 - 0 Southend United - not just one of you writing off my perdiction but two! "permission to look smug sir"   8)

Silo, Man city was a good call hope you were on. :)up :respect:

Also sportinglife were spot on with under 2.5 goals in the Spurs game.

Sandy