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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: lau06132 on November 17, 2008, 05:09:50 PM



Title: What are the chances of this happening?
Post by: lau06132 on November 17, 2008, 05:09:50 PM
The following play kinda sums up my days cards.  Not exactly been going my way.  I would love to know what the chances of this occuring are with the hold cards present if someone would be so kind?

I was sitting at a table of pretty loose players hense the reraise to try and force wildgh out the hand but it didn't quite work out that way.......

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Full Tilt Poker Game #9021902616: Table Renaissance - $0.05/$0.10 - No Limit Holdem - 10:54:51 ET - 2008/11/17
Seat 1: lau06132 ($7.55)
Seat 2: wildgh ($4.15)
Seat 3: 4llstars ($2)
Seat 4: BeatMcBash ($1.85)
Seat 5: theSkyisBIue ($9.75)
Seat 6: kim7771 ($2.70)
Seat 7: TokenHit ($7.25)
Seat 8: OKCWyatt ($1.60), is sitting out
Seat 9: Troll290782 ($2.05)
TokenHit posts the small blind of $0.05
Troll290782 posts the big blind of $0.10
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to lau06132 [ Ahrt  Aspades]
lau06132 raises to $0.35
wildgh raises to $1
4llstars raises to $2, and is all in
BeatMcBash folds
theSkyisBIue has 15 seconds left to act
theSkyisBIue folds
kim7771 folds
TokenHit folds
Troll290782 folds
lau06132 has 15 seconds left to act
lau06132 raises to $4.50
wildgh calls $3.15, and is all in
lau06132 shows [ Ahrt   Aspades]
wildgh shows [Kd Kh]
4llstars shows [Jh Jd]
Uncalled bet of $0.35 returned to lau06132
*** FLOP *** [4d 5h 2s]
*** TURN *** [4d 5h 2s] [6c]
*** RIVER *** [4d 5h 2s 6c] [3d]
lau06132 shows a straight, Six high
wildgh shows a straight, Six high
lau06132 ties for the side pot ($1.95) with a straight, Six high
wildgh ties for the side pot ($1.95) with a straight, Six high
4llstars shows a straight, Six high
lau06132 ties for the main pot ($1.85) with a straight, Six high
wildgh ties for the main pot ($1.85) with a straight, Six high
4llstars ties for the main pot ($1.85) with a straight, Six high
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $10.45 Main pot $6.15. Side pot $4.30. | Rake $1
Board: [4d 5h 2s 6c 3d]
Seat 1: lau06132 showed [Ah As] and won ($3.80) with a straight, Six high
Seat 2: wildgh showed [Kd Kh] and won ($3.80) with a straight, Six high
Seat 3: 4llstars showed [Jh Jd] and won ($1.85) with a straight, Six high
Seat 4: BeatMcBash didnt bet (folded)
Seat 5: theSkyisBIue didnt bet (folded)
Seat 6: kim7771 (button) didnt bet (folded)
Seat 7: TokenHit (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 8: OKCWyatt is sitting out
Seat 9: Troll290782 (big blind) folded before the Flop

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Title: Re: What are the chances of this happening?
Post by: Longy on November 17, 2008, 05:16:17 PM
Happens about 1/250 times the board comes out as a straight, not taking into account the dead cards shown.


The actual odds of the 3 hands

296,082,864  games     0.470 secs   629,963,540  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    66.559%     66.42%    00.14%         196662600       406800.00   { AA }
Hand 1:    17.697%     17.56%    00.14%          51991092       406800.00   { KK }
Hand 2:    15.744%     15.61%    00.14%          46208772       406800.00   { JJ }


---

Welcome to blonde, though you may want to widen your posts beyond bad beats.



Title: Re: What are the chances of this happening?
Post by: action man on November 17, 2008, 05:17:23 PM
are u a female?


Title: Re: What are the chances of this happening?
Post by: lau06132 on November 17, 2008, 05:19:10 PM
Longy - Lol thanks for the numbers.

Don't worry I will do.  Been a guest on here for a while but i finally decided to get myself an account.

action man - eh no, why do you ask?


Title: Re: What are the chances of this happening?
Post by: action man on November 17, 2008, 05:25:45 PM
cause i was gonna help you if you were ;-)


Title: Re: What are the chances of this happening?
Post by: gatso on November 17, 2008, 05:26:55 PM
haven't read the post but it's probs 50/50


Title: Re: What are the chances of this happening?
Post by: kinboshi on November 17, 2008, 05:27:54 PM
cause i was gonna help you if you were ;-)

Instead you'll have to make do with Flushy's help.


Title: Re: What are the chances of this happening?
Post by: lau06132 on November 17, 2008, 05:28:42 PM
Glad to see that the strength of the human spirit to help others in their time of need extends onto the internet :P


Title: Re: What are the chances of this happening?
Post by: action man on November 17, 2008, 05:30:41 PM
theres a learning center board attached to this board, you may be better off there. GL