Title: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: scotty2hatty on December 27, 2008, 01:10:07 AM Lets see if we can get another winner!
I'll be on High Chimes and Sea Diva. Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: Dewi_cool on December 27, 2008, 01:33:22 AM As I started this thread & I'm welsh im bound to win, here you go each way -
Officier De Reserve Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: WarBwastard on December 27, 2008, 01:46:00 AM If I was a betting man I'd have a few shillings on Mon mome
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: Dewi_cool on December 27, 2008, 01:52:42 AM If I was a betting man I'd have a few shillings on Mon mome aha Austrian eh? Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: WarBwastard on December 27, 2008, 02:00:51 AM If I was a betting man I'd have a few shillings on Mon mome aha Austrian eh? Ja, or Deutschland lite. Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 27, 2008, 05:39:45 AM I had a fairly long look at this race yesterday and a few things baffle me.
Why is Officier de Reserve soo short (9-1)? The horse looks like a non-stayer, he barely gets 3M and I'd expect him to really struggle over this trip. There is no way this boy is the reason Ruby is at Chepstow today. At the prices I'd much rather be on Cornish Set if I was to go with Paul Nicholls on this. 33-1 ATM, an out and out stayer..he'll get every yard of this trip. Mon Mome at 11-2? I can't touch him, then again I don't rate Venetia Williams all that highly so maybe that has something to do with it...I just think she should have 2 horses and a potato field and would have had that had she not lucked out by getting Best Mate. Halcon Genelardais, is a decent bet at 10-1. The classiest animal in the race he'll probably get into a place and will probably be undone by carrying top weight. Nice sort though, I really like this horse. Joe Lively is a big price..he won nicely last time out, beating Halcon by 14 ..he's up 12 pounds now but I think the really testing ground didn't even suit him really last time out and he'll be better on this nice soft ground ... @16-1 he seems tasty enough. RP tip up Nenuphar Collonges @5-1 ..he should stay but I can't help but think this horse is a much better hurdler than he is a chaser. His jumping isn't too fluent and I reckon he could get caught out here...I just don't get where the 5-1 comes from. Notre Pere, should be favourite IMO. I don't like backing 9-1 shots in nationals but this horse is too big. He stays, he jumps, is in good form and will like the ground.. Kings Euro would be interesting with a run under his belt..I don't know why he's not been given one. Notre Pere and Joe Lively for me in this...though I'll probably just have a tiny bet and watch the race.....the really nice racing is over in Ireland today. Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: mickyp on December 27, 2008, 09:02:08 AM I've studied the race for the last couple of hours (FML) and still cant figure it out. Think a small EW bet on Darkness will be my only involvement.
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 27, 2008, 09:47:38 AM I've studied the race for the last couple of hours (FML) and still cant figure it out. Think a small EW bet on Darkness will be my only involvement. lol @ a couple of hours...we've all been there. It is a bit of a bastard of a race (as it ussually is) Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: crown on December 27, 2008, 10:32:39 AM Gypsy George and Miko are my 2 picks
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: Maxriddles on December 27, 2008, 11:28:55 AM Small each way bets for me on Darkness and Sherwood's Folly.
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: Karabiner on December 27, 2008, 12:35:52 PM Mon Mome at 11-2? I can't touch him, then again I don't rate Venetia Williams all that highly so maybe that has something to do with it...I just think she should have 2 horses and a potato field and would have had that had she not lucked out by getting Best Mate. How highly do you rate Henrietta Knight ? Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: crown on December 27, 2008, 02:19:23 PM WD Boldie
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 27, 2008, 02:21:54 PM WD Boldie Thanks :) I can't believe it drifted out to 16's...I took the bloody 9's! Kab, to answer your question..I think Henrietta is a fairly average trainer. She did well with Best Mate (but not well enough as she didn't get as much out of him as he could have done...she should have raced him more IMO)...and...well...that's it really....haven't seen her do anythign exceptional in a while and I think there are many better trainers out there (although admittedly she doesn't have the nr of horses anymore.) Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: maccol on December 27, 2008, 02:22:19 PM Good shout Boldie
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 27, 2008, 02:29:30 PM p.s. Just got knocked out of the scoop6 win fund because Laskari could only finish 2nd FML. (the first three were fairly easy admittedly)
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: Horneris on December 27, 2008, 02:46:09 PM Good call Boldie.
I backed Beantown @ 320/1 on Betfair and 32/1 on the place. Was like 5th with a few left to jump i got a bit excited, but then dropped back and finished like 8th or 9th. Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 27, 2008, 02:58:29 PM p.s. Just got knocked out of the scoop6 win fund because Laskari could only finish 2nd FML. (the first three were fairly easy admittedly) OK, 3 winners a second and a third in my scoop6..and the last two horses in the final leg (still going for the placer) are Twist Magic and Petit Robin...My advice to everyone is lay them off for a place as I am sure to get gumped. Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: mickyp on December 27, 2008, 08:08:33 PM Boldie leg end ;kneelsucker; ;kneelsucker;. Maybury 2 morrow ?
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 27, 2008, 08:15:54 PM Boldie leg end ;kneelsucker; ;kneelsucker;. Maybury 2 morrow ? Depends on what happens on DtD tonight..but very tempted, yeah...it'll be either that or the DtD300 next week....unless I spunk it all :) Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: mickyp on December 27, 2008, 08:50:48 PM Boldie leg end ;kneelsucker; ;kneelsucker;. Maybury 2 morrow ? Depends on what happens on DT (http://www.dusktilldawnpoker.com/)D (http://www.dusktilldawnpoker.com/) tonight..but very tempted, yeah...it'll be either that or the DtD300 next week....unless I spunk it all :) Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 27, 2008, 08:55:52 PM Boldie leg end ;kneelsucker; ;kneelsucker;. Maybury 2 morrow ? Depends on what happens on DT (http://www.dusktilldawnpoker.com/)D (http://www.dusktilldawnpoker.com/) tonight..but very tempted, yeah...it'll be either that or the DtD300 next week....unless I spunk it all :) yeah...lol..nearly..more tempting to go to DtD to be honest.. structure bound to be better..might go play the 100 on monday though...Feck, I dunno...will decide tomorrow. Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 27, 2008, 10:51:11 PM big FML to me BTW for not backin sodding Cornish Set EW or even the FC or TC...
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: Karabiner on December 27, 2008, 10:59:47 PM How much did the place bit of the scoop6 pay Boldie ?
Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 27, 2008, 11:01:48 PM How much did the place bit of the scoop6 pay Boldie ? 46£...one of them "why bother" things today. Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: Josedinho on December 28, 2008, 11:37:16 AM Not had my laptop but popped this on at my mum and dads and backed Notre Pere.
Cheers again Boldie Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: boldie on December 28, 2008, 05:41:05 PM Not had my laptop but popped this on at my mum and dads and backed Notre Pere. Cheers again Boldie good man..hope you got 16's Title: Re: Welsh National - Chepstow 2.05 Post by: Josedinho on December 29, 2008, 03:53:08 AM Not had my laptop but popped this on at my mum and dads and backed Notre Pere. Cheers again Boldie good man..hope you got 16's 14's at boylesports when i got him. Best Odds guarenteed ftw so 16's i was paid! |