|
Title: % of runner runner flush after flop? Post by: Woodsey on March 28, 2009, 07:57:15 PM Had a big cash hand at Empire earlier with lots of players all in where this made a difference to me calling off the rest of my stack on the flop or not as the pot odds were tight. It made me realise I didn't know what the % of this happening was so I could add it to my other outs, anyone know? I guessed about 6-7% at the time but I'm still not 100% sure?
eg I have Qs Js and there is 1 spade on the flop, what should I add? Title: Re: % of runner runner flush after flop? Post by: kinboshi on March 28, 2009, 08:04:36 PM It's about 4% to hit a backdraw flush, if you have two cards to come (I think).
Title: Re: % of runner runner flush after flop? Post by: Woodsey on March 28, 2009, 08:09:44 PM It's about 4% to hit a backdraw flush, if you have two cards to come (I think). Yes 2 cards to come, any advance on 4% anyone? Title: Re: % of runner runner flush after flop? Post by: Longy on March 28, 2009, 08:10:25 PM Assuming no knowledge of any other cards. There are 47 cards unknown, 10 of which are spades.
So 10/47 * 9/46= 90/2162 or 4.16% Title: Re: % of runner runner flush after flop? Post by: Woodsey on March 28, 2009, 08:12:32 PM OK ta, that info will encourage me to ;fishing; a bit more
LOL I see Jakally is looking at this thread, 3 2 1 before pisstake about me being a fish rotflmfao Title: Re: % of runner runner flush after flop? Post by: Karabiner on March 29, 2009, 11:14:59 AM I seem to recall that the wisdom was that it was either 21/1 or 22/1 so that would concur with c4%.
Title: Re: % of runner runner flush after flop? Post by: dousche on March 29, 2009, 05:32:02 PM subtract a little for the times where you're in against a set/2 pair and he fills up? then some of your outs are discounted
|