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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: pleno1 on July 18, 2009, 01:09:32 AM



Title: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: pleno1 on July 18, 2009, 01:09:32 AM
A friend played this hand, we all spoke about the hand and had different opinions...

Scene : GUKPT Newcastle (main event)

Blinds 100/200
Hero Stack : 24k
Villian Stack : 16.5k

Pre flop:

UTG : fold
UTG+1 : fold
MP1 : fold
MP2 : fold
Hijac : fold
C/O : fold
BO : Raise to 600
SB : fold
HERO: JJ  ?

IMO two different options here, flat or raise. I don't mind either option tbh, no reads on villain yet so raising might cause a bad spot if villain decides to 4bet, however the  +'s are that it will help us define his hand.

Hero decided to flat the villains raise.

Flop

832r

HERO: ?

Betting out here will lose value from hands like AK/AQ/KQ hands that will cbet this hand everytime, will also possibily get hands like 55-10/10 to be cautious and not gain three streets of value. Negatives are that if villain decides to check behind and a q-a comes do we check fold the turn??

Anyway, hero checked and villain bet 1100.

Hero? Raising here could inflate the pot, but flatting here doesn't define villains hand, again there are two ways to play this, what is everybodys opinion?

Hero decided to flat to get three streets of value without inflating the pot. Turn was another 3 and it was the heros turn again here.

IMO betting here starts to ring the alarm bells of the villain, why am I betting out now? If we check what hands that bet the flop that we are beating will bet again? A8/99/10-10 maybe more? Again if we check behind and a q-a peels do we check fold river?


Villain bet out 2400 and perhaps this is the right time to raise and find out exactly where we are, defining our opponents hand and perhaps hopefully taking the pot down right here. Raising here however does eliminate our third street of bluffing value from villain.

Hero calls 2400 and the river brings a offsuit 5. The board now reading
823 3  5


Hero again has a hard decision whether to 1) bet for value   2) check raising  3) check calling, check folding is obv out of question considering how slowly we have played the hand imo.

1) If villain has a hand like 78, 89, a8, maybe even 99 he may cautiously check behind.

2) If we check raise what hands do we exactly think will call our raise? We have shown strength by check calling two streets then raising the river, our hand basically looks like a turn full house the way we have played it

3) Checking with the intention of flat calling a raise means we might miss out on some value that we would of got by leading out.

What is the best line here too?

So alot of decisions to be made in this hand, obviously not one way is the perfect line, but I'd like to hear how everybody else (especially the blue/black belters) would play this hand. I'll post results after so nobody is results orientated.


I know theres lots of different decisions and lots of different options throughout the whole hand, but thoughts would be very welcome?


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: MC on July 18, 2009, 01:15:47 PM
Why didn't we raise preflop? To a button minraise lol. I really don't like flatting.

As played, the river is a check-call. Check-raising is out of the question as we have done nothing to define his hand. Leading out just eliminates his bluffs.

Not a fan of the line taken in this hand, in 4 streets of action, we have done nothing to help us gauge where we are at in the hand...


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: GreekStein on July 18, 2009, 01:26:38 PM

IMO two different options here, flat or raise. I don't mind either option tbh, no reads on villain yet so raising might cause a an awesome spot if we induce villain to 4bet


FYP


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: gatso on July 18, 2009, 01:31:32 PM
Why didn't we raise preflop? To a button minraise lol. I really don't like flatting.

do we know that we didn't? I can't find where it says what we did pf anywhere

obv raise if we didn't


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: MC on July 18, 2009, 04:48:51 PM
Why didn't we raise preflop? To a button minraise lol. I really don't like flatting.
do we know that we didn't? I can't find where it says what we did pf anywhere

It would have been nice if it was clearer, but he refers to the button c-betting the flop which wouldn't apply if we'd raised ;)


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: gatso on July 18, 2009, 04:54:37 PM
It would have been nice if it was clearer, but he refers to the button c-betting the flop which wouldn't apply if we'd raised ;)

surely he can cbet as the original raiser

I was thinking maybe we had raised as otherwise the flop lead is bigger than the pot

clarification please pleno. whole thread is pointless if we don't know preflop action


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: MANTIS01 on July 18, 2009, 05:08:15 PM
Can somebody explain how raising pre helps us “define” our hand vs an unknown villain. I take it if we raise and villain folds our hand is defined as the best? Ok, but that’s not a great result. If we raise and unknown villain calls how has this defined our hand? If we raise and villain 4-bets how has this defined our hand? I think we should raise, but because our hand is probably the best and we want to play for more chips than a min raise.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: MC on July 18, 2009, 05:41:59 PM
surely he can cbet as the original raiser

But this isn't really a c-bet, it's just a bet. This bet is bigger than the pot though if there's no 3bet so maybe there is one...

I'm just saying Mantis, the way we've played the hand all the way to the river we have absolutely no idea what villain has. A raise at some point somewhere along the line might allow us to gain information to proceed with the hand accordingly, rather than check calling every street and hoping we have the best hand?


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: MANTIS01 on July 18, 2009, 08:39:25 PM
surely he can cbet as the original raiser

But this isn't really a c-bet, it's just a bet. This bet is bigger than the pot though if there's no 3bet so maybe there is one...

I'm just saying Mantis, the way we've played the hand all the way to the river we have absolutely no idea what villain has. A raise at some point somewhere along the line might allow us to gain information to proceed with the hand accordingly, rather than check calling every street and hoping we have the best hand?

op also said raising pre would help define our hand vs a unknown oppo in a HU pot. I don't understand how it can. You aren't defining your hand, you are defining how villain plays. If you don't know how villain responds to a raise you wont know what his reponse means if you do raise. If you 3-bet pre and villain 4-bets...is he raising cos he has a strong hand or is he raising just cos he raised on the button and you defended? We really don't know. If we are using our chips to get info...e.g. betting to define...the low quality of info we receive back from the unknown gives us very poor value for our money imo. We've put extra chips in and we still have abs no idea what villain has. I think raising just because we have a good hand and villain may well come along with worse is a better mentality to have at this point. We're not flatting a min raise with Jacks is good enough actually.

I also think checking to call through the streets on a safe board is a decent strat. Yes we don't know where we are....but will raising really change that? He will fold worse and jam better lots of the time if we play this aggressively imo. Any, whatever, trying to analyse a hand with zero villain info and no image ourselves is impossible really.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: MC on July 18, 2009, 09:23:41 PM
I think raising just because we have a good hand and villain may well come along with worse is a better mentality to have at this point. We're not flatting a min raise with Jacks is good enough actually.

I also think checking to call through the streets on a safe board is a decent strat. Yes we don't know where we are....but will raising really change that? He will fold worse and jam better lots of the time if we play this aggressively imo. Any, whatever, trying to analyse a hand with zero villain info and no image ourselves is impossible really.
[/quote]

Good points here^^^


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: pleno1 on July 18, 2009, 10:19:50 PM
Sorry guys, sure was sober when I posted this..

Villain raised to 600

Hero flats.

This is from GUKPT Newcastle main event btw.

I'll edit first post too.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: LeKnave on July 18, 2009, 11:09:29 PM
dont see the need to 3bet pre this early.

those that said it, how are we responding to a 4bet?

think this is pretty standard to call down 3 streets.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: pleno1 on July 18, 2009, 11:54:33 PM
dont see the need to 3bet pre this early.

those that said it, how are we responding to a 4bet?

think this is pretty standard to call down 3 streets.

Pretty much similar response from my friend who was in the hand. We both thought that if we raise any of the 3 streets, all worse hands fold, and all better hands raise. We thought the only other option would be donking the flop looking weak.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: Boba Fett on July 19, 2009, 09:47:26 AM
I agree with LeKnave.

I dont like donking in on any street, its hardly happy days if he raises us.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: MANTIS01 on July 19, 2009, 01:00:18 PM
dont see the need to 3bet pre this early.

those that said it, how are we responding to a 4bet?

think this is pretty standard to call down 3 streets.

Villain isn't asked to make a mistake if we smooth pre-flop...so he will never play that street anything other than perfectly. If he calls a 3bet with worse (which is very possible), or if he 4bets with worse, we have forced a mistake. I think that is a good enough reason to 3bet vs a wide range. Also you don't let villain go to the flop with the initiative and position. That said, I like the c-call through the streets line and that prob wont happen if we 3bet pre.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: Royal Flush on July 19, 2009, 02:43:49 PM
flat pre, check call twice then lead/call river, far more fun.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: AlexMartin on July 20, 2009, 02:18:38 PM
OOP, no reads, button open, HU.

If we are playing ANY hand here 100% im 3b pre


 


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: AgentChip109 on July 20, 2009, 05:56:34 PM
would def be 3 betting pre 100% also

the way you have now played the hand so weakly, you are actually now better off check calling the river for more value as opponent is most likely gonna be value betting 108, J8, Q8 upwards imo

i wonder what upthemariners would think of this hand ;)


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: MC on July 20, 2009, 10:29:32 PM
would def be 3 betting pre 100% also

the way you have now played the hand so weakly, you are actually now better off check calling the river for more value as opponent is most likely gonna be value betting 108, J8, Q8 upwards imo

exactly my thoughts on this hand...


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: Sack it off on July 21, 2009, 01:46:04 AM
If it helps, the villain was UpTheMariners


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: Royal Flush on July 21, 2009, 02:10:23 AM
OOP, no reads, button open, HU.

If we are playing ANY hand here 100% im 3b pre


 

You never flat any hand here?

I flat about 100% of my range here, might 3b to get it in vs a tilted mug or something.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: Horneris on July 21, 2009, 04:34:01 AM
Check call all streets.

I think he has a hand like Q8.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: ALASKAN5IVE on July 21, 2009, 08:02:30 AM
flatting ftw imo - 3 betting like KK+ in early stage MTT esp live ftw, flat call pre, then u check he bets u call, repeat till fade imo....... pretty standard, hope he a spew......


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: Sack it off on August 06, 2009, 06:56:34 PM
What was the outcome?


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: AgentChip109 on August 06, 2009, 07:54:16 PM
he checked, danny value bet Q8 and the guy called

there was some debacle about danny havin Q8 here in this spot, cos this is a thin value bet but others think hes trying to bluff river


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: gouty on April 25, 2013, 02:29:43 AM
This thread could nearly sum up Blonde pha.


Title: Re: GUKPT Newcastle main event.
Post by: pleno1 on April 25, 2013, 05:55:20 AM
Perculiar bump.