Title: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: Cf on August 03, 2009, 02:17:12 PM Going to post a few hands from the £150 f/o. I win some of them, I lose some of them. I won't say which, but the point is I'm not being results oriented on them :)
190 entries. 6000 starting stack and a 30 minute clock. So, the first hand. We're down to about 3 or 4 tables, with the top 18 (last 2 tables) getting paid. Blinds at this point I think are 800/1600-200. Villian has just lost a big pot, and has now been shoving any opening he can get to try and get his stack going. After antes has has a total of about 13,000. It folds to him in the SB, and as predicted he goes all in. Hero, who is playing a total of about 25,000 has Qs 7c in the big blind. Your move? Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: Longy on August 03, 2009, 02:32:08 PM Meh unless you can put him on atc this has to be a fold, i think it is pretty close if he is on ATC.
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: George2Loose on August 03, 2009, 02:33:31 PM Foldage
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: TightEnd on August 03, 2009, 02:35:02 PM Half your stack. Fold, no need to take this on, even though your calling range is wide this isn't in it imo
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: ZZZZZZZROPE on August 03, 2009, 03:01:26 PM indeed fold
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: Graham C on August 03, 2009, 03:05:33 PM Fold from me too.
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: Dewi_cool on August 03, 2009, 03:07:06 PM Fold from me too. Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: LeKnave on August 03, 2009, 03:11:52 PM fold
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: Blatch on August 03, 2009, 03:13:31 PM simple fold
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: MC on August 03, 2009, 03:14:01 PM Yeah, definite fold
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: Cf on August 03, 2009, 03:33:00 PM Ok, general consensus here appears to be to fold. Which is not what I did.
I'll go through my thought process, and would welcome any feedback over whether or not you think my thinking is correct. Firstly, his shoving range. He was a youngish (mid-late 20s at a guess) player, who seemed to understand the concept of shoving with a short stack to steal blinds/antes. For the previous few hands he shoved any unopened pot he got. So, when it folds to him the the SB he's in a spot where he should be shoving ATC. And I was perfectly happy that he would ship ATC. Maybe it's a bit much to assume he's doing that here? Given that I decided this though, I've got Q7 which is the average hand in these spots. I just stoved it and it's 51.7% against a random hand. So I'm essentially flipping with his range. I then look at the pot odds. 200*8 = 1400 + 3200 (from blinds) + 11400 from the shove = 16000 in the middle. Costing me about 11400 to call, so i'm getting about 1.4 on a call. Considering I think I'm 50/50 against his range then I quite like this price. The other factor was of course my stack size. If I call and win then I'm up to >50k. At 800/1600-200 I can start to put this stack to work and improve it. Blinds are soon to jump to 1000/2000-200, then 1500-3000-300, so I need to get something going. If I fold then this is obv bad news, I'm down to about 12k. But I figure this isn't a complete disaster, as I can shove and win a couple of pots to help get my stack back up - I had one of the tighest players I've ever seen to my left, he played about 2 hands in the 3/4 hours i saw him at the table, so his big blind was easy pickings. So, given I thought I was getting a decent price, the benefits of having a bigger stack, and the fact I think I might be able to somewhat recover if I lose, I decided to make the call. Borderline acceptable, or spew? Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: BulldozerD on August 03, 2009, 03:57:51 PM I still think it is a fold.
I guess you learnt this from what happened in the Alea Friday night? ;) Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: outragous76 on August 03, 2009, 04:00:06 PM Easy fold - you can jam the next hand if you must against Mr Tighty
You are ONLY doing it because it is BvB, but you are as marginal as it gets! Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: AlexMartin on August 03, 2009, 06:41:40 PM it might be ever so slightly +EV to make this call. But there are infinitely more +EV spots to use your chips than in this spot imo.
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: MC on August 03, 2009, 07:09:38 PM It's good that you've provided a logical reasoning for your call, but getting 1.4 with Q7 which has 51% equity against his possible range isn't a good enough reason to call imo.
Q7 just isn't good enough in this spot. Applying your logic, I might bet happy to take him on with K8 or QT...maybe even Q9s, but not Q7.... Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: MANTIS01 on August 04, 2009, 01:03:54 AM it might be ever so slightly +EV to make this call. But there are infinitely more +EV spots to use your chips than in this spot imo. +1If you want to make something happen do what your oppo is doing instead of doing what you are doing. That would be better straight away. Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: Cf on August 04, 2009, 03:53:25 AM Not that it's really relevent, but I'll post the result for completeness sake. He turned over Kd 9d. I hit a Q and took him out.
Title: Re: £150 f/o hand #1 - Call the SBs shove? Post by: salfi on August 04, 2009, 07:01:17 AM a few factors why i might i make these calls online. 1 is the player gunner keep helping him self to my blinds and the blinds i wanta attack.
. 2 wats the overlay of the pot and 3 is it worth me tryin to bust this player ina flip if u believe his range to be any two cards. not sayin calling ya chips of is always the bets way to play ya hand but ive gambled in the past on a race to get chips so i can attempt to run the game over and if it means i gamble and lose half the time so be it. the half a time where i feel them chips are gunner be used to collect even more chips then i think it makes the call ok as uve put the chips to good use. if the alternative is u fold this tiny edge and he keeps beating u into pots then what time do u draw the line of fighting back. some players(djk123) believe any edge is an edge but if u always call on small edge u wil lose money as most chips won at poker are without showdown and 1percent edge dont make up for the fact that u have to win at showdown. but like i say if by gambling here it sets u up for a win then its not the worst call in the world. the bigger picture as always is it depends i wudunt say ive not gamblded in these types of spots before but normally with a player i want to get rid of who i kknow wil be a nuisance at some point so il take my stand early with yes a 51 percent edge. |