blonde poker forum

Seat 1: ScarJo (7,525)
Seat 2: S_Dot111 (13,314)
Seat 3: Josh Arieh (9,854)
Seat 4: TheClaimer (14,635)
Seat 5: GirlCanPlay2 (4,191)
Seat 6: kenny05 (17,456)
Seat 7: govshark2 (17,427)
Seat 8: mezvinsm (12,701)
Seat 9: djcoin (15,443)
ScarJo antes 25
S_Dot111 antes 25
Josh Arieh antes 25
TheClaimer antes 25
GirlCanPlay2 antes 25
kenny05 antes 25
govshark2 antes 25
mezvinsm antes 25
djcoin antes 25
S_Dot111 posts the small blind of 140
Josh Arieh posts the big blind of 280
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to TheClaimer [Jc Js]
TheClaimer raises to 700
GirlCanPlay2 folds
kenny05 folds
govshark2 folds
mezvinsm has 15 seconds left to act
mezvinsm calls 700
djcoin folds
ScarJo folds
S_Dot111 folds
Josh Arieh has 15 seconds left to act
Josh Arieh has requested TIME
Josh Arieh calls 420
*** FLOP *** [9s 4s 5s]
Josh Arieh checks
TheClaimer bets 1,425
mezvinsm has 15 seconds left to act
mezvinsm raises to 4,050


hero has raised UTG for the last 4/5 rounds. Villian has called one of the opens before this one.
How do we proceed here? villain has not been on the table long enough to have any reads.

Don't think this is very close personally, extremely happy to get it in here

Happy to get it in against which hand exactly? A bluff? With a player to act behind who could of been planning a check/raise himself.

It's Josh Arieh to act before us? Just isnt included in HH, I guess he folds. pretty tough spot though, guess it's a get it in hope for no spade/ hope for a spade.

if we get it in we are a favourite vs TT (Ts) we can be marginally behind to AsQ or AsK  and abs crushed by AA, KK QQ with a spade. vs a set we have spade outs and the other jacks. Just cant see how we can get it in good here.

Yes Josh arieh was to act and he folded so villain, raised by cbet knowing arieh had to act also.

My thoughts exactly.

Just seen it's a $1k too. Sigh.

Erm, I dunno, normally comps I play online its a fistpump but I guess prob a fold here Trigger.

so the question is,, is  he bluffing? is it a good spot to rep a hand? can we jam or should we jam if we think he is bluffing?

off out in a minute but hope i hear lots of views, particularly from mtt pros like brammer, cody, pez, flushy, middy, shrewdies, keys etc...

This is the real question and this is why it is so tough when you get moved tables and have no reads, this usually happens to me and I give players credit for moves which in fact they would never make. End up levelling myself sticking it in their eye and getting my pants pulled down.

Do you have any info on villain? OPR him? Ever played before? Does he shag old ladies?

shameless "i have $1k in my acct" brag post imo

i hate my life in this spot in this tourny and fold, he can never be bluffing here and your praying to be fliipping really : /

hate spots like these where good players can just own you in pos. maybe check in the first place??? as played i fold but i do sigh at the idea of bet/folding. trouble is when we get it in we're def crushed unless he is f bad.

His raise is very strong, and we don't really have any idea what he has. The problem I have here is we're never going to get it in way ahead. We'll usually be against:

overcards+fd - we're flipping
As9/4/5x - we're flipping
AsXx - we're 56%
set - we're 2:1 dog
flush - gg
overpair w/ fd - we're crushed
overpair w/o fd - we're 42%
tp w/o fd - we crush
bluff - we crush, but he won't call a shove

The problem of course is what we're most likely to be against given the action. It's pretty much never the last 2 unless you want to level yourself into thinking he's making a play. And as for the rest of them we're only winning if he has the bare As. And he's pretty much pot comitted himself with any of the half decent ones so we can't shove him off it.

I do a fold.

i level myself so often in this spot. so gross. agree its probably a fold.

Yeah this is a defo I played a $1k tourn brag post.

i think we shud fold cos the way the villian put his chips into the pot i think his most likely holding is 44 :P

Board: 9s 4s 5s
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    39.299%     38.62%    00.68%             17971          315.00   { JcJs }
Hand 1:    60.701%     60.02%    00.68%             27929          315.00   { QQ+, JcJd, JcJh, JdJh, TT, 9c9d, 9c9h, 9d9h, 5c5d, 5c5h, 5d5h, 4c4d, 4c4h, 4d4h, AsKs, AsQs, KsQs, QsTs, Ts9s, AcKs, AdKs, AhKs, AsKc, AsKd, AsKh, AsQc, AsQd, AsQh }

when u get stacks in u have 39.3% equity in a 26,417 pot = 10,381 cev + 1934 remaining stack, 12,315 after the hand
when u fold you have 12,485 after the hand

assuming hes never folding + has the range i gave him, folding is best

What if the villain has rags though hatthehole?

Middy, you've left some Js hands in villains range.

Mate, he can't have the Js. We've already got it buddy!!!




In seriousness, agree with this really.^. Just a proper hate life spot and sigh fold.

norrr hes edited the Js out.

nh

Looks like a fold to me.

I'm getting them in all day though tbh.

Till you run out of $1ks

Let's hope that day never comes.

If opponent is vvvv good or vv bad i go with it. Against the remainder of the 1k poker world i fold.

Sighhhhh fold... then tilt raise the next pot obv

I'm really beginning to despise poker

this

I'm a bit disappointed that this thread has died, I think it's one of the sicker spots I've seen and was interested in some more of the  experienced MTT specialist's opinions.

It's one of those spots that i'm sure i've just got it in in the past, but as discussed, it looks like more of a fold after thinking about it for a while.

It's only close to a fold in $1k's

It's hard to discuss as the table dynamic is so key in HSMTT

how long it take u to reach that verdict?