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Community Forums => The Lounge => Topic started by: Maxriddles on February 23, 2010, 11:21:39 AM



Title: Another Falklands war?
Post by: Maxriddles on February 23, 2010, 11:21:39 AM
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/8529605.stm

It seems the oil exploration starting around the Falklands has increased tensions again over sovereignty of the islands. Surely no way any British government could consider handing sovereignty of the islands to Argentina.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: lazaroonie on February 23, 2010, 11:24:19 AM
i doubt whether argentina could afford another war. doubt if britain could either come to think of it....


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: thediceman on February 23, 2010, 12:57:39 PM
i doubt whether argentina could afford another war. doubt if britain could either come to think of it....

Maybe it will be an old school war, one big field, thousands of soldiers, charge.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: Woodsey on February 26, 2010, 07:59:03 PM
Think the argies are probably underestimating us. Obviously the oil drilling is a bit of a trigger, but they see the fact that we are heavily commited to Afghan and think we couldn't handle FI at the same time.  Difference is that we have a Garrison permanently stationed there nowadays. They practice regularly for the Argies coming again...

Add to that the Navy already have a presence, have more that can be readily diverted from drug tasks in the Carib (piss up really) and have bugger else to do then we can meet that side of the commitment.

But more importantly it'd be a short term op; bringing units to readiness for it wouldn't be half as much of an issue as the kinda prep that goes into our current commitments. The type of fighting in FI is our billy basics bread n butter taught from day one week one...unlike our ever evolving counter insurgency tactics that are used in the sandy places.

Furthermore we have something they (and every other S American ally of theirs) do not have. We have combat hardened troops. They would be foolish to push their luck. We would make mince meat out of them...

I wouldn't worry there is pretty much zero chance of any war...........


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: redsimon on February 26, 2010, 08:22:03 PM
Oh I know. No chance of war. However the above was kinda hypothetical. Would love to kill Argies though as I have never forgiven them for the Hand of God in 86. I was only 11 and it broke my heart lol

hopefully just a joke....


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: Royal Flush on February 26, 2010, 08:33:11 PM
And people wonder why our troops don't get a lot of public support.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: bobby1 on February 26, 2010, 08:38:23 PM
I hope not, there is already one war being run dreadfully, lets hope we dont get another.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: ripple11 on February 26, 2010, 08:38:53 PM
Think the argies are probably underestimating us. Obviously the oil drilling is a bit of a trigger, but they see the fact that we are heavily commited to Afghan and think we couldn't handle FI at the same time.  Difference is that we have a Garrison permanently stationed there nowadays. They practice regularly for the Argies coming again...

Add to that the Navy already have a presence, have more that can be readily diverted from drug tasks in the Carib (piss up really) and have bugger else to do then we can meet that side of the commitment.

But more importantly it'd be a short term op; bringing units to readiness for it wouldn't be half as much of an issue as the kinda prep that goes into our current commitments. The type of fighting in FI is our billy basics bread n butter taught from day one week one...unlike our ever evolving counter insurgency tactics that are used in the sandy places.

Furthermore we have something they (and every other S American ally of theirs) do not have. We have combat hardened troops. They would be foolish to push their luck. We would make mince meat out of them...

Some years ago, I wangled an invite to a ships party, when the great and good of St.Lucia were welcomed on board. All very civilised cocktail and canapes on deck until the VIP's left.......then my god, the mother of all parties broke out below deck!!.... ;D


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: titaniumbean on February 26, 2010, 08:39:24 PM
The 'sandy places' bit made me laugh out loud, for longer than I wanted and I folded trips with someone betting into me :(


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: Geo the Sarge on February 26, 2010, 08:42:54 PM
And people wonder why our troops don't get a lot of public support.

would hope the lol gave it away as a joke...

Cos they don't get the military humour??

Geo


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: Geo the Sarge on February 26, 2010, 08:45:37 PM
It's all sabre rattling, as pointed out the Argies couldn't afford the war.

They're basically hoping that the UK offer some sweetener from the profits.

Geo


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: bobby1 on February 26, 2010, 09:57:01 PM
I hope not, there is already one war being run dreadfully, lets hope we dont get another.

The way the media is portraying the war is frustrating. Some of the stuff that comes out is out of date by several days, ill informed or mispresented.

With regards to the Taliban/Foreign Fighters we are defeating them and driving them out. Slow progress granted (so far), but it will pick up pace. Believe me the lay of the land is quite different from what is presented to you by the media...after all, NATO winning doesn' exactly sell papers does it?

The biggest problems we actually face are Pakistani indifference/double crossing (slowly changing) and corruption within the country. The war on the ground is slowly being won, as we can now hold the ground thanks to the US uplift and more ANA units coming online..


Firtsy JJ, I didnt know you were servig so wouldnt have been as blunt as that if I had known. I am just a civilian so my take cannot be as incisive as yours but this is what concerns me.

On Decmber 30th Nato commented on an overnight raid that had taken place the day before, its statement said

' As the joint assault force entered the village they came under fire from several buildings and in returning fire killed nine individuals. Several assault rifles, ammunition and ammonium nitrate used in bomb making were discovered'

Then the day after when the above statement was questioned

' the victims were an IED  bomb cell that Afghan an US officials had been developing information against for some time'

This was again questioned and an inquiry into the raid concluded that this is what happened

'A unit of International forces descended from a plane and took ten people from their homes, eight of them were school students, one of them a guest, the rest from the same family, and shot them all dead.

They were aged 12-18, so that raid killed schoolchildren that were sleeping in their beds and Nato simply made up 2 statements in an attempt to cover this up.

After being given the evidence from the report they then said

'Knowing what we know now, it would probably not have been a justifiable attack.We dont now believe that we busted a major ring'

I think this figure is correct, there have been around 60 civilian casualties in Afghanistan in the last month, 27 of those people were in a bus , returning from work, or nights out, just going about their business when the bus was targetted with an airstrike that killed them all.

Another enquiry is taking place into this incident.

Now as I said, I am just a regular bloke and have no axe to grind but that seems to me to be totaly unacceptable.

Let me ask you this JJ, if a set of Afghans shot 10 schoolchildren in a any city in Britain, it would be called a terrorist attack and we would be appaled by this. Again, if a bus in any city in Britain was blown up by Afghan's it would also be called a terrorost attack. Yet when we do that what followed is a cover up and NATO statements that are past misleading and verging on blatant lies.

The families of those schoolchildren have been offered $2000 in compensation for every child their family lost.

This is why the war doesnt sit easy with a lot of people, tho please understand the general consensus is that out troops are doing a great job and I am sure they are.


Couple this type of story that seems to be  getting uncovered quite often now and couple in the MI5 debacle that has surfaced in the last 2 days and it is starting to sound like we(allies) have been getting  away with quite a lot.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: thetank on February 26, 2010, 10:31:00 PM

This was again questioned and an inquiry into the raid concluded that this is what happened

'A unit of International forces descended from a plane and took ten people from their homes, eight of them were school students, one of them a guest, the rest from the same family, and shot them all dead.


This inquiry was conducted by Afghan politician Asadullah Wafa

I see no reason to accept Mr. Wafa's version of events over NATO's tbh. Perfectly feasible that his motives for putting that spin on events were political.

I don't think you'll find the results of the joint inquiry in the newspapers. Especially if it's along the lines of, here's some photos of the dead blokes, he's got an awfully bushy beard for a 12 year old innit.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: bobby1 on February 26, 2010, 10:40:12 PM

This was again questioned and an inquiry into the raid concluded that this is what happened

'A unit of International forces descended from a plane and took ten people from their homes, eight of them were school students, one of them a guest, the rest from the same family, and shot them all dead.


This inquiry was conducted by Afghan politician Asadullah Wafa

I see no reason to accept Mr. Wafa's version of events over NATO's tbh. Perfectly feasible that his motives for putting that spin on events were political.

I don't think you'll find the results of the joint inquiry in the newspapers. Especially if it's along the lines of, here's some photos of the dead blokes, he's got an awfully bushy beard for a 12 year old innit.

NATO agreed with the staement tho Tank. They concluded this.

' A United Nations investigstion confirmed 8 of the ten victims were students, one was a farmer Abdul Khaliq (18) who was shot when he ran out of a nearby house'

What was even more disconcerting is in NATO's first statment they called it a ''a joint assault force' now it has been proven to be bordering on neglect they say they won't disclose which nations were involved.

Not a good sign for the watching public.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: thetank on February 26, 2010, 10:57:01 PM
If NATO agreed with the results why do they want a joint inquiry?


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: Jon MW on February 26, 2010, 11:00:20 PM
OMG are you saying innocent people might die in a war!! Who'd have thought.

There are reasons why the Afghan war could be seen as unnecessary, but because the military might make mistakes isn't one of them.

Of course it would be good if any war where any mistakes might be made instantly stopped - but it's just as feasible as achieving world peace by any other means


And the difference with terrorism is that in war civilians aren't deliberately targeted - when they die in a war it's a mistake, rather than the aim.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: bobby1 on February 26, 2010, 11:04:00 PM
OMG are you saying innocent people might die in a war!! Who'd have thought.

There are reasons why the Afghan war could be seen as unnecessary, but because the military might make mistakes isn't one of them.

Of course it would be good if any war where any mistakes might be made instantly stopped - but it's just as feasible as achieving world peace by any other means


And the difference with terrorism is that in war civilians aren't deliberately targeted - when they die in a war it's a mistake, rather than the aim.

Not good enough tho John, those figures are far too high to ignore and the point is these are being covered up to make sure the 'just' war is seen to be that.

Tank, I dont understand what you mean, there was a joint inquiry, both side agreed a finding.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: thetank on February 26, 2010, 11:20:41 PM

Tank, I dont understand what you mean, there was a joint inquiry, both side agreed a finding.


I haven't seen any reporting of this joint inquiry. Do you have a link?

All I've seen are sites that reek of bias who quote any NATO source making some sort of concession and taking that as an admission that they've been popping caps in the heads of 12 year old boys. It doesn't add up to me.

I haven't seen any admission from NATO that the people bumped off were all innocent civilans and definately not involved in the insurgency. The quote you've given from NATO said that it wasn't major players they bumped off and so their attack might not have been justified.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: bobby1 on February 26, 2010, 11:24:47 PM

Tank, I dont understand what you mean, there was a joint inquiry, both side agreed a finding.


I haven't seen any reporting of this joint inquiry. Do you have a link?

All I've seen are sites that reek of bias who quote any NATO source making some sort of concession and taking that as an admission that they've been popping caps in the heads of 12 year old boys. It doesn't add up to me.

I haven't seen any admission from NATO that the people bumped off were all innocent civilans and definately not involved in the insurgency. The quote you've given from NATO said that it wasn't major players they bumped off and so their attack might not have been justified.

The story was in The Times yesterday by someone called Jerome Satrkey with details off the  findings inside


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: Geo the Sarge on February 26, 2010, 11:29:03 PM
OMG are you saying innocent people might die in a war!! Who'd have thought.

There are reasons why the Afghan war could be seen as unnecessary, but because the military might make mistakes isn't one of them.

Of course it would be good if any war where any mistakes might be made instantly stopped - but it's just as feasible as achieving world peace by any other means


And the difference with terrorism is that in war civilians aren't deliberately targeted - when they die in a war it's a mistake, rather than the aim.

Bit harsh imo Jon, of course we know that innocents will be killed in any conflict.

Phil is merely pointing out the manner and frequency it seems to be happening and personally I agree. As Tank says, one of the events highlighted may not be quite as cut and dried as some potray but there have been too many instances that have been very poor examples of decision making/Gun Ho-ness

Geo


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: thetank on February 26, 2010, 11:50:06 PM
Fair enough bobby, I hadn't read that one.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/afghanistan/article7040166.ece

Nato’s statement, issued four days after the event, said that troops were attacked “from several buildings” as they entered the village. Yesterday it said that “ultimately, we did determine this to be a civilian casualty incident”.


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: bobby1 on February 27, 2010, 01:23:17 AM
Fair enough bobby, I hadn't read that one.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/afghanistan/article7040166.ece

Nato’s statement, issued four days after the event, said that troops were attacked “from several buildings” as they entered the village. Yesterday it said that “ultimately, we did determine this to be a civilian casualty incident”.


Thats what sits so badly Tank. John mentioned of course civilians will be killed in a war and thats true but these deaths are fundamentaly wrong  in every way.

The intelligence is wrong leading to children being shot dead. Then the lies from high office to cover up these deaths are wrong and even the pathetic compensation amounts are wrong.

How must it look to the Afghan people, we say we ar there to protect them and help build the country into a safe place, yet we have killed 60 civilians in a month and tried to cover the incidents up. To the Afghans we mist look like criminals, how else can it look when buses are being bombed and kids are being gunned down?



Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: bobby1 on March 02, 2010, 12:26:03 AM
Just read the article. Obviously you cannot condone killing of civilians; Gen McChrystals COIN policy is drummed into our guys all the way through the chain of command. As it states in the article, he has stated that NATO risks strategic defeat if we do not cut down on the civilian death toll...

That said I would be very careful on passing judgement on the strength of the article. It is simply too ambigious. We have unnamed NATO 'sources' (not always reliable), Afghan officials and Police chiefs (DEFINITELY not reliable), denials of involvement, compensation forms (currency in themselves), the list goes on. AND - on the flipside, you do get kids of this age fighting/handling weapons/devices. See what comes out in the wash - as with everything in Afghanistan, nothing is quite what it seems - and the waters are always extremely murky.

If I were to give some advice to people in the UK watching the news, it is to remember that Afghanistan is NOTHING like the UK. Corruption (as we know it) is not necassarily seen as a crime - more a way of life. Individuals highest loyalties are not necessarily to their country, their employer, their religion - their biggest loyalty is usually to their tribe. This is why corruption is so pervasive, the border with PAK is so porous (many don't even recognise the border) and Insurgents move easily between shelters...

To really understand the place, you need to visit but also undertake some reading on its history and culture. The complexity of the place will have you tearing your hair out.  I thought the Balkans was bad all those years ago, but they have nothing on these guys...

all the best mate


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: ACE2M on March 02, 2010, 11:45:58 AM
Just read the article. Obviously you cannot condone killing of civilians; Gen McChrystals COIN policy is drummed into our guys all the way through the chain of command. As it states in the article, he has stated that NATO risks strategic defeat if we do not cut down on the civilian death toll...

That said I would be very careful on passing judgement on the strength of the article. It is simply too ambigious. We have unnamed NATO 'sources' (not always reliable), Afghan officials and Police chiefs (DEFINITELY not reliable), denials of involvement, compensation forms (currency in themselves), the list goes on. AND - on the flipside, you do get kids of this age fighting/handling weapons/devices. See what comes out in the wash - as with everything in Afghanistan, nothing is quite what it seems - and the waters are always extremely murky.

If I were to give some advice to people in the UK watching the news, it is to remember that Afghanistan is NOTHING like the UK. Corruption (as we know it) is not necassarily seen as a crime - more a way of life. Individuals highest loyalties are not necessarily to their country, their employer, their religion - their biggest loyalty is usually to their tribe. This is why corruption is so pervasive, the border with PAK is so porous (many don't even recognise the border) and Insurgents move easily between shelters...

To really understand the place, you need to visit but also undertake some reading on its history and culture. The complexity of the place will have you tearing your hair out.  I thought the Balkans was bad all those years ago, but they have nothing on these guys...

all the best mate

+1


Title: Re: Another Falklands war?
Post by: thetank on March 02, 2010, 12:56:47 PM
darn good post there from jjandellis