blonde poker forum

Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: EvilPie on April 28, 2010, 11:32:38 PM



Title: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: EvilPie on April 28, 2010, 11:32:38 PM
Just after a general line check on this hand particularly the river. What does my line look like? Will I get called by worse if I shove?

Oppo has raised pretty much every button, co or hj and has triple barrelled an ak5 rainbow board with air previously. Generally spewey so I'm after his stack.

PokerStars Game #43325961735: Tournament #266068751, $15.00+$1.50 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (25/50) - 2010/04/28 22:54:39 WET [2010/04/28 17:54:39 ET]
Table '266068751 33' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: hero (2880 in chips)
Seat 2: 1T1ME4THEK1D (6245 in chips)
Seat 3: SeeYouAnte18 (13645 in chips)
Seat 4: 8_Lysergid_8 (3670 in chips)
Seat 5: roilfudge (5915 in chips)
Seat 6: 12eeDe12 (3885 in chips)
Seat 7: Glenhar (3105 in chips)
Seat 8: predy66 (2530 in chips)
Seat 9: Cowboy_Dubar (4800 in chips)
hero: posts small blind 25
1T1ME4THEK1D: posts big blind 50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to hero [Jc Ac]
SeeYouAnte18 has timed out
SeeYouAnte18: folds
SeeYouAnte18 is sitting out
8_Lysergid_8: folds
roilfudge: folds
SeeYouAnte18 has returned
12eeDe12: folds
Glenhar: folds
predy66: folds
Cowboy_Dubar: raises 100 to 150
hero: calls 125
1T1ME4THEK1D: folds
*** FLOP *** [9h 9c 3c]
hero: checks
Cowboy_Dubar: bets 225
hero: calls 225
*** TURN *** [9h 9c 3c] [6c]
hero: checks
Cowboy_Dubar: checks
*** RIVER *** [9h 9c 3c 6c] [4h]
hero: bets 350
Cowboy_Dubar: raises 700 to 1050
hero: ?


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: AlexMartin on April 29, 2010, 01:07:39 AM
call


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: boldie on April 29, 2010, 09:54:11 AM
Call would be fine for me, he's not going to call you with rubbish if you push..though he could of course call with a worse flush. (KQc?)...as long as you don't fold, it's all gold.


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: BulldozerD on April 29, 2010, 10:06:27 AM
call, but would consider c/r flop also


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: the rage on April 29, 2010, 10:56:56 AM
from your description of villian, and the way the hand has played out so far, i can't see him having a flush or a 9. I think that his most likely holding is a pocket pair, which may, or, may not have turned into a full house by the river. Of course he could have sweet FA too. I would call.


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: pleno1 on April 29, 2010, 11:51:51 AM
call


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: jezza777 on April 29, 2010, 12:52:58 PM
With the line you have taken I  think I jam this as he can call with bare 9 and worse flushes. I hate your line in this in general tho.


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: kinboshi on April 29, 2010, 02:19:34 PM
I really can't see what he could possibly have that beats you.  So, I think I shove the river and he might call with a worse flush.  But I'm a donk.


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: marcin123 on April 29, 2010, 03:57:08 PM
i'm always calling,,, never raising... no point raising don't think i'm getting called by worse often enough...


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: MANTIS01 on April 29, 2010, 05:12:21 PM
If your plan is to get spewy villain's stack I would take a more aggressive line on the flop. You can level him that you don't have a 9 and he can put dead money in thinking your bluffing. As long as you get the last raise in you still have FE imo and anyway how unhappy are you getting it in vs his spewy range on this flop? I don't know what turn and river cards are going to increase your chances of getting his stack.


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: GreekStein on April 29, 2010, 05:35:36 PM
If he's a spewbox / bad and barrelling off this early etc then I'm happy for you to jam here. Against 95% of oppos I do a cawl. Not sure how accurate your description of him is, but you'll know best and if it is what you say it is then...

I think a lot of the time he will have no hand and fold.

I think some of the time he will have a hand that he just cant fold (for this guy that might be like 88+, random 9's and flushes).

A very small % of the time he will have a boat.


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: gatso on April 29, 2010, 09:44:18 PM
I really can't see what he could possibly have that beats you.

you might want to pm tank. he's got hold of a list of the hand rankings

I call pretty much all the time here


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: boldie on April 30, 2010, 09:22:02 AM
I really can't see what he could possibly have that beats you.

you might want to pm tank. he's got hold of a list of the hand rankings

rotflmfao


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: ACE2M on April 30, 2010, 05:54:04 PM
I really can't see what he could possibly have that beats you.

you might want to pm tank. he's got hold of a list of the hand rankings

rotflmfao

+1


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: ChipRich on May 02, 2010, 03:35:06 AM
call


Title: Re: Nut flush on paired board
Post by: MC on May 03, 2010, 07:49:32 PM
I really can't see what he could possibly have that beats you.

you might want to pm tank. he's got hold of a list of the hand rankings

I call pretty much all the time here

LOL com

However Kin kinda has a point, hard to put him on a full house.

Problem is it's hard to put him on a strong flush type hand either. Only plausible non-flush hand that might pay you off is an overpair.

Anyway, I'd say it's a call and expect him to have not very much or 44...