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I was going to do a bit write up but I forgot this starts tomorrow and not in the best of moods as just busted the GUKPT.

Anyway, after picking a 9/1 winner and a 7/1 finalist last year I thought i'd start with the Womens and also with a but on a confession.  I picked someone out a few weeks back and was going to post but forgot all about it.  This years comp is so different to last years.  Safina who got to the final is still struggling with her back issues and it seems to have had a knock on effect to her confidence.  She doesnt anything like her former self and the same can be said for last years winner Kuznetsova.  I wouldnt trust her at the moment to win one round let alone the tourney, so ive crossed them off straight away.

Serena on clay isnt a pretty site, however she could beat anyone but this is by far is least favourite service.  She is 6/1 and thats a reasonable price for her and being the top seed she does have a reasonable draw.  Justine Henin would be my choice until I saw her price.  She is best priced 5/2 and that has drifted from 2/1 best price 2 weeks ago.  For someone still on the come back trail I cant be backing her at that price.  She is seeded 22nd and I know you have to beat everyone to win the comp but she is stuck in the middle of the draw and will have a lot of tough matches.

The one im really interested in is Aravine Rezai.  Not many will have heard of her but I have mentioned her in a few previous tourney write ups as a wild outsider.  This girl hits the ball hardest on tour, bar none.  The way she gets her body through every shot is so impressive and there is simply no one that can handle her hitting .......... if it stays in.  Now sadly she won a comp 2 weeks back beating Venus Williams in the final and therefore her price has tumbled.  Skybet very kindly offered me £25 at 80/1 EW and another £25 @ 66/1 EW and ive just checked her price and am amazxed she is now 20/1 best price with Skybet and 888Sport.  She has quite a basic serve but importantly doesnt really bottle the 2nd serve like a lot of the female tennis players do.  She is solid on her shots and is monsterous of both wings.  I thing the win of Venus will be a big boost for her confidence and could see her going well.  She has an amazing draw in the bottom half.  She breeze into the 3rd round where she faces a tricky game against Nadia Petrova and then the winner plays Venus and hopefully Rezai could repeat her performance.  The one thing I havent mentioned is that she is French.  The French crowd are possibly the most unsporting of the 4 majors and simply wont stop cheering or the mexican wave till their ready too ....... and even then they give themselves an annoying clap after.  I think they would possibly stop this for Rezai and realy let her concentrate and they really could help get her over the line by getting on the back of her oppoents.

Of the other top players, Jankovic probably would be the most competition here.  She moves well on the clay and has a decent game but tends to all away at the majors.  Venus doesnt look overly coomfortable in the last few months on clay.  The other player who could possibly do well is Li Na @ 80/1 but I want to see how she starts off before backing her.

Womens:-

Rezai @ 80/1  1/2 point
Rezai @ 66/1 1/2 point
S. Williams @ 6/1 1 Point
N. Petrova @ 100/1 1/4 point


As for the mens, well everyone has their own opinion on Rafa but @ 2/5 I cant say im too interested.  Yes, he is incredibly good on Clay and should walk it but at 2/5 with his dodgy knees and other recent niggles im gonna try to get a bit priced outsider into the final.  Off the imediate names that come to mind, Roderling, Federer and Gulbis are all in the same quarter and then are joined by Tsonga in the same half.  Although Murray has a horrid opener he does have a very soft 1/4 although I would back him with anyone money at the French.  

Im going to have a little stab at Tsonga.  He is seeded 8 and has a pretty soft draw where he may face players like Robredo (past it), Garcia-Lopez (too inconsistent, prefers it quicker), and Youzhny (doesnt like clay).  Tsonga should get to the 1/4's to face the winner of the Murray section and then go on to face Federer or whoever knocks Federer out.  I wouldnt really fancy Tsonga chance against Fed but at 125/1 im willing to take the chance and then lay my stake back.

Novak Djokovic has the easiest draw of all the top seeds and is somehow still 20/1.  He may face Rafa in the semis but Novak has beaten Rafa before on clay and does seem to cause him problems.  Rafa also has a tough draw with Verdasco and Almagro in the same 1/4 of the draw.  Should they meet in the semis Novak could cause an upset and at 20/1 is worth a stab.

Mens:

Djokovic @ 20/1 2 Points
Tsonga @ 125/1 1 point EW

Good post, i like the Djokovic value shout.

I don't have your imagination and cant really see past Rafael and Justine.

Just gona trade matches  :)

Rafa I cant see past either but I just think at 2/5 there is an excuse to swerve him.

As for Justine I only think she is so short because no one else stands out.  I dont think her price is reflective on her actual chances.

Possibly the worst tourney for betting in a long time but quite confident Rezai can give me a good sweat.

eh?

Petrova currently 100s on BF? or is that meant to be Jankovic at 11s?

Sorry missed the 0 off, meant to be 110/1

Nice spot

1st seed going down

Azarenka, seeded 10, who a lot were saying had an outside shot here is down 6:1 4:1 at moment and looking like heading out.

Rezai through, looked good winning 6:1 6:1

Another seed gone, Martinez Sanchez, who was 1/33 to win today has gone.

Got on Tsonga at 1.95 during the 5th set :)

Tsonga scrapes through in 5 sets

Murray being very Scottish at the moment...

Captain?

This could be a long game

:D

Not the one with Murray in if he keeps on putting it into the net like that...

Although saying that, he's started playing a bit more like a Brit...

GTFO Safina!!

Lost to a 39 yr old lmao

This lad whos playing Nadal is v good

One of the up n coming youngsters coming out of the French Academy.  Lost in final here last year in the juniors comp and also was looking good for a big run at the American before he got injured.

Sigh, im on Rafa -12.5, 6-1 here please

Does anything know anything about this guy Chela (playing Murray now) on Clay? Murray after his marathon vs Gasquet looks short... 1.13/1.14 at the moment...

Just took me 5mins to realise I was watching a replay of Murray vs Gasquet and not Murray's live game today, ;marks;

murray has spanked him comprehensively twice quite recently

Just crept down to 1.11/1.12...  i'm laying to trade... he'll probably smash it but gives me something to do. 1.12 is a good enough price to chance muzza getting a bad start imo.

Murray smashed him when he use to strugle on clay and should smash in today.

Im going for something like 6:3 6:2 6:2

Kuznetsova struggling, set down

Rezai, 1 set all and break up in 3rd.

Rezai stats so far, an amazing 66 winners but a very worrying 42 unforced errors, but that is her game.

Rezai through 6:3 in 3rd set

Petrova through

Rezai now plays Petrova, so atleast got one through to the 1/4's

Just watched the replay of the Monfils match from last night. Late late last night. One of the most ridiculous things I've ever seen.

yeah, this was totally absurd.

When they went to the real view of how dark it actually was, and now the view to make it look decent for us viewers was totally ridic. Couldn't believe how dark it was and how they continued to let them play on!

Fyp

Have had a £1 on Reister to beat Federer @ 75 - just feel that Fed is there for the taking in the early rounds on clay so hoping for a bit of a sweat  ;)

GTFO Kuznetsova - knew you would win last yr and crap this year.

Rezai and Petrova 7:7 in final set gone off for bad light.  Awesome match.

Henin is out wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

Looking awesome now in the Womens.  Serena at 6/1 is now at 11/8 fave and Petrova was 100/1 and after stuffing Venus is now 7/1.  Huge pay day coming!!

nice one blatch
i am bored in the bookies today so am trading my 1st tennis match. just backed youhzny at 5.0
so exciting
alex
its nearly as good as 1/2/4 PLO on the p1ss!!!!

wiiiiiiiiiiii gl

Sadly Petrova lost in3 sets to Dementieva

greened up £1.80 or £2.00

any chance of a job??

Federer 2-1 down vs Soderling.

Come on Robin.

Like your reference to I.A.S.I.P in your sig, I pulled a minor wildcard manoeuvre myself recently, just knocked all my mates drinks and legged it after declaring Wildcard bitttches first ofc.I enjoyed it anyway!

hahaha, nice work.

Need to get more ppl watching IASIP, its so so good.

Yup I've converted a couple of mates of mine, but no one seems to know about it, which is crazy considering its brill.

Cracking match. One hell of a rally during the third set that was just one incredible shot after another.

Oooh, Soderling serving for the match.  The way he's been serving, it's his for the taking.

yup, dnt bottle it plz.

hes only gone and done it.

WP Soderling. 

23 Major semi-finals in a row for Feder - shows what an immense player he is, and what Soderling has just achieved.

Wow Wp Soderling, big big hitting very Impressive

See he's playing Berdych next if they both play there best that will be a very hard hitting affair, could be a cracker

yeah, should be incred.

BH has Berdych to win it pre torn at 300ish. I greened out some of my bet on Djokovic for the torn and put it on Soderling at 27s midway thru the 3rd set during the rain delay today.

gl me and [  ] Bh in semis. lol.

All i can say is i hope it finishes a draw.