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I'm in good shape going in to tonight, thanks to backing Azerbaijan at 11-2 and laying off at 6-4 on bettyfair.
Anyone else play this in-running? Best night's IR action of the year imo.

Unf Azerbaijain have landed the coffin box and will be first up. I'm no major believer in Eurovision trends (Norway would have won from the one slot last year) but recent history suggests it's very hard to win singing first.

I reckon there'll be a very easy trade here. At the moment Azerbaijan are around the 3.8 mark. It's an obv contender so I'm expecting the price to contract while she's on stage and will be looking to lay at around 3.2. An hour afterwards the price should be back to around 4 imo. It's a plan anyway.

UK to finish last at around 6-4 is money in the bank I feel.

No, it would mean I actually have to watch it..........

Totally agree it's like printing money in running.

Haven't set out my plan yet for trades but will do some research later on and most likely go from there.

Ive already snagged some early value on denmark@20s-now 16s and turkey@33s-now 12s. I also took some 12s on israel which hasn't moved much and russia@33s to place in the top 4 and outright at 190s...which is now 240 odd...ahem.

As these were all small punts i'll probably just leaves these as fun bets, whilst taking the trading more seriously.

Hopefully win a vegas roll from all this!

If I had a clue, I'd have a few quid on it.  May follow the Azerbaijain tip and lay as she's singing.

Nice one for starting things off Chompster. I'm due to go to a drinking-game-Eurovision night tonight, might bring the credit card and laptop with me if it's as easy as you say to trade.

So you're basically saying that there is a lot of short-sighted money on these markets IP, and that I should be laying while they sing and then backing back later? Or was that just with Azerbijan as they're first up?

Any outsiders worth a few quid? Has a 100+/1 shot ever won before? I've hardly watched EV before, isn't it just neighbouring countries voting for each other? 

Best song always wins, despite what everyone believes about political voting.
The market is rarely wrong these days. It's been up for months and all rehearsals are available on youtube. Ergo, outsiders can be ignored imo.
Not like the old days. Denmark were backed from 100-1 into 5-2 on the night when they won it around the turn of the decade.
Azer is my only pre-planned trade. Just trust your opinions Greg, this is the most fun IR market EVER.

(http://www.smileyvault.com/albums/basic/smileyvault-blink.gif)

Sweet. Will you be online throughout Chompy-foxtrot-tango-echo-golf-lima-octapus-up ?

I like making money, would appreciate your advice as I've never sat through a whole Eurovision before. And i'll be drunk.

Will be on this thread throughout the whole shebang sir. Chances are 90% of what I do will be during the voting stage but will put my thoughts up for those what is interested.

Was 2 lazy to do much research and have just plled in following u here chomps, backed azerbajjan on outrights hoping to lay off at 3.2. Will do most trading later in voting stage.

It annoys me when these countries sing in English!

I'd bail at 3.5 odd Dom, pretty unimpressive stuff and only gonna drift

Lol-now i know why i rarely trade anymore, i change my opinion too quickly.

Started off thinking wow she's a complete hottie, that opinion didn't really change.

However i did initially think the song started off ok, but then became rather boring and said hottie's voice weakened dramatically imo.

Betfair seemed to agree as altho it dropped to 3.4 it soon rose to 3.75. I got out around 3.6 and have now laid them with a view to greening out later at a much larger price. i don't see azer winning.

Moldova 80's act rocked.

Norway would get 0 points if it was held held there this year. That guy was awful.

Backing Denmark, just a punt in the hope the price will come down a bit.

Meh, I was just thinking Moldova is a jigger for finishing last if I could nick some 20-odd. Drawn four and completely forgetable imo.
I'll back Azer again when and if they hit 4.2.
Can't have Denmark Silo, catchy but kinda dated.

Doh!  Will try and get out for less that I'm in for then :D  Ta

Thoughts on Israel?   Just looking at acts that have been around 5-7 or so and are currently trading at 15-20.   Guess actually watching some of them would be an idea.

Quite like this Belgium one, nice song

Israel is wayyyyyyy too depressing. It's a good song but he doesn't sell it imo.
Azer have now hit 4.3 but I'm gonna sit tight for now. Won't be coming back in for the time being. Will trade at 4.6.
What you done with Azer Greg?

LOLZ at the snowball Eurovision market, Azer is now getting towards a crazy price. Half traded back at 4.6, will see where the market goes in the next ten mins and then re-think.
A lot of the quality is still to come and not impossible Azer could hit something stupid like 6.

Lump your mortgage on Serbia getting nil points. Not even their neighbours can vote for that.

lol was thinking the same.  If I had more money and did larger bets, I think I'd quite happily  lay them at 90 odd

LOL at the butterflies

Sack the Belarus hair stylist.

Pay rise for the costume designer.

Got me good those things popping out

Come back Johnny Logan, all is forgiven.

Greece clearly going for the gay vote this year.

Are Germany any good?  Their price has come right in, down to 3.3 atm

Go the UK!!!!!
If only Pete Waterman could build a time machine to go with his shit song and Astley-alike, and take us back to 1988, we'd walk it.

All bets held on Germany until the performance. Nice, quirky song and an obv winner if she pulls it off but the rehearsal suggests she could be all or nothing.

Bring back Jemini all is forgiven.

FYP

Why did the UK select a socially awkward teenager, two guys doing dad dancing and drag out three woman from a dodgy massage parlour. Nil points.

This

Ive tied up the following after only 8 songs:

Belguim = £35.20
Norway = £78.80
Bosnia Herzegovina = £43.72
Serbia = -£8 Loss, cos it was shite and i couldn't get all my money out in time!

roll on the rest

Turkey would be contenders if the strobe lighting hasn't made half of Europe pass out.

Did Ireland sing yet? Any good?

I am a cock and tried to be too greedy, i now have 3 songs i cant get out off, so if Norway, Greece or UK win, i stand to win £1,000+!!

Only way out now, is for some 12 pointer's to fly their way, and im out!

Never try to be too greedy or you'll ruin a winning formula!

Yes & No

Damn, they should entered  "my lovely horse"

Dave, I'll give you 5,000-1 on Norway, Greece or UK winning. There's a better chance of all three getting nil points.

This is not going well.

I laid Azer and backed them back chomp... currently losing a small amount, hoping to green them later.

Please give me something coming up to lump on then lay to save my book. I'm drinking more because I'm losing and getting more desperate. FFS I spend all day at work trading these markets and I've hardly got a thing right so far :(.

Big liability on Ireland due to a mistrade and panic bet. Decent on Israel, Turkey and Armenia.

They did enter a horse in a dodgy purple dress.

How please?
No more obvo trades left imo unless you want to take an early opinion into the Germany performance.

If, let's say, I were to proclaim this my favourite day of the year because of the IR action on Eurovision and Cartmel in-between times, would that make me sad?

Go on France!

Only due to other bets. Laid at 3.75, backed at 4.5.

I quite liked Romania's David Guest & Sarah Brightman in a catsuit combo.

get germany laid @ 3.8

Graham Norton said Russia got booed when they qualified, why, is it just because it's really shit ?

lol Diceman, on form tonight :D    They were woeful, and really cheesy too.

Helloooo Armenia!!

Hello Armenia....

I was enjoying until the other lady in the tight dress turned up!

Armenia got some loving with that opening downward shot of that ladies ample cleavage :)

I believe the Russia song is a messaround. The lead singer is a bit of a comedian by all accounts. The Euro purists always boo these.

Just booking my summer holiday to Armenia.

via Germany. ;)

Oooh, that wasn't great Lena

I would lay the German entry at the earliest opportunity.

Germany with a massive drift there and unfortunatley, Azerbaijan has come right in.  Not good news for me.

yassssssssssssss

back them back at 5.0!!

also azer now 3.35!, shouldnt have sat on it sigh!

Despite what I said about Denmark earlier, it's in a great spot being after this depressing Israel number. Tis upbeat at least.
I'm backing now and will try to lay back at 12 mid-song.

Surely a winning song, quite like this.

Aaaargh, he coughed that opening line up completely. Bailed straight away for levelz.

They were a lot better in the semis

Why is Spain going again?  Missd what they said about it

Spain could keep playing all night, they still won't score...

By the way, BBC on sky digital is the same speed as BBC terrestrial. Last year there was at least a two-second difference between digital and terrestial. Their racing coverage has been the same of late too. Don't know why.

Spain for a second time. Somethings grow on you the more you hear them but Spain's song is like an STD, it just get's more irritating.

I'm in need of listening to some decent singers, I'm of to youtube Andrea Bocelli.

ZOMG, Denmark has now collapsed to 11. Got that one right, then so wrong, fml

People didn't believe they could be that bad so they were given a second chance. As they say you should always go with your first impression.

fyp

Laid off Denmark at 11.5, shame I missed out on 9's but grateful to not make a loss.   Only Azerbaijan will cause me a loss now, green everywhere else - more luck than anything

Turkey for me. Romania as an outside bet.

Dear God, Azerbaijan now at less than 3!

Worth laying again or should I just accept my losses?

Armenia and France for me (obv only watched the snippets)

Azer my best result at the moment by far, Israel the only loser, rest all green, wiiiiiiiii

Sure it'll all change as usual though

Poor Isreal, they keep showing a clip where he murdered a note

 ;envious;

can someone tell me who's going to win please so i can lump

Imo azer are way too short here, laid some more.

OMG, Just realised it's in HD!!


like this, hope so

I've just decided to add going to a Eurovision song contest live event to my list of 100 things to do before I die. It's pure comedy genius.

Go on admit it, I bet your dancing :)

Loved the romanian act tonight but not because of the song.

Right now i'm loving my bet on denmark@20s and also thought russia's song was quirky enough to have an outside chance of a place.

Really can't understand azer's price.

tempting, great fun!

Top-class intermission act, wp Norway imo.
Fastes-finger first then for when the votes come in from that first jury.
If it's the same as last year they'll stick the 1-6 point acts up without calling them by name, and then give the 7, 8, 10, 12 pint jobbies out.

Next time we win this thing I am going to the final the year after, no doubt.

Has to be an away trip, ideally to some eastern european country. Or if Armenia win this year I'm going just to get a fron row seat of that young ladies cleavage.

Admit it Mr & Mrs Silo were dancing :)

My shouts Turkey & Moldova have started well.

lol

Wouldn't be ashamed to admit it :D

pleased with belgium and denmark bets, regretting laying denmark at 11.5 now!

German tottie is doing well.

12 points for Serbia WFT.

Note for next year, if my price drops to around evens after the first couple of votes, lay it off!!

:)

Was hoping Greece win.

That way they have to host it next year, finish off the countrys economy for good lololol

Had to lay Germany at 1.1, with over half the results still to come in, worth a punt

Last LMAO.

Yikes! That was a lot of hard work to clear a bag of sand. How'd anyone else get on?
Took a chunk out of Azer to finish top four at 1.5 after they'd picked up 3pts from the first two juries. Otherwise it would have been a loss.

omg that was mental. next year i'll be prepared for the voting trading. Denmark at evens by the 5th results or something... I lost but i'm reasonably happy not to do my bollocks.

Didn't Denmark get 12pts from both the first two juries? Standard over-reaction there. Same happened with Russia a few years ago.
Told you it was fun, wiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

Amazing how i've managed to make a loss on this.

I copped both turkey and denmark ew bets.

Then i greened out nicely on my azer lay early on in the voting.

But i took a big position on laying germany at 1.08 when there were still 25 odd countries to vote, then waded back in at 1.16.

Never greened it up and ended up with a largish loss.

Thats me done with trading for the moment, i am just not cut out for it.

Printing money i said and a vegas roll. More like throwing away hard earned and a roll not even large enough for a hot dog.

Wd chomps, knew ud get the lot as usual m8, mbn to be so good at gambling...bar the poker of crse! :)

Check out the Albanian and Ukrainian families

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wsuPqiCjyag