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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: GreekStein on June 12, 2010, 09:15:47 PM



Title: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: GreekStein on June 12, 2010, 09:15:47 PM
Full Tilt Poker Game #21565009963: $24 + $2 Sit & Go (166352719), Table 3 - 300/600 - No Limit Hold'em - 16:01:11 ET - 2010/06/12
Seat 1: Richardyos (7,772)
Seat 2: xandengas (5,240)
Seat 3: king mullet (5,172)
Seat 4: Cmkons (11,553)
Seat 5: kostas1989 (3,966)
Seat 6: GreekStein (9,453)
Seat 7: Flash_back1 (24,344)
Flash_back1 posts the small blind of 300
Richardyos posts the big blind of 600
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to GreekStein [Ts Tc]
xandengas folds
king mullet folds
Cmkons folds
kostas1989 folds
GreekStein raises to 1,500
Flash_back1 raises to 24,344, and is all in
Richardyos folds
GreekStein...................


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Ironside on June 12, 2010, 09:20:46 PM
not sure i call this

your hoping he turns up with a pp< TT

but i think your racing at best

then again really depends if you have any reads
and if you think he is going to be a bully with 2x stack of 2nd spot

how many till bubble?


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: GreekStein on June 12, 2010, 09:27:55 PM
ya sorry forgot to say, 45man sit n go, so 6 places paid.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Ironside on June 12, 2010, 09:34:21 PM
think the idea here to get the chips in first or get into the cash first then gamble

dont think i want to call off my stack on the bubble when you can get your buy in back then gamble for the win


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Doobs on June 12, 2010, 09:49:17 PM
This is why you just shove your entire range, but there isn't a chance in hell I am folding something this good.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: George2Loose on June 12, 2010, 09:54:05 PM
Pretty sure you should be shoving here


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Ironside on June 12, 2010, 09:55:48 PM
yeah i have no problem with shoving

but i dont call the way its been played

would love to see longys icm thingymyjig


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: GreekStein on June 12, 2010, 09:56:35 PM
Pretty sure you should be shoving here

yeh possibly, kinda wanted to raise to induce. i called.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Ironside on June 12, 2010, 09:57:12 PM
Pretty sure you should be shoving here

yeh possibly, kinda wanted to raise to induce. i called.

and bubbled?


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: pleno1 on June 12, 2010, 09:57:41 PM
def call now.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: GreekStein on June 12, 2010, 10:00:57 PM
Pretty sure you should be shoving here

yeh possibly, kinda wanted to raise to induce. i called.

and bubbled?

yup!


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Ironside on June 12, 2010, 10:02:19 PM
you think he would of passed if you shoved?

ie was it a cold deck?


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: mondatoo on June 12, 2010, 11:27:58 PM
ICM this is a fold,I sigh fold here


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Girgy85 on June 12, 2010, 11:31:17 PM
Cos what would u do in a $3.30 game?


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: GreekStein on June 12, 2010, 11:45:47 PM
Cos what would u do in a $3.30 game?

done exactly the same bud


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: GreekStein on June 12, 2010, 11:47:07 PM
he had 33 and flopped a set.



Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: George2Loose on June 13, 2010, 12:25:55 AM
ICM this is a fold,I sigh fold here

shove pre tho right?


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Ironside on June 13, 2010, 01:58:39 AM
i still stick to shove pre

as played fold


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: EvilPie on June 13, 2010, 02:17:22 AM
What did oppo have Cos? Was this a cooler or just a bad beat?


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: GreekStein on June 13, 2010, 02:28:07 AM
What did oppo have Cos? Was this a cooler or just a bad beat?

he had 3's. Was going to post regardless of result though because I felt I was raising to induce from the blinds and when the big stack shipped I didn't actually snap, which I always do when I'm inducing obv.

Just couldn't take that the big stack was trying to exploit me and I know I'm well ahead of his range. Obv I can get into the money if I just fold but if I call and win here (when I'm likely to be significantly ahead or flipping) I'm pretty much a lock to finish in the top one or two spots.

I'm really not sure I like shoving though. Can someone explain a bit more as to why I'd shove? People don't peel in these but they might reshove worse as well as better (which is going in anyway) so isn't it better to give them the chance to do that?


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: NoflopsHomer on June 13, 2010, 03:06:11 AM
Raise call looks absolutely fine here.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: mondatoo on June 13, 2010, 10:13:44 AM
ICM this is a fold,I sigh fold here

shove pre tho right?

Ye with these stack sizes I would've just jammed pre


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: AlexMartin on June 14, 2010, 04:03:56 AM
in a 45man comp SURELY betcall is gonna have a much higher expectation than open jam against opponents that can think. I mean sod doing the math on it but id be astounded if someone could prove otherwise.



Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: GreekStein on June 14, 2010, 08:10:45 AM
in a 45man comp SURELY betcall is gonna have a much higher expectation than open jam against opponents that can think. I mean sod doing the math on it but id be astounded if someone could prove otherwise.



really like to hear more views on this and why the sng guys like monda just jam because I follow the same line of thought as Alex/Flops here


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: the rage on June 14, 2010, 10:16:59 AM
It's an interesting question. I'm going for the shove pre-flop as being the best choice. My thinking is that the possible gain in equity that you acheive by inducing your opponent to shove with hands that you are way ahead of, such as 33, doesn't compensate for the fact that the moment your opponent shoves, all of your equity is at risk. 
By raising, and inducing a shove, you are still only slightly better than 6 to 4 favourite against his likely shoving range. So, by shoving pre-flop, you may reduce the variance, without damaging your equity too much. Dont know if that makes any sense. Thought i'd have a go as these TT type hands give me a lot of trouble too. :)


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: EvilPie on June 14, 2010, 12:08:36 PM
Personally I just jam this.

QQ / KK / AA I raise call but TT is a jam for me.

There's so many easy chips to be won from jamming that you don't need to be raise calling and giving yourself decisions.

Also there's a risk of some fish calling from his 6bb stack then shoving the K high flop. Obviously you call thinking he's clearly not got AK or KQ only to be shown K3o


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Longy on June 14, 2010, 01:07:14 PM
Pretty sure I raise to 1500 and call this off in a button vs blind situation. We have over 15bigs I am not a fan of shoving, even though it is almost certainly +ev. I think raise/call or even raise/fold against a nit with a similar stack has a more ++ev outcome.

If this was a bubble of a 9man, yeah maybe folding is good, but in a 45 man the structure is a lot more top heavy esp on tilt. That doubling up here is deffo of value to us.

Also constantly shoving 15bbs if your a reg in these games is deffo going to diminsh your +ev opportunities in the future.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: NoflopsHomer on June 14, 2010, 01:16:05 PM
Also there's a risk of some fish calling from his 6bb stack then shoving the K high flop. Obviously you call thinking he's clearly not got AK or KQ only to be shown K3o

We sure want K-3 to fold pre.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: MC on June 14, 2010, 01:16:20 PM
Yeah, not folding this blind on blind

Might go for a limp/re-shove line here sometimes...


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: mondatoo on June 14, 2010, 01:32:54 PM
Yeah, not folding this blind on blind

Might go for a limp/re-shove line here sometimes...

It's not bvb,ICM this is a fold yeah ?? 1010 is deifinitely my decision line but it's a sigh fold for me if it's a reg,I probably call if it's a donk.If this is a reg the only hand in his range we are ahead is 99,his range would be 99+ AQ+ AJs+ for a normal reg,i really think we can let this go in this spot.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Longy on June 14, 2010, 01:48:15 PM
Yeah, not folding this blind on blind

Might go for a limp/re-shove line here sometimes...

It's not bvb,ICM this is a fold yeah ?? 1010 is deifinitely my decision line but it's a sigh fold for me if it's a reg,I probably call if it's a donk.If this is a reg the only hand in his range we are ahead is 99,his range would be 99+ AQ+ AJs+ for a normal reg,i really think we can let this go in this spot.

I don't agree with this, if a reg opens the button near the bubble and i am in the sb with a monster stack. I am reshoving a hell of a lot wider than that, for reasons very much outlined in this thread that people would fold 10's here making a reshove very profitable.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: mondatoo on June 14, 2010, 01:57:34 PM
Yeah, not folding this blind on blind

Might go for a limp/re-shove line here sometimes...

It's not bvb,ICM this is a fold yeah ?? 1010 is deifinitely my decision line but it's a sigh fold for me if it's a reg,I probably call if it's a donk.If this is a reg the only hand in his range we are ahead is 99,his range would be 99+ AQ+ AJs+ for a normal reg,i really think we can let this go in this spot.

I don't agree with this, if a reg opens the button near the bubble and i am in the sb with a monster stack. I am reshoving a hell of a lot wider than that, for reasons very much outlined in this thread that people would fold 10's here making a reshove very profitable.

Yeah you would because your good,most the regs aren't that good to see this as an exploitable spot,imo.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: GreekStein on June 14, 2010, 01:58:25 PM
Yeah, not folding this blind on blind

Might go for a limp/re-shove line here sometimes...

It's not bvb,ICM this is a fold yeah ?? 1010 is deifinitely my decision line but it's a sigh fold for me if it's a reg,I probably call if it's a donk.If this is a reg the only hand in his range we are ahead is 99,his range would be 99+ AQ+ AJs+ for a normal reg,i really think we can let this go in this spot.

I don't agree with this, if a reg opens the button near the bubble and i am in the sb with a monster stack. I am reshoving a hell of a lot wider than that, for reasons very much outlined in this thread that people would fold 10's here making a reshove very profitable.

Yeah you would because your good,most the regs aren't that good to see this as an exploitable spot.

?!?!

Beg to differ.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: mondatoo on June 14, 2010, 02:12:23 PM
Yeah, not folding this blind on blind

Might go for a limp/re-shove line here sometimes...

It's not bvb,ICM this is a fold yeah ?? 1010 is deifinitely my decision line but it's a sigh fold for me if it's a reg,I probably call if it's a donk.If this is a reg the only hand in his range we are ahead is 99,his range would be 99+ AQ+ AJs+ for a normal reg,i really think we can let this go in this spot.

I don't agree with this, if a reg opens the button near the bubble and i am in the sb with a monster stack. I am reshoving a hell of a lot wider than that, for reasons very much outlined in this thread that people would fold 10's here making a reshove very profitable.

Yeah you would because your good,most the regs aren't that good to see this as an exploitable spot.

?!?!

Beg to differ.

I'm thinking of the 6's and 12's so yeah I'm prob wrong there,I still think we should fold and I prefer open jamming then bet/call.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Simon Galloway on June 14, 2010, 02:59:17 PM
In a scheduled MTT I would bet call, unless SB was Rock of Gibraltar.)

In a 9man I would shove.  (I don't want to shove >12 BBs really, but meh)

In a 45/90 man I have had trials at playing it both ways.  Bet/calling and failing to get there against Qx for so long that you finally decide to give up and just jam, which may lose some EV but at least stops the outdraws long enough to regain your sanity.

I'm not sure I agree with your range for the SB there Raymond, pretty sure I've seen regs turn over weirder shite than that.  Pairs all the way down, some "blackjack hands" and some "button open, he can't poss call the re-raise" moves.  They aren't particularly looking to exploit you in a Longy way, they either a) think they are winning or b) refuse to give you a genuine hand for your button raise or c) don't have the genuine sb range that they should at this stage of the tourny.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: mondatoo on June 14, 2010, 03:07:03 PM
In a scheduled MTT I would bet call, unless SB was Rock of Gibraltar.)

In a 9man I would shove.  (I don't want to shove >12 BBs really, but meh)

In a 45/90 man I have had trials at playing it both ways.  Bet/calling and failing to get there against Qx for so long that you finally decide to give up and just jam, which may lose some EV but at least stops the outdraws long enough to regain your sanity.

I'm not sure I agree with your range for the SB there Raymond, pretty sure I've seen regs turn over weirder shite than that.  Pairs all the way down, some "blackjack hands" and some "button open, he can't poss call the re-raise" moves.  They aren't particularly looking to exploit you in a Longy way, they either a) think they are winning or b) refuse to give you a genuine hand for your button raise or c) don't have the genuine sb range that they should at this stage of the tourny.

I did say that's a standard regs range and I think it's about right.Also I'm not jamming to prevent being outdrawn
just ppl peel a lot when shallow and shouldn't whereby most flops aren't good for us.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: mondatoo on June 14, 2010, 03:13:51 PM
Pretty sure I raise to 1500 and call this off in a button vs blind situation. We have over 15bigs I am not a fan of shoving, even though it is almost certainly +ev. I think raise/call or even raise/fold against a nit with a similar stack has a more ++ev outcome.

If this was a bubble of a 9man, yeah maybe folding is good, but in a 45 man the structure is a lot more top heavy esp on tilt. That doubling up here is deffo of value to us.

Also constantly shoving 15bbs if your a reg in these games is deffo going to diminsh your +ev opportunities in the future.

I did forget that tilt ones don't have ante's,do you just shove on stars ?


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Longy on June 14, 2010, 03:23:01 PM
Pretty sure I raise to 1500 and call this off in a button vs blind situation. We have over 15bigs I am not a fan of shoving, even though it is almost certainly +ev. I think raise/call or even raise/fold against a nit with a similar stack has a more ++ev outcome.

If this was a bubble of a 9man, yeah maybe folding is good, but in a 45 man the structure is a lot more top heavy esp on tilt. That doubling up here is deffo of value to us.

Also constantly shoving 15bbs if your a reg in these games is deffo going to diminsh your +ev opportunities in the future.

I did forget that tilt ones don't have ante's,do you just shove on stars ?

Yeah I do with antes, as 15bbs with antes = 10 bbs without antes roughly.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Dewi_cool on June 14, 2010, 04:36:39 PM
I play a few of these, I would push pre, but fold as played.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Amatay on June 14, 2010, 04:54:38 PM
I play a few of these, I would push pre, but fold as played.


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: DMorgan on June 15, 2010, 03:36:07 AM
ICM definitely makes this a fold as played but I really don't like open shoving. You're pretty much gunna fold out everything you beat and get called by everything that has you crushed.

If someone has SNGWiz or SNG Power Tools could you run the calculation and see how wide SB has to be shoving to make TT a call here?



Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: Skgv on June 16, 2010, 11:14:03 AM
honest opinion is you are not my hero !


Title: Re: Am I levelling myself?
Post by: MC on June 17, 2010, 02:03:49 AM
Yeah, not folding this blind on blind

Might go for a limp/re-shove line here sometimes...

It's not bvb,ICM this is a fold yeah ?? 1010 is deifinitely my decision line but it's a sigh fold for me if it's a reg,I probably call if it's a donk.If this is a reg the only hand in his range we are ahead is 99,his range would be 99+ AQ+ AJs+ for a normal reg,i really think we can let this go in this spot.

Oopsie misread the hand...

Ugh this is pretty close, def get it in if villain is aggro, def fold if they are a nit.