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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: TightEnd on June 29, 2010, 02:32:54 PM



Title: Summer Pudding
Post by: TightEnd on June 29, 2010, 02:32:54 PM
Live £60 MTT

38 runners

Early days, blinds 100-200


UTG limps 9,000 stack Unknown before today, but solid on two levels evidence

Button limps 9,000 stack. A basic TAG, not making moves

Hero checks BB with  Kd 3d  11,000 stack

Pot 600

flop  6d 7d Ks

Hero leads for 400, called in both spots. (Build a pot for impending binkage, probably 4 bet shove if raised by many)

Pot 2,000

turn  3c

Hero leads for 1,500

Flatted by UTG, Button makes it 3,000


Now?


Would you check to check raise on flop?

How do you play the turn?


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: paulhouk03 on June 29, 2010, 02:36:25 PM
never folding

shoving his raise


i would play it the same


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: action man on June 29, 2010, 02:40:25 PM
c/c c/r turn


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: StuartHopkin on June 29, 2010, 03:09:59 PM
I like leading the flop, I like a call now.


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: MC on June 29, 2010, 03:12:12 PM
I like leading the flop, I like a call now.

+1


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: GreekStein on June 29, 2010, 03:17:24 PM
I call here and call again on riv


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: EvilPie on June 29, 2010, 03:18:52 PM
Once you've lead flop you have to lead this brick looking turn.

I don't particularly like flatting now tbh. We're never passing no matter what the river brings and we need to find a way of getting the lot in.

We're oop so we might as well 3 bet now. Min raise just to tilt them both if you like or just make it 5.5k

They won't have a clue what's going on.

Jam is probably fine too.

I don't think you can really play this wrong tbh. If you think you're up against fish then just raise if you think they're nits flat but they probably don't pay you on the river.

If you had position there's a lot more thinking to be done but oop just do what feels right at the time and hope they have a hand to come along for the ride.


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: StuartHopkin on June 29, 2010, 03:21:30 PM
Surely raising here looks like we have pocket quads?


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: outragous76 on June 29, 2010, 03:27:25 PM
get it in on the turn as played to now.

he prob has 67 and will struggle to fold - as he has card removal on the 6 and 7, so he can remove those sets from your range - there is zero chance of you having KK, so he can take that out of your range, and you arent playing 33 by leading the flop, so why would he fold 2pr? - he might think you have a fd and a pair or a huge combo like 89dd.

There is pretty much no way he can fold 67 here - and therefore I look to get it in now.

AS for his other holdings? Well he could have the 66 or 77, but thats just a cooler and you have outs.



Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: EvilPie on June 29, 2010, 03:28:09 PM
Surely raising here looks like we have pocket quads?

What do you think flatting looks like?

Our hand is going to look strong now whatever happens.

We either get the lot here in a cooler or we lose the lot in a cooler.

There's no point in pot control oop as the river bet is already clearly an all in which we have to call.

I assume we want as many chips in the middle as possible? To me this just looks like one of those where it's either all going in or it's not.

The river isn't likely to change much for anyone unless a blue card comes and I think that's more likely to kill our action than make it.


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: StuartHopkin on June 29, 2010, 03:32:52 PM
get it in on the turn as played to now.

he prob has 67 and will struggle to fold - as he has card removal on the 6 and 7, so he can remove those sets from your range - there is zero chance of you having KK, so he can take that out of your range, and you arent playing 33 by leading the flop, so why would he fold 2pr? - he might think you have a fd and a pair or a huge combo like 89dd.

There is pretty much no way he can fold 67 here - and therefore I look to get it in now.

AS for his other holdings? Well he could have the 66 or 77, but thats just a cooler and you have outs.



What does the other guy have?


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: StuartHopkin on June 29, 2010, 03:34:30 PM
Once you've lead flop you have to lead this brick looking turn.

I don't particularly like flatting now tbh. We're never passing no matter what the river brings and we need to find a way of getting the lot in.

We're oop so we might as well 3 bet now. Min raise just to tilt them both if you like or just make it 5.5k

They won't have a clue what's going on.

Jam is probably fine too.

I don't think you can really play this wrong tbh. If you think you're up against fish then just raise if you think they're nits flat but they probably don't pay you on the river.

If you had position there's a lot more thinking to be done but oop just do what feels right at the time and hope they have a hand to come along for the ride.

Yeah it looks strong flatting but were more likely to keep both in for the river.


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: EvilPie on June 29, 2010, 03:44:58 PM
Once you've lead flop you have to lead this brick looking turn.

I don't particularly like flatting now tbh. We're never passing no matter what the river brings and we need to find a way of getting the lot in.

We're oop so we might as well 3 bet now. Min raise just to tilt them both if you like or just make it 5.5k

They won't have a clue what's going on.

Jam is probably fine too.

I don't think you can really play this wrong tbh. If you think you're up against fish then just raise if you think they're nits flat but they probably don't pay you on the river.

If you had position there's a lot more thinking to be done but oop just do what feels right at the time and hope they have a hand to come along for the ride.

Yeah it looks strong flatting but were more likely to keep both in for the river.

So how do we extract max value on the river. If we had position it wouldn't be a problem but once we check and look strong we're struggling to find a way to get the lot.


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: GreekStein on June 29, 2010, 04:04:23 PM
Doing a flat cawl could look like we have a draw.


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: TightEnd on June 29, 2010, 04:04:37 PM
ok so conflicting views

Once an ABC player has min raised the turn I am thinking he has a made hand. All I can think is 66,77,76. Unlikely but K6, K7

I think I am behind to the button, but obv I have plenty of outs to beat that hand and get paid, and his min raise has given me a price to hit

I call, intending to check river if I miss and evaluate to action from there


I would be interested to get thoughts on whether this thinking is too nitty. I suspect EvilPie would say it was


UTG then calls, which I did not give much thought to until it happened lol.


the Pot is now 11,000


River  Ts

I check

UTG, who to be frank I haven't given as much attention to as the button, leads for 2,800. A small bet. I am trying to think what he has. Maybe he has a made hand too

Button calls.

So 16,600 in the pot and 2,800 and a humungous price on the over-call

However an over-call, and my read is I must behind to a set, somewhere.

I fold


They show hands to follow


Fire away.


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: StuartHopkin on June 29, 2010, 04:07:26 PM
UTG 10 10
Button K J


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: EvilPie on June 29, 2010, 04:16:57 PM
This is similar to the Girgy 25o hand from the other day.

Two pair looks good until there's unexpected action. I much prefer to get it in on the turn but if I'm flatting the turn it isn't to pass on the river it's to trap and extract more value.

UTG may have got there with 89 but good luck to him if he has and [ ] well done for fishing and then not getting my whole stack.

Button can't have a set now or he would jam. Surely he's not scared of 89?


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: EvilPie on June 29, 2010, 04:19:15 PM
UTG  Jd Qd

Button  Kh Qs


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: TightEnd on June 29, 2010, 04:19:36 PM
No I think UTG has to have the hand now, the exact opposite of what I thought on the turn

Don't know what button is doing


Think my thinking is pretty flawed on turn, compounds a problem on the river.

Perhaps an example where being a nit doesn't make do the lot though, although that is short term bias not long term winning thinking


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: outragous76 on June 29, 2010, 04:21:49 PM
utg 89 or AK with Ad

button 66/77



Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: Turophile on June 29, 2010, 04:23:20 PM
Button is surely 'repping 45 on the turn?

UTG, errr dunno, weird passive line from him, maybe nut diamond draw (unlikely to bluff river 3 way though considering his weak play to this point). Could he have 89 for the rivered nuts?


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: EvilPie on June 29, 2010, 04:23:53 PM
No I think UTG has to have the hand now, the exact opposite of what I thought on the turn

Don't know what button is doing


Think my thinking is pretty flawed on turn, compounds a problem on the river.

Perhaps an example where being a nit doesn't make do the lot though, although that is short term bias not long term winning thinking

Did you go on to win the comp?


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: dino1980 on June 29, 2010, 05:13:05 PM
utg: k-10
btn: 4-5


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: TightEnd on June 29, 2010, 06:06:08 PM
UTG  8d 9d

Button  4d 5c

is the answer.


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: outragous76 on June 29, 2010, 06:08:23 PM
UTG  8d 9d

Button  4d 5c

is the answer.

button calls with 2nd nuts? hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: TightEnd on June 29, 2010, 06:09:57 PM
UTG  8d 9d

Button  4d 5c

is the answer.

button calls with 2nd nuts? hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

Nitty, as per OP


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: Longy on June 29, 2010, 08:13:13 PM
The bet sizing from the 2 villians in this hand makes my eyes bleed.



Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: celtic on June 29, 2010, 08:49:05 PM
The bet sizing from the 2 villians in this hand makes my eyes bleed.



come to Luton one night Longy, it's great!!


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: Longy on June 29, 2010, 09:15:43 PM
The bet sizing from the 2 villians in this hand makes my eyes bleed.



come to Luton one night Longy, it's great!!

I think you maybe waiting a long time for this to happen. I get to DTD about once a year and I only live about 2 miles away.



Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: EvilPie on June 29, 2010, 11:39:36 PM
UTG  8d 9d

Button  4d 5c

is the answer.

button calls with 2nd nuts? hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

Happened to me at D2D on Saturday. I value bet 2 pair on the river. Guy flats so I know I'm good.

Until he shows me a flopped 2nd set which remained second set by the river.

He got about 1.4k out of me at 150/300.

Awesome.


Title: Re: Summer Pudding
Post by: DMorgan on June 30, 2010, 10:40:21 AM
UTG  8d 9d

Button  4d 5c

is the answer.

button calls with 2nd nuts? hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

He can't be too nitty, he overlimped the button with 45o!

Nitty, as per OP